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A certain shop repairs both audio and video components. Let A denote the event that the next component brought in for repair is an audio component, and let B be the event that the next component is a compact disc player (so the event B is contained in A). Suppose that \(P\left( A \right) = 0.6\)and\(P\left( B \right) = 0.05\). What is\(P\left( {B|A} \right)\)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability, \(P\left( {A|B} \right) = 0.0833\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Probability

The term "probability" simply refers to the likelihood of something occurring. We can talk about the probabilities of certain outcomes鈥攈ow likely they are鈥攚hen we're unsure about the outcome of an event. Statistics is the study of occurrences guided by probability.

02

Calculation for the determination of probability

In the exercise, we are given that

\(\begin{array}{l}P(A) &=& 0.6\\P(B) &=& 0.05\\B \subseteq A\end{array}\)

From \(B \subseteq A\)

we have

\(A \cap B = B \Rightarrow P(A \cap B) = P(B) = 0.05\)

Conditional probability of A given that the event B has occurred, for which \(P(B) > 0\),\(P(A\mid B) = \frac{{P(A \cap B)}}{{P(B)}}\)\(\)

for any two events A and B.

From the definition we have

\(P(B\mid A) = \frac{{P(B \cap A)}}{{P(A)}} = \frac{{P(B)}}{{P(A)}} = \frac{{0.05}}{{0.6}} = 0.0833\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider randomly selecting a single individual and having that person test drive \({\rm{3}}\) different vehicles. Define events \({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{1}}}\), \({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}}\), and \({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}\) by

\({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{1}}}\)=likes vehicle #\({\rm{1}}\)\({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}}\)= likes vehicle #\({\rm{2}}\)\({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}\)=likes vehicle #\({\rm{3}}\)Suppose that\({\rm{ = }}{\rm{.65,}}\)\({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{A}}_3}{\rm{)}}\)\({\rm{ = }}{\rm{.70,}}\)\({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{A}}_{\rm{1}}} \cup {{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{) = }}{\rm{.80,P(}}{{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}} \cap {{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}{\rm{) = 40,}}\)and\({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{A}}_{\rm{1}}} \cup {{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}} \cup {{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}{\rm{) = }}{\rm{.88}}{\rm{.}}\)

a. What is the probability that the individual likes both vehicle #\({\rm{1}}\)and vehicle #\({\rm{2}}\)?

b. Determine and interpret\({\rm{p}}\)(\({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}}\)|\({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}\)).

c. Are \({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{2}}}\)and \({{\rm{A}}_{\rm{3}}}\)independent events? Answer in two different ways.

d. If you learn that the individual did not like vehicle #\({\rm{1}}\), what now is the probability that he/she liked at least one of the other two vehicles?

Consider randomly selecting a student at a large university, and let Abe the event that the selected student has a Visa card and Bbe the analogous event for MasterCard. Suppose that P(A)=.6 and P(B)=.4.

a. Could it be the case that P(A\( \cap \)B)=.5? Why or why not? (Hint:See Exercise 24.)

b. From now on, suppose that P(A\( \cap \)B)=.3. What is the probability that the selected student has at least one of these two types of cards?

c. What is the probability that the selected student has neither type of card?

d. Describe, in terms of Aand B, the event that the selected student has a Visa card but not a MasterCard, and then calculate the probability of this event.

e. Calculate the probability that the selected student has exactly one of the two types of cards.

The three most popular options on a certain type of newcar are a built-in GPS (A), a sunroof (B), and an automatictransmission (C). If 40% of all purchasers request A, 55% request B, 70% request C, 63% request Aor B,77% request Aor C, 80% request Bor C, and 85% request Aor Bor C, determine the probabilities of the following events. (Hint:鈥淎or B鈥 is the event that at leastone of the two options is requested; try drawing a Venn

diagram and labeling all regions.)

a. The next purchaser will request at least one of thethree options.

b. The next purchaser will select none of the three options.

c. The next purchaser will request only an automatictransmission and not either of the other two options.

d. The next purchaser will select exactly one of thesethree options.

A mutual fund company offers its customers a varietyof funds: a money-market fund, three different bond funds (short, intermediate, and long-term), two stock funds (moderate and high-risk), and a balanced fund.

Among customers who own shares in just one fund,the percentages of customers in the different funds areas follows:

Money-market 20% High-risk stock 18%

Short bond 15% Moderate-risk stock 25%

Intermediate bond 10% Balanced 7%

Long bond 5%

A customer who owns shares in just one fund is randomlyselected.

a. What is the probability that the selected individualowns shares in the balanced fund?

b. What is the probability that the individual owns shares in a bond fund?

c. What is the probability that the selected individual does not own shares in a stock fund?

One of the assumptions underlying the theory of control charting is that successive plotted points are independent of one another. Each plotted point can signal either that a manufacturing process is operating correctly or that there is some sort of malfunction.

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