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Two fair six-sided dice are tossed independently. Let M = the maximum of the two tosses (so M(1,5) =5, M(3,3) = 3, etc.).

a. What is the pmf of M? (Hint: First determine p(1), then p(2), and so on.)

b. Determine the cdf of M and graph it.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. \(P\left( M \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{1}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 1\\\frac{3}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 2\\\frac{5}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 3\\\frac{7}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 4\\\frac{9}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 5\\\frac{{11}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 6\end{array} \right.\)

b. \(F\left( M \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}0,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M < 1\\\frac{1}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when 1}} \le M < 2\\\frac{4}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,2 \le M < 3\\\frac{9}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,3 \le M < 4\\\frac{{16}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,4 \le M < 5\\\frac{{25}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,5 \le M < 6\\1,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M \ge 6\end{array} \right.\)

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Two six-sided fair dice are tossed independently and the random variable\(M\)represent the maximum of the two tosses.

02

Obtain the sample space of an experiment

The possible outcomes of a throwing a single die is 6 i.e.\(\left\{ {1,2,3,4,5,6} \right\}\). If two dice are thrown then the possible outcomes is\({6^2} = 36\). The sample space S is given as:

\(S = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\left( {1,1} \right),\left( {1,2} \right),\left( {1,3} \right),\left( {1,4} \right),\left( {1,5} \right),\left( {1,6} \right)\\\left( {2,1} \right),\left( {2,2} \right),\left( {2,3} \right),\left( {2,4} \right),\left( {2,5} \right),\left( {2,6} \right)\\\left( {3,1} \right),\left( {3,2} \right),\left( {3,3} \right),\left( {3,4} \right),\left( {3,5} \right),\left( {3,6} \right)\\\left( {4,1} \right),\left( {4,2} \right),\left( {4,3} \right),\left( {4,4} \right),\left( {4,5} \right),\left( {4,6} \right)\\\left( {5,1} \right),\left( {5,2} \right),\left( {5,3} \right),\left( {5,4} \right),\left( {5,5} \right),\left( {5,6} \right)\\\left( {6,1} \right),\left( {6,2} \right),\left( {6,3} \right),\left( {6,4} \right),\left( {6,5} \right),\left( {6,6} \right)\end{array} \right\}\)

03

Determine the possible outcomes of random variable M

Consider M to be the maximum number in pair of two tosses and it can be taken for each outcome of an experiment.

Let\(M\left( {1,2} \right) = 2\), the value of M is 2. Similarly, for\(M\left( {6,3} \right) = 6\)the value is 6. The possible values for each outcome can be written as:

\(M = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}1,2,3,4,5,6\\2,2,3,4,5,6\\3,3,3,4,5,6\\4,4,4,4,5,6\\5,5,5,5,5,6\\6,6,6,6,6,6\end{array} \right\}\)

From the above list of values, the possible value of random variable M is\(\left\{ {1,2,3,4,5,6} \right\}\).

04

Find the probability mass function of M

As M is a random variable that can take maximum value among two tosses, when\(M = 1\) it means the maximum number in the pair is 1. Since the dice are fair so each outcome is equally likely to get selected. Then the probability of each outcome is\(\frac{1}{{36}}\).

The possible pair is\(\left\{ {\left( {1,1} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability can be calculated as:

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 1} \right) &= P\left( {1,1} \right)\\ &= \frac{1}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, when\(M = 2\)it means the maximum number in the pair is 2. The possible pairs are\(\left\{ {\left( {1,2} \right),\left( {2,1} \right),\left( {2,2} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 2} \right) &= \left( {P\left( {1,2} \right) + P\left( {2,1} \right) + P\left( {2,2} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{3}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, when\(M = 3\)it means the maximum number in the pair is 3. The possible pairs are\(\left\{ {\left( {1,3} \right),\left( {2,3} \right),\left( {3,1} \right),\left( {3,3} \right),\left( {3,2} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 3} \right) &= \left( {P\left( {1,3} \right) + P\left( {2,3} \right) + P\left( {3,1} \right) + P\left( {3,3} \right) + P\left( {3,2} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{5}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, when\(M = 4\)it means the maximum number in the pair is 4. The possible pairs are\(\left\{ {\left( {1,4} \right),\left( {2,4} \right),\left( {3,4} \right),\left( {4,3} \right),\left( {4,2} \right),\left( {4,1} \right),\left( {4,4} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 4} \right) &= \left( {P\left( {1,4} \right) + P\left( {2,4} \right) + P\left( {3,4} \right) + P\left( {4,3} \right) + P\left( {4,2} \right) + P\left( {4,1} \right) + P\left( {4,4} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{7}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, when\(M = 5\)it means the maximum number in the pair is 5. The possible pairs are\(\left\{ {\left( {1,5} \right),\left( {2,5} \right),\left( {3,5} \right),\left( {4,5} \right),\left( {5,2} \right),\left( {5,1} \right),\left( {5,4} \right),\left( {5,3} \right),\left( {5,5} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 5} \right) &= \left( \begin{array}{l}P\left( {1,5} \right) + P\left( {2,5} \right) + P\left( {3,5} \right) + P\left( {4,5} \right) + P\left( {5,2} \right)\\ + P\left( {5,1} \right) + P\left( {5,4} \right) + P\left( {5,3} \right) + P\left( {5,5} \right)\end{array} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{9}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, when\(M = 6\)it means the maximum number in the pair is 6. The possible pairs are\(\left\{ {\left( {1,6} \right),\left( {2,6} \right),\left( {3,6} \right),\left( {4,6} \right),\left( {5,6} \right),\left( {6,1} \right),\left( {6,2} \right),\left( {6,4} \right),\left( {6,3} \right),\left( {6,5} \right),\left( {6,6} \right)} \right\}\). So its probability is calculated as,

\(\begin{aligned}P\left( {M = 6} \right) &= \left( \begin{array}{l}P\left( {1,6} \right) + P\left( {2,6} \right) + P\left( {3,6} \right) + P\left( {4,6} \right) + P\left( {5,6} \right) + P\left( {6,1} \right)\\ + P\left( {6,2} \right) + P\left( {6,4} \right) + P\left( {6,3} \right) + P\left( {6,5} \right) + P\left( {6,6} \right)\end{array} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{1}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{11}}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

The probability distribution table is given as:

M

P(M)

1

\(\frac{1}{{36}}\)

2

\(\frac{3}{{36}}\)

3

\(\frac{5}{{36}}\)

4

\(\frac{7}{{36}}\)

5

\(\frac{9}{{36}}\)

6

\(\frac{{11}}{{36}}\)

The probability mass function for M is,

\(P\left( M \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}\frac{1}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 1\\\frac{3}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 2\\\frac{5}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 3\\\frac{7}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 4\\\frac{9}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 5\\\frac{{11}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M = 6\end{array} \right.\)

05

Find the cumulative distribution function of M

From the problem, the cdf\(F\left( {M = m} \right)\) can be defined as,

\(F\left( {M = m} \right) = P\left( {M \le m} \right)\)

First, compute\(F\left( 1 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 1} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 1} \right)\\ &= P\left( {M = 1} \right)\\ &= \frac{1}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Then, compute\(F\left( 2 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 2} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 2} \right)\\ &= \left( {P\left( {M = 1} \right) + P\left( {M = 2} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{3}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{4}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Then, compute\(F\left( 3 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 3} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 3} \right)\\ &= \left( {P\left( {M = 1} \right) + P\left( {M = 2} \right) + P\left( {M = 3} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{3}{{36}} + \frac{5}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{9}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, compute\(F\left( 4 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 4} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 4} \right)\\ &= \left( {P\left( {M = 1} \right) + P\left( {M = 2} \right) + P\left( {M = 3} \right) + P\left( {M = 4} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{3}{{36}} + \frac{5}{{36}} + \frac{7}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{16}}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Similarly, compute\(F\left( 5 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 5} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 5} \right)\\ &= \left( {P\left( {M = 1} \right) + P\left( {M = 2} \right) + P\left( {M = 3} \right) + P\left( {M = 4} \right) + P\left( {M = 5} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{3}{{36}} + \frac{5}{{36}} + \frac{7}{{36}} + \frac{9}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{25}}{{36}}\end{aligned}\)

Finally, compute\(F\left( 6 \right)\) using the above formula:

\(\begin{aligned}F\left( {M = 6} \right) &= P\left( {M \le 6} \right)\\ &= \left( {P\left( {M = 1} \right) + P\left( {M = 2} \right) + P\left( {M = 3} \right) + P\left( {M = 4} \right) + P\left( {M = 5} \right) + P\left( {M = 6} \right)} \right)\\ &= \left( {\frac{1}{{36}} + \frac{3}{{36}} + \frac{5}{{36}} + \frac{7}{{36}} + \frac{9}{{36}} + \frac{{11}}{{36}}} \right)\\ &= \frac{{36}}{{36}}\\ &= 1\end{aligned}\)

The cumulative distribution function of M is given as,

\(F\left( M \right) = \left\{ \begin{array}{l}0,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M < 1\\\frac{1}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when 1}} \le M < 2\\\frac{4}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,2 \le M < 3\\\frac{9}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,3 \le M < 4\\\frac{{16}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,4 \le M < 5\\\frac{{25}}{{36}},\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,5 \le M < 6\\1,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,\,{\rm{when}}\,M \ge 6\end{array} \right.\)

06

Draw Graph of the cumulative distribution function of M

Following are the steps to construct a line plot of cdf for M:

  1. Draw two axes in x-y Cartesian plane.
  2. The scale of X-axis represents the values ofMand the scale of Y-axis represents the cdf of each value.
  3. Label the marks and give names to the horizontal and vertical axes.
  4. Create dot for each value of cdf w.r.t to the value of M. Join all the data points to make a single line.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

An educational consulting firm is trying to decide whether high school students who have never before used a hand-held calculator can solve a certain type of problem more easily with a calculator that uses reverse Polish logic or one that does not use this logic. A sample of \({\rm{25}}\) students is selected and allowed to practice on both calculators. Then each student is asked to work one problem on the reverse Polish calculator and a similar problem on the other. Let \({\rm{p = P(S)}}\), where \({\rm{S}}\) indicates that a student worked the problem more quickly using reverse Polish logic than without, and let \({\rm{X = }}\)number of \({{\rm{S}}^{\rm{'}}}{\rm{s}}\).

a. If \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.5}}\), what is \({\rm{P(7}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{18)}}\)?

b. If \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.8}}\), what is \({\rm{P(7}} \le {\rm{X}} \le {\rm{18)}}\)?

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d. If the decision to reject the claim \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.5}}\) is made as in part (c), what is the probability that the claim is not rejected when \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.6}}\)? When \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.8}}\)?

e. What decision rule would you choose for rejecting the claim \({\rm{p = }}{\rm{.5}}\) if you wanted the probability in part (c) to be at most \({\rm{.01}}\)?

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a. What is the pmf of \({\bf{X}}\)?

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c. Compute \({\bf{P}}\left( {{\bf{6}}{\rm{ }}\# {\rm{ }}{\bf{X}}{\rm{ }}\# {\rm{ }}{\bf{10}}} \right).\)

d. Compute \({\bf{m}}\) and s2 .

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Airlines sometimes overbook flights. Suppose that for a plane with 50 seats, 55 passengers have tickets. Define the random variable Y as the number of ticketed passengers who actually show up for the flight. The probability mass function of Y appears in the accompanying table.

y

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

55

p(y)

.05

.10

.12

.14

.25

.17

.06

.05

.03

.02

.01

a. What is the probability that the flight will accommodateall ticketed passengers who show up?

b. What is the probability that not all ticketed passengerswho show up can be accommodated?

c. If you are the first person on the standby list (whichmeans you will be the first one to get on the plane ifthere are any seats available after all ticketed passengers have been accommodated), what is the probability that you will be able to take the flight? What is this probability if you are the third person on the standby list?

a. Show that b(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) = b(n - x; n, p). b. Show that B(x; n,\({\rm{1 - }}\)p) =\({\rm{1 - }}\)B(n - x -\({\rm{1}}\); n, p). (Hint: At most x S’s is equivalent to at least (n - x) F’s.) c. What do parts (a) and (b) imply about the necessity of including values of p greater than\({\rm{.5}}\)in Appendix Table A\({\rm{.1}}\)?

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a. What is the value of k? (Hint:\(\sum\limits_{y = 1}^5 {p\left( y \right)} = 1\))

b. What is the probability that at most three forms arerequired?

c. What is the probability that between two and fourforms (inclusive) are required?

d. Could \(p\left( y \right) = \frac{{{y^2}}}{{50}}\)for \(y = 1, \ldots ,5\)be the pmf of Y?

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