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The article "Pine Needles as Sensors of Atmospheric Pollution" (Environ. Monitoring, 1982: 273-286) reported on the use of neutron-activity analysis to determine pollutant concentration in pine needles. According to the article's authors, "These observations strongly indicated that for those elements which are determined well by the analytical procedures, the distribution of concentration is lognormal. Accordingly, in tests of significance the logarithms of concentrations will be used." The given data refers to bromine concentration in needles taken from a site near an oil-fired steam plant and from a relatively clean site. The summary values are means and standard deviations of the log-transformed observations.

Site Sample Size Mean Log Concentration SD of Log Concentration

Steamplant 8 18.0 4.9

Clean 9 11.0 4.6

Let \(\mu _1^*\) be the true average log concentration at the first site, and define \(\mu _2^*\) analogously for the second site.

a. Use the pooled t test (based on assuming normality and equal standard deviations) to decide at significance level .05 whether the two concentration distribution means are equal.

b. If \(\sigma _1^8\) and \(\sigma _2^*\) (the standard deviations of the two log concentration distributions) are not equal, would \({\mu _1} and {\mu _2}\) (the means of the concentration distributions) be the same if \(\mu _1^* = \mu _2^*\) ? Explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) There is sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two concentration distribution means are equal.


(b) There is sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two concentration distribution means are equal. Same conclusion

Step-by-step-solution

Given:

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\bar x}_1} = 18.0\\{s_1} = 4.9\\{{\bar x}_2} = 11.0\\{s_2} = 4.6\\{n_1} = 8\\{n_2} = 9\\\alpha = 0.05\end{array}\)

Step by step solution

01

 Step 1: To find the two concentration distribution means are equal.

(a) Given claim: Differs

The claim is either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis state the opposite of each other. The null hypothesis needs to contain an equality.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{\mu _1} = {\mu _2}\\{H_a}:{\mu _1} \ne {\mu _2}\end{array}\)

Determine the pooled standard deviation:

\({s_p} = \sqrt {\frac{{\left( {{n_1} - 1} \right)s_1^2 + \left( {{n_2} - 1} \right)s_2^2}}{{{n_1} + {n_2} - 2}}} = \sqrt {\frac{{(8 - 1)4.{9^2} + (9 - 1)4.{6^2}}}{{8 + 9 - 2}}} \approx 4.7424\)

Determine the test statistic:

\(t = \frac{{{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}}}{{{s_p}\sqrt {\frac{1}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{1}{{{n_2}}}} }} = \frac{{18.0 - 11.0}}{{4.7424\sqrt {\frac{1}{8} + \frac{1}{9}} }} \approx 3.038\)

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of the test statistic, or a value more extreme. The P-value is the number (or interval) in the column title of the Student's t distribution table in the appendix containing the t value in the row\(df = {n_1} + {n_2} - 2 = 8 + 9 - 2 = 15\):

\(0.002 = 2 \times 0.001 < P < 2 \times 0.005 = 0.010\)

If the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level, then the null hypothesis is rejected:

\(P < 0.05 \Rightarrow Reject {H_0}\)

There is sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two concentration distribution means are equal.

02

To find the concentration distributions and explain the reasoning \(\mu _1^* = \mu _2^*\) 

(b)

Given claim: Differs

The claim is either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis state the opposite of each other. The null hypothesis needs to contain an equality.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{\mu _1} = {\mu _2}\\{H_a}:{\mu _1} \ne {\mu _2}\end{array}\)

Determine the test statistic:

\(t = \frac{{\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) - \left( {{\mu _1} - {\mu _2}} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} }} = \frac{{18.0 - 11.0 - 0}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{{{4.9}^2}}}{8} + \frac{{{{4.6}^2}}}{9}} }} \approx 3.026\)

Determine the degrees of freedom (rounded down to the nearest integer):

\(\Delta = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/{n_1}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_1} - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/{n_2}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_2} - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{4.{9^2}}}{8} + \frac{{4.{6^2}}}{9}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {4.{9^2}/8} \right)}^2}}}{{8 - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {4.{6^2}/9} \right)}^2}}}{{9 - 1}}}} \approx 14\)

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of the test statistic, or a value more extreme. The P-value is the number (or interval) in the column title of Student's T distribution in the appendix containing the t-value in the row df=14 :

\(0.002 = 2 \times 0.001 < P < 2 \times 0.005 = 0.010\)

If the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level, then the null hypothesis is rejected:

\(P < 0.05 \Rightarrow Reject {H_0}\)

There is sufficient evidence to reject the claim that the two concentration distribution means are equal.

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