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You have two lightbulbs for a particular lamp. Let\({\rm{X = }}\)the lifetime of the first bulb and\({\rm{Y = }}\)the lifetime of the second bulb (both in\({\rm{1000}}\)s of hours). Suppose that\({\rm{X}}\)and\({\rm{Y}}\)are independent and that each has an exponential distribution with parameter\({\rm{\lambda = 1}}\).

a. What is the joint pdf of\({\rm{X}}\)and\({\rm{Y}}\)?

b. What is the probability that each bulb lasts at most\({\rm{1000}}\)hours (i.e.,\({\rm{X拢1}}\)and\({\rm{Y拢1)}}\)?

c. What is the probability that the total lifetime of the two bulbs is at most\({\rm{2}}\)? (Hint: Draw a picture of the region before integrating.)

d. What is the probability that the total lifetime is between\({\rm{1}}\)and\({\rm{2}}\)?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) The joint pdf of X and Y is

b) The probability is \({\rm{P(X拢1 and Y拢1) = 0}}{\rm{.4}}\)

c) The probability is \({\rm{P(X + Y拢2) = 0}}{\rm{.594}}\)

d) The probability is \({\rm{P(1拢X + Y拢2) = 0}}{\rm{.33}}\)

Step by step solution

01

Definition

Probability simply refers to the likelihood of something occurring. We may talk about the probabilities of particular outcomes鈥攈ow likely they are鈥攚hen we're unclear about the result of an event. Statistics is the study of occurrences guided by probability.

02

Step 2: The joint pdf of X and Y

Random variable \({\rm{X}}\) with pdf

is said to have exponential distribution with parameter\({\rm{\lambda }}\).

Therefore, we have

and

(a):

Two random variables \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent if and only if

1.\({\rm{p(x,y) = }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\) and when \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) discrete rv's,

2.\({\rm{f(x,y) = }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{X}}}{\rm{(x) \times }}{{\rm{f}}_{\rm{Y}}}{\rm{(y)}}\), for every \({\rm{(x,y)}}\) and when \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) continuous rv's, otherwise they are dependent.

We are given that random variables \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent, therefore, the joint pdf of \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) is

03

Step 3: Calculating the probability

(b):

As given in the hints, the following is true

\(\begin{aligned}{l}{\rm{P(X拢1 and Y拢1)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\rm{P(X拢1) \times P(Y拢1)}}\\\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(2)}}} \left( {{\rm{1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}} \right){\rm{ \times }}\left( {{\rm{1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}} \right)\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.4}}\end{aligned}\)

(1): from the multiplication property given below,

(2): cof of exponentially distributed random variable is

Multiplication Property: Two events A and B are independent if and only if

\({\rm{P(A\c{C}B) = P(A) \times P(B)}}\)

04

Step 4: Calculating the probability

(c):

From the picture we can notice over what area should we integrate (the shaded area). Hence,

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(X + Y拢2)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} \int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {\int_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{2 - x}}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x - y}}}}} } {\rm{dydx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {\int_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{2 - x}}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} } {{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - y}}}}{\rm{dydx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \left( {{\rm{ - }}\left. {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - y}}}}} \right|_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{2 - x}}}} \right){\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \left( {{\rm{1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{x - 2}}}}} \right){\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} {\rm{dx - }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 2}}}}} {\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = - }}\left. {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \right|_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{2}}{\rm{ - 2}}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 2}}}}\\{\rm{ = 1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 2}}}}{\rm{ - 2}}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 2}}}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.594}}\end{aligned}\)

(1): for every adequate set \({\rm{A}}\) the following holds

05

Step 5: Calculating the probability

d)

The following is true

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(1拢X + Y拢2) = P(X + Y拢2) - P(X + Y拢1)}}\\\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\rm{0}}{\rm{.594 - 0}}{\rm{.264}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.33}}\end{aligned}\)

(1): the first probability has been calculated. The second probability can be calculated the same way as the first, we get

\(\begin{aligned}{\rm{P(X + Y拢1) = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {\int_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{1 - x}}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x - y}}}}} } {\rm{dydx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {\int_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{1 - x}}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} } {{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - y}}}}{\rm{dydx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \left( {{\rm{ - }}\left. {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - y}}}}} \right|_{\rm{0}}^{{\rm{1 - x}}}} \right){\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \left( {{\rm{1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{x - 1}}}}} \right){\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} {\rm{dx - }}\int_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}} {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}} {\rm{dx}}\\{\rm{ = - }}\left. {{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - x}}}}} \right|_{\rm{0}}^{\rm{1}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}\\{\rm{ = 1 - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}{\rm{ - }}{{\rm{e}}^{{\rm{ - 1}}}}\\{\rm{ = 0}}{\rm{.264}}{\rm{.}}\end{aligned}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Two different professors have just submitted final exams for duplication. Let \({\rm{X}}\) denote the number of typographical errors on the first professor鈥檚 exam and \({\rm{Y}}\) denote the number of such errors on the second exam. Suppose \({\rm{X}}\) has a Poisson distribution with parameter \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{1}}}\), \({\rm{Y}}\) has a Poisson distribution with parameter \({{\rm{\mu }}_{\rm{2}}}\), and \({\rm{X}}\) and \({\rm{Y}}\) are independent.

a. What is the joint pmf of \({\rm{X}}\) and\({\rm{Y}}\)?

b. What is the probability that at most one error is made on both exams combined?

c. Obtain a general expression for the probability that the total number of errors in the two exams is m (where \({\rm{m}}\) is a nonnegative integer). (Hint: \({\rm{A = }}\left\{ {\left( {{\rm{x,y}}} \right){\rm{:x + y = m}}} \right\}{\rm{ = }}\left\{ {\left( {{\rm{m,0}}} \right)\left( {{\rm{m - 1,1}}} \right){\rm{,}}.....{\rm{(1,m - 1),(0,m)}}} \right\}\)Now sum the joint pmf over \({\rm{(x,y)}} \in {\rm{A}}\)and use the binomial theorem, which says that

\({\rm{P(X + Y = m)}}\mathop {\rm{ = }}\limits^{{\rm{(1)}}} {\sum\limits_{{\rm{k = 0}}}^{\rm{m}} {\left( {\begin{array}{*{20}{c}}{\rm{m}}\\{\rm{k}}\end{array}} \right){{\rm{a}}^{\rm{k}}}{{\rm{b}}^{{\rm{m - k}}}}{\rm{ = }}\left( {{\rm{a + b}}} \right)} ^{\rm{m}}}\)

Suppose the sediment density (g/cm) of a randomly selected specimen from a certain region is normally distributed with mean \({\rm{2}}{\rm{.65 }}\)and standard deviation \({\rm{.85}}\) (suggested in 鈥淢odeling Sediment and Water Column Interactions for Hydrophobic Pollutants,鈥 Water Research, \({\rm{1984: 1164 - 1174 }}\)).

a. If a random sample of \({\rm{25}}\)specimens is selected, what is the probability that the sample average sediment density is at most \({\rm{3}}{\rm{.00 }}\)? Between \({\rm{2}}{\rm{.65 }}\)and \({\rm{3}}{\rm{.00 }}\)?

b. How large a sample size would be required to ensure that the first probability in part (a) is at least \({\rm{.99}}\)?

There are \({\rm{40}}\) students in an elementary statistics class. On the basis of years of experience, the instructor knows that the time needed to grade a randomly chosen first examination paper is a random variable with an expected value of \({\rm{6}}\)min and a standard deviation of \({\rm{6}}\)min.

a. If grading times are independent and the instructor begins grading at \({\rm{6:50}}\) p.m. and grades continuously, what is the (approximate) probability that he is through grading before the \({\rm{11:00}}\) p.m. TV news begins?

b. If the sports report begins at \({\rm{11:10,}}\) what is the probability that he misses part of the report if he waits until grading is done before turning on the TV?

Return to the situation described in Exercise \({\rm{3}}\).

a. Determine the marginal pmf of \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}\), and then calculate the expected number of customers in line at the express checkout.

b. Determine the marginal pmf of \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}\).

c. By inspection of the probabilities \({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ = 4),P(}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = 0),}}\) and \({\rm{P(}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ = 4,}}{{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}{\rm{ = 0),}}\) are \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{1}}}\) and \({{\rm{X}}_{\rm{2}}}\) independent random variables? Explain

The mean weight of luggage checked by a randomly selected tourist-class passenger flying between two cities on a certain airline is\({\bf{40}}\)lb, and the standard deviation is\({\bf{10}}\)lb. The mean and standard deviation for a business class passenger is\({\bf{30}}\)lb and\({\bf{6}}\)lb, respectively.

a. If there are\({\bf{12}}\)business-class passengers and\({\bf{50}}\)tourist-class passengers on a particular flight, what is the expected value of total luggage weight and the standard deviation of total luggage weight?

b. If individual luggage weights are independent, normally distributed RVs, what is the probability that total luggage weight is at most\({\bf{2500}}\)lb?

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