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Referring to Exercise 94, develop a large-sample confidence interval formula for\({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\). Calculate the interval for the data given there using a confidence level of 95 %.

Short Answer

Expert verified

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\hat \mu }_1} - {{\hat \mu }_2} \pm {z_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{\hat \mu }_1}}}{m} + \frac{{{{\hat \mu }_2}}}{n}} \\( - 1.29, - 0.59)\end{array}\)

Step by step solution

01

Step 1: To Calculate the interval for the data given there using a confidence level of 95 %.

Proposition: For a random variable X with Poisson distribution with parameter\(\mu > 0\), the following is true

\(E(X) = V(X) = \mu .\)

As mentioned,

\(V(\bar X) = \frac{\mu }{n}.\)

The standard deviation for \(\bar X - \bar Y\)can be computed as

\(\begin{array}{l}{\sigma _{\bar X - \bar Y}} = \sqrt {V(\bar X - \bar Y)} = \sqrt {V(\bar X) + V(\bar Y)} \\ = \sqrt {\frac{{{\mu _1}}}{m} + \frac{{{\mu _2}}}{n}} .\end{array}\)

To form a test statistic, the standard deviation needs to be estimated. First estimate \({\mu _1}\) and\({\mu _2}\), as usual, with

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\hat \mu }_1} = \bar X;\\{{\hat \mu }_2} = \bar Y;\end{array}\)

This yields test statistic with standard normal distribution (for large m and n)

\(Z = \frac{{\bar X - \bar Y}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{{{\hat \mu }_1}}}{m} + \frac{{{{\hat \mu }_2}}}{n}} }}\)

The confidence interval for \({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\)

can be obtained from

\(P\left( { - {z_{\alpha /2}} \le Z \le {z_{\alpha /2}}} \right) = 1 - \alpha \)

which with transformations becomes

\({\hat \mu _1} - {\hat \mu _2} \pm {z_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{\hat \mu }_1}}}{m} + \frac{{{{\hat \mu }_2}}}{n}} \)

Remember that \(\bar x = {\hat \mu _1}\) and\(\bar y = {\hat \mu _2}\).

The accompanying table summarize the data to perform this test.

02

Final proof

The sample mean for the number of plants in the region 1 is

\(\bar x = {\hat \lambda _1} = \frac{1}{{125}} \cdot (0 + 40 + 56 + \ldots + 7) = 1.616,\)

and for the region is

\(\bar y = {\hat \lambda _2} = \frac{1}{{140}} \cdot (0 + 25 + 60 + \ldots + 7) = 2.557.\)

Thus, the 95 % confidence interval \(\left( {\alpha = 0.05,{z_{\alpha /2}} = 1.96} \right)\) is

\(\begin{array}{l}1.616 - 2.557 - 1.96 \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{1.616}}{{30}} + \frac{{2.557}}{{30}}} ,1.616 - 2.557 + 1.96 \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{1.616}}{{30}} + \frac{{2.557}}{{30}}} \\ = ( - 0.94 - 1.96 \cdot 0.177, - 0.94 + 1.96 \cdot 0.177)\\ = ( - 1.29, - 0.59).\end{array}\)

Finally we get,

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\hat \mu }_1} - {{\hat \mu }_2} \pm {z_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{\hat \mu }_1}}}{m} + \frac{{{{\hat \mu }_2}}}{n}} \\( - 1.29, - 0.59)\end{array}\)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Wait staff at restaurants have employed various strategies to increase tips. An article in the Sept. 5, 2005, New Yorker reported that 鈥淚n one study a waitress received 50% more in tips when she introduced herself by name than when she didn鈥檛.鈥 Consider the following (fictitious) data on tip amount as a percentage of the bill:

Introduction: \({\bf{m = 50,}}\overline {\bf{x}} {\bf{ = 22}}{\bf{.63,}}{{\bf{s}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ = 7}}{\bf{.82}}\)

No introduction: \({\bf{n = 50,}}\overline {\bf{y}} {\bf{ = 14}}{\bf{.15,}}{{\bf{s}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ = 6}}{\bf{.10}}\)

Does this data suggest that an introduction increases tips on average by more than 50%? State and test the relevant hypotheses. (Hint: Consider the parameter \({\bf{\theta = }}{{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ - 1}}{\bf{.5}}{{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{2}}}\)

Sometimes experiments involving success or failure responses are run in a paired or before/after manner. Suppose that before a major policy speech by a political candidate, n individuals are selected and asked whether \((S)\)or not (F) they favor the candidate. Then after the speech the same n people are asked the same question. The responses can be entered in a table as follows:

Before

After

S

F

S

\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{1}}}\)

\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{2}}}\)

F

\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{3}}}\)

\({{\bf{X}}_{\bf{4}}}\)

Where\({{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ + }}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ + }}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}{\bf{ + }}{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{4}}}{\bf{ = n}}\). Let\({{\bf{p}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{,}}{{\bf{p}}_{\bf{3}}}\), and \({p_4}\)denote the four cell probabilities, so that \({p_1} = P(S\) before and S after), and so on. We wish to test the hypothesis that the true proportion of supporters (S) after the speech has not increased against the alternative that it has increased.

a. State the two hypotheses of interest in terms of\({p_1},{p_2}\),\({p_3}\), and \({p_4}\).

b. Construct an estimator for the after/before difference in success probabilities

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d. If\({{\bf{x}}_{\bf{1}}}{\bf{ = 350,}}\;\;\;{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{2}}}{\bf{ = 150,}}\;\;\;{{\bf{x}}_{\bf{3}}}{\bf{ = 200}}\), and\({x_4} = 300\), what do you conclude?

Determine the number of degrees of freedom for the two-sample t test or CI in each of the following.

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Suppose \({\mu _1}\) and \({\mu _2}\) are true mean stopping distances at \(50mph\) for cars of a certain type equipped with two different types of braking systems. Use the two-sample t test at significance level

t test at significance level \(.01\) to test \({H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = - 10\) versus \({H_a}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} < - 10\) for the following data: \(m = 6,\;\;\;\bar x = 115.7,{s_1} = 5.03,n = 6,\bar y = 129.3,\;\)and \({s_2} = 5.38.\)

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a. Does the accompanying normal probability plot cast strong doubt on the approximate normality of the population distribution of differences?

b. Calculate a lower\(95\% \)confidence bound for the population mean difference, and interpret the resulting bound.

c. Suppose the (age at diagnosis) - (age at onset) differences had been calculated. What would be a\(95\backslash \% \)upper confidence bound for the corresponding population mean difference?

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