/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Q24 E Damage to grapes from bird preda... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91影视

91影视

Damage to grapes from bird predation is a serious problem for grape growers. The article "'Experimental Method to Investigate and Monitor Bird Behavior and Damage to Vineyards" (Amer. \(J\). of Enology and Viticulture, 2004: 288-291) reported on an experiment involving a bird-feeder table, time-lapse video, and artificial foods. Information was collected for two different bird species at both the experimental location and at a natural vineyard setting. Consider the following data on time (sec) spent on a single visit to the location.

\(\begin{array}{l}Species Location n \overline x SEmean\\Blackbirds Exptl 65 13.4 2.05 \\Blackbirds Natural 50 9.7 1.76\\Silvereyes Exptl 34 49.4 4.78\\Silvereyes Natural 46 38.4 5.06\end{array}\)

a. Calculate an upper confidence bound for the true average time that blackbirds spend on a single visit at the experimental location.

b. Does it appear that true average time spent by blackbirds at the experimental location exceeds the true average time birds of this type spend at the natural location? Carry out a test of appropriate hypotheses.

c. Estimate the difference between the true average time blackbirds spend at the natural location and true average time that silvereyes spend at the natural

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) \(95\% \)upper confidence bound: \(16.82555\)

(b) There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the true average time spent by blackbirds at the experimental location exceeds the true average time birds of this type spend at the natural location.

(c) \(( - 10.8421,10.6837)\)

Step by step solution

01

a)Step 1: Find the upper confident bound

Given:

\(\begin{array}{l}n = 65\\\bar x = 13.4\\{\sigma _{\bar x}} = 2.05\end{array}\)

Let us assume that we want to calculate the confidence bound with\(95\% \)confidence (other confidence levels work similarly).

\(c = 95\% = 0.95\)

Determine the t-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom\(df = n - 1 = 65 - 1 = 64 > 60\)and in the column with\(1 - c = \)\(0.05\)in the table of the Student's T distribution:

\({t_\alpha } = 1.671\)

The margin of error is then:

\(E = {t_{\alpha /2}} \times \frac{s}{{\sqrt n }} = 1.671 \times 2.05 \approx 3.42555\)

The boundaries of the confidence interval then become:

\(\bar x + E = 13.4 + 3.42555 = 16.82555\)

Thus the \(95\% \) upper confidence bound is \(16.82555.\)

02

b)Step 2: Determine the test statistic

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\bar x}_1} = 13.4\\{{\bar x}_2} = 9.7\\{n_1} = 65\\{n_2} = 50\\{\sigma _{{{\bar x}_1}}} = 2.05 \Rightarrow {s_1} = {\sigma _{{{\bar x}_1}}}\sqrt n = 2.05\sqrt {65} \approx 16.5276\\{\sigma _{{{\bar x}_2}}} = 1.76 \Rightarrow {s_2} = {\sigma _{{{\bar x}_2}}}\sqrt n = 1.76\sqrt {50} \approx 12.4451\end{array}\)

Let us assume: \(\alpha = 0.05\)

Given claim: exceeds

The claim is either the null hypothesis or the alternative hypothesis. The null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis state the opposite of each other. The null hypothesis needs to contain the value mentioned in the claim.

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_0}:{\mu _1} = {\mu _2}\\{H_a}:{\mu _1} > {\mu _2}\end{array}\)

Determine the test statistic:

\(t = \frac{{{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} }} = \frac{{13.4 - 9.7}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{{{16.5276}^2}}}{{65}} + \frac{{{{12.4451}^2}}}{{50}}} }} \approx 1.369\)

Determine the degrees of freedom (rounded down to the nearest integer):

\(\Delta = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/{n_1}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_1} - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/{n_2}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_2} - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{{{16.5276}^2}}}{{65}} + \frac{{{{12.4451}^2}}}{{50}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {{{16.5276}^2}/65} \right)}^2}}}{{65 - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {{{12.4451}^2}/50} \right)}^2}}}{{50 - 1}}}} \approx 112 > 60\)

The P-value is the probability of obtaining the value of the test statistic, or a value more extreme. The \({\rm{P}}\)-value is the number (or interval) in the column title of Student's \(T\) distribution in the appendix containing the \(t\)-value in the row \(df = 60\) :

\(0.05 < P < 0.10\)

If the P-value is less than or equal to the significance level, then the null hypothesis is rejected:

\(P > 0.05 \Rightarrow {\rm{ Fail to reject }}{H_0}\)

There is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the true average time spent by blackbirds at the experimental location exceeds the true average time birds of this type spend at the natural location.

03

C)Step 3: The end point of confidence

\({\bar x_1} = 9.7\)

\(\begin{array}{l}{{\bar x}_2} = 38.4\\{n_1} = 50\\{n_2} = 46\\{\sigma _{{{\bar x}_1}}} = 1.76 \Rightarrow {s_1} = {\sigma _{{{\bar x}_1}}}\sqrt n = 1.76\sqrt {50} \approx 12.4451\\{\sigma _{{{\bar x}_2}}} = 5.06 \Rightarrow {s_2} = {\sigma _{{{\bar x}_2}}}\sqrt n = 5.06\sqrt {46} \approx 34.3186\end{array}\)

Let us assume that we want to calculate the confidence interval with $95 \%$ confidence (other confidence levels work similarly).

\(c = 95\% = 0.95\)

Determine the degrees of freedom (rounded down to the nearest integer):

\(\Delta = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {s_1^2/{n_1}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_1} - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {s_2^2/{n_2}} \right)}^2}}}{{{n_2} - 1}}}} = \frac{{{{\left( {\frac{{{{12.4451}^2}}}{{50}} + \frac{{{{34.3186}^2}}}{{46}}} \right)}^2}}}{{\frac{{{{\left( {{{12.4451}^2}/50} \right)}^2}}}{{50 - 1}} + \frac{{{{\left( {{{34.3186}^2}/46} \right)}^2}}}{{46 - 1}}}} \approx 55 > 50\)

Determine the t-value by looking in the row starting with degrees of freedom\(df = 50\)and in the column with\(1 - c/2 = 0.025\)in the Student's distribution table in the appendix:

\({t_{\alpha /2}} = 2.009\)

The margin of error is then:

\(E = {t_{\alpha /2}} \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{s_1^2}}{{{n_1}}} + \frac{{s_2^2}}{{{n_2}}}} = 2.009 \cdot \sqrt {\frac{{{{12.4451}^2}}}{{50}} + \frac{{{{34.3186}^2}}}{{46}}} \approx 10.7629\)

The endpoints of the confidence interval for \({\mu _1} - {\mu _2}\) are: \(\begin{array}{l}\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) - E = (1.5083 - 1.5875) - 10.7629 = - 0.0792 - 10.7629 = - 10.8421\\\left( {{{\bar x}_1} - {{\bar x}_2}} \right) + E = (1.5083 - 1.5875) + 10.7629 = - 0.0792 + 10.7629 = 10.6837\end{array}\)

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91影视!

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The National Health Statistics Reports dated Oct. \(22,2008\), included the following information on the heights (in.) for non-Hispanic white females:

Sample sample Std. Error

Age Size Mean Mean

\(\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{20 - 39}&{866}&{64.9}&{.09}\\{60 and older }&{934}&{63.1}&{.11}\\{}&{}&{}&{}\end{array}\)

  1. Calculate and interpret a confidence interval at confidence level approximately \(95\% \) for the difference between population mean height for the younger women and that for the older women.
  2. Let \({\mu _1}\) denote the population mean height for those aged \(20 - 39\) and \({\mu _2}\) denote the population mean height for those aged 60 and older. Interpret the hypotheses \({H_0}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} = 1 and {H_a}:{\mu _1} - {\mu _2} > 1,\) and then carry out a test of these hypotheses at significance level \(.001\)
  3. Based on the \(p\)-value calculated in (b) would you reject the null hypothesis at any reasonable significance level? Explain your reasoning.
  4. What hypotheses would be appropriate if \({\mu _1}\) referred to the older age group, \({\mu _2}\) to the younger age group, and you wanted to see if there was compelling evidence for concluding that the population mean height for younger women exceeded that for older women by more than \(1\)in.?

Tensile-strength tests were carried out on two different grades of wire rod (鈥淔luidized Bed Patenting of Wire Rods,鈥 Wire J., June \(1977: 56 - 61)\), resulting in the accompanying data

Sample

Sample Mean Sample

Grade Size (kg/mm2 ) SD

\(\overline {\underline {\begin{array}{*{20}{l}}{ AISI 1064}&{m = 129}&{\bar x = 107.6}&{{s_1} = 1.3}\\{ AISI 1078}&{n = 129}&{\bar y = 123.6}&{{s_2} = 2.0}\\{}&{}&{}&{}\end{array}} } \)

a. Does the data provide compelling evidence for concluding that true average strength for the \(1078\) grade exceeds that for the \(1064\) grade by more than \(10kg/m{m^2}\) ? Test the appropriate hypotheses using a significance level of \(.01\).

b. Estimate the difference between true average strengths for the two grades in a way that provides information about precision and reliability

1. An article in the November \(1983\) Consumer Reports compared various types of batteries. The average lifetimes of Duracell Alkaline \(AA\)batteries and Eveready Energizer Alkaline \(AA\) batteries were given as \(4.1\) hours and \(4.5\) hours, respectively. Suppose these are the population average lifetimes.

a. Let \(\bar X\) be the sample average lifetime of \(100\) Duracell batteries and \(\bar Y\) be the sample average lifetime of \(100\) Eveready batteries. What is the mean value of \(\bar X - \bar Y\) (i.e., where is the distribution of \({\bf{\bar X - \bar Y}}\) centered)? How does your answer depend on the specified sample sizes?

b. Suppose the population standard deviations of lifetime are \(1.8\) hours for Duracell batteries and \(2.0\) hours for Eveready batteries. With the sample sizes given in part (a), what is the variance of the statistic \(\bar X - \bar Y\), and what is its standard deviation?

c. For the sample sizes given in part (a), draw a picture of the approximate distribution curve of \(\bar X - \bar Y\) (include a measurement scale on the horizontal axis). Would the shape of the curve necessarily be the same for sample sizes of \(10\) batteries of each type? Explain

Antipsychotic drugs are widely prescribed for conditions such as schizophrenia and bipolar disease. The article "Cardiometabolic Risk of SecondGeneration Antipsychotic Medications During First-Time Use in Children and Adolescents"\((J\). of the Amer. Med. Assoc., 2009) reported on body composition and metabolic changes for individuals who had taken various antipsychotic drugs for short periods of time.

a. The sample of 41 individuals who had taken aripiprazole had a mean change in total cholesterol (mg/dL) of\(3.75\), and the estimated standard error\({s_D}/\sqrt n \)was\(3.878\). Calculate a confidence interval with confidence level approximately\(95\% \)for the true average increase in total cholesterol under these circumstances (the cited article included this CI).

b. The article also reported that for a sample of 36 individuals who had taken quetiapine, the sample mean cholesterol level change and estimated standard error were\(9.05\)and\(4.256\), respectively. Making any necessary assumptions about the distribution of change in cholesterol level, does the choice of significance level impact your conclusion as to whether true average cholesterol level increases? Explain. (Note: The article included a\(P\)-value.)

c. For the sample of 45 individuals who had taken olanzapine, the article reported\(99\% CI\)as a\(95\% \)CI for true average weight gain\((kg)\). What is a $\(99\% CI\)?

Reliance on solid biomass fuel for cooking and heating exposes many children from developing countries to high levels of indoor air pollution. The article 鈥淒omestic Fuels, Indoor Air Pollution, and Children鈥檚 Health鈥 (Annals of the N.Y. Academy of Sciences, \(2008:209 - 217\)) presented information on various pulmonary characteristics in samples of children whose households in India used either biomass fuel or liquefied petroleum gas (\(LPG\)). For the \(755\) children in biomass households, the sample mean peak expiratory flow (a person鈥檚 maximum speed of expiration) was \(3.30L/s\), and the sample standard deviation was \(1.20\). For the \(750\) children whose households used liquefied petroleum gas, the sample mean \(PEF\) was \(4.25\) and the sample standard deviation was \(1.75\).

a. Calculate a confidence interval at the \(95\% \) confidence level for the population mean \(PEF\) for children in biomass households and then do likewise for children in \(LPG\) households. What is the simultaneous confidence level for the two intervals?

b. Carry out a test of hypotheses at significance level \(.01\) to decide whether true average \(PEF\) is lower for children in biomass households than it is for children in \(LPG\) households (the cited article included a P-value for this test)

c. \(FE{V_1}\), the forced expiratory volume in \(1\) second, is another measure of pulmonary function. The cited article reported that for the biomass households the sample mean FEV1 was \(2.3L/s\) and the sample standard deviation was \(.5L/s\). If this information is used to compute a \(95\% \) \(CI\) for population mean \(FE{V_1}\), would the simultaneous confidence level for this interval and the first interval calculated in (a) be the same as the simultaneous confidence level determined there? Explain

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.