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The joint probability di\({\rm{Y}} \le {\rm{1) = 0}}{\rm{.12}}\)stribution of the number \({\rm{X}}\) of cars and the number \({\rm{Y}}\) of buses per signal cycle at a proposed left-turn lane is displayed in the accompanying joint probability table.

a. What is the probability that there is exactly one car and exactly one bus during a cycle?

b. What is the probability that there is at most one car and at most one bus during a cycle?

c. What is the probability that there is exactly one car during a cycle? Exactly one bus?

d. Suppose the left-turn lane is to have a capacity of five cars, and that one bus is equivalent to three cars. What is t\({\rm{p(x,y)}} \ge {\rm{0}}\)e probability of an overflow during a cycle?

e. Are \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) independent rv鈥檚? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The probability is \({\rm{p(1,1) = 0}}{\rm{.3;}}\)

b. The probability is \({\rm{P(X}} \le 1\)and ;

c. The probability is \({\rm{P(X = 1) = 0}}{\rm{.1}}\)

d. The probability is \({\rm{p(X + 3Y > 5) = 0}}{\rm{.38;}}\)

e. Independent.

Step by step solution

01

Definition of Probability distribution

A discrete variable function whose integral over any interval is the likelihood that the random variable it specifies will fall within that interval.

02

Find the probability that there is exactly one car and exactly one bus during a cycle?

Let \({\rm{X}}\)and \({\rm{Y}}\)be discrete random variables.

The probability mass function combined

\({\rm{p(x,y)}}\)is

\({\rm{p(x,y) = P(X = x,Y = y)}}\)

for every pair \({\rm{(x,y)}}\), where and \(\sum\limits_{\rm{x}} {\sum\limits_{\rm{y}} {\rm{p}} } {\rm{(x,y) = 1}}\).

The combined probability table is presented to us.

(a):

From the table, the following holds

\({\rm{P(X = 1,Y = 1) = p(1,1) = 0}}{\rm{.3}}\)(b):

The following is true

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{1 and Y}} \le 1){\rm{ = p(0,0) + p(0,1) + p(1,0) + p(1,1)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.025 + 0}}{\rm{.015 + 0}}{\rm{.05 + 0}}{\rm{.03}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.12}}\end{array}\)

Therefore ,The probability is \({\rm{p(1,1) = 0}}{\rm{.3;}}\)

03

Step 3: Find the probability that there is at most one car and at most one bus during a cycle?

(b):

The following statement is correct:

Z Z \(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{P(X}} \le {\rm{1 and Y}} \le 1){\rm{ = p(0,0) + p(0,1) + p(1,0) + p(1,1)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.025 + 0}}{\rm{.015 + 0}}{\rm{.05 + 0}}{\rm{.03}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.12}}\end{array}\)

Therefore ,The probability is \({\rm{P(X}} \le 1\)and \({\rm{Y}} \le {\rm{1) = 0}}{\rm{.12}}\).

04

Step 4: Find the probability that there is exactly one car during a cycle? Exactly one bus?

(c):

The first requested probability is

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{P(X = 1) = p(1,0) + p(1,1) + p(1,2)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.05 + 0}}{\rm{.03 + 0}}{\rm{.02}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.1}}\end{array}\)

The second probability requested is

\(\begin{array}{l}{\rm{P(Y = 1) = p(0,1) + p(1,1) + p(2,1) + p(3,1) + p(4,1) + p(5,1)}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.015 + 0}}{\rm{.03 + 0}}{\rm{.075 + 0}}{\rm{.09 + 0}}{\rm{.06 + 0}}{\rm{.03}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.3}}\end{array}\)

Therefore ,The probability is \({\rm{P(X = 1) = 0}}{\rm{.1}}\)

05

Step 5: Find the probability of an overflow during a cycle? 

(d):

The likelihood of an overflow can be determined using the probability of event formula.

\({\rm{\{ X + 3Y > 5\} }}\)

as explained in the exercise.

Therefore ,We only take event for which \({\rm{(x,y),x + 3y}} \le {\rm{5}}\)is true.

06

Step 6: Explain X and Y independent

(e):

Two random variables \({\rm{X}}\)and \({\rm{Y}}\)are independent if and only if

1. \({\rm{p(x,y) = }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\),

for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\)and when \({\rm{X}}\)and \(Y\)discrete rv's,

2. \({\rm{f(x,y) = }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\),

for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\)and when \({\rm{X}}\)and \({\rm{Y}}\)continuous rv's,

otherwise they are dependent.

We need to find marginal distributions to see if the random variables are independent.

The discrete random variable's marginal probability mass function is \({\rm{X}}\).

\({{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) = }}\sum\limits_{\rm{y}} {\rm{p}} {\rm{(x:y): for every x,}}\)

The discrete random variable's marginal probability mass function is \({\rm{Y}}\).

\({{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y) = }}\sum\limits_{\rm{x}} {\rm{p}} {\rm{(x,y), for every y}}{\rm{.}}\)

As we know, marginal probabilities for random variable \({\rm{X}}\) are calculated by summing probabilities in a certain row, while marginal probabilities for random variable \({\rm{Y}}\) are calculated by summing probabilities in a specific column.

The following is marginal pmf of \({\rm{X}}\)

And the marginal pmf of \({\rm{Y}}\)

Now we have to verify is for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\), we have that

\({\rm{p(x,y) = }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\)

The following is the table of \({{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\)for every pair \({\rm{(x,y)}}\).

which is identical to the joint probability table.

As a result, the random variables are unrelated.

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