/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 73 Let \(X=\) the time between two ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Let \(X=\) the time between two successive arrivals at the drive-up window of a local bank. If \(X\) has an exponential distribution with \(\lambda=1\) (which is identical to a standard gamma distribution with \(\alpha=1\) ), compute the following: a. The expected time between two successive arrivals b. The standard deviation of the time between successive arrivals c. \(P(X \leq 4)\) d. \(P(2 \leq X \leq 5)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 1 b. 1 c. 0.9817 d. 0.1286

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Exponential Distribution

The random variable \( X \), representing the time between two successive arrivals, is described by an exponential distribution with rate parameter \( \lambda = 1 \). Exponential distribution is defined by \( f(x;\lambda) = \lambda e^{-\lambda x} \) for \( x \geq 0 \).
02

Calculate the Expected Value

The expected value or mean of an exponential distribution is given by \( \frac{1}{\lambda} \). With \( \lambda = 1 \), the expected time between two successive arrivals is \( \frac{1}{1} = 1 \).
03

Calculate the Standard Deviation

For an exponential distribution, the standard deviation is also \( \frac{1}{\lambda} \). Therefore, the standard deviation of the time between successive arrivals is \( \frac{1}{1} = 1 \).
04

Compute the Probability \( P(X \leq 4) \)

The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of an exponential distribution is \( F(x; \lambda) = 1 - e^{-\lambda x} \). For \( P(X \leq 4) \), substitute \( x = 4 \) and \( \lambda = 1 \): \[ P(X \leq 4) = 1 - e^{-1 \times 4} = 1 - e^{-4} \approx 1 - 0.0183 = 0.9817 \]
05

Compute the Probability \( P(2 \leq X \leq 5) \)

This is a range probability, calculated as \( P(X \leq 5) - P(X < 2) \). Compute each using the CDF:\( P(X \leq 5) = 1 - e^{-5} \approx 1 - 0.0067 = 0.9933 \)\( P(X < 2) = 1 - e^{-2} \approx 1 - 0.1353 = 0.8647 \)Subtract these probabilities: \[ P(2 \leq X \leq 5) = P(X \leq 5) - P(X < 2) \approx 0.9933 - 0.8647 = 0.1286 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Expected Value
The expected value, often referred to as the mean, is a fundamental aspect of probability and statistics. In the context of the exponential distribution, it helps us understand the average time between events. For an exponential distribution with a rate parameter \( \lambda \), the expected value is given by:\[\frac{1}{\lambda}.\]This formula simplifies the process of finding the mean by inverting the rate parameter. For our exercise, with \( \lambda = 1 \), the expected time between successive arrivals at the bank's drive-up window is simply \( 1 \) unit of time. This means that, on average, one can expect a minute or similar measure of time between two arrivals based on this distribution.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. For the exponential distribution, which deals with the time between events in a process that happens continuously and independently at a constant average rate, the standard deviation is a vital metric.In the exponential distribution, the standard deviation is the same as the expected value, given by:\[\frac{1}{\lambda}.\]As with the expected value, if \( \lambda = 1 \), the standard deviation is also \( 1 \). This highlights the uniform nature of the exponential distribution where the mean and standard deviation align, reflecting the consistency of the time intervals between events in a predictable manner.
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a probability distribution describes the probability that a random variable takes a value less than or equal to a specific value. For the exponential distribution, the CDF is represented as:\[F(x; \lambda) = 1 - e^{-\lambda x}.\]This formula calculates the probability that the time between events is at most \( x \). It inversely describes the exponential decay of time between events. For example, in our problem, the CDF for \( X \leq 4 \) is computed by substituting \( x = 4 \) and \( \lambda = 1 \), giving:\[P(X \leq 4) = 1 - e^{-4} \approx 0.9817.\]This indicates a high likelihood that the time between arrivals is four units or less, illustrating the capability of the CDF to quantify time-related probabilities.
Probability Calculation
Calculating probabilities for specific ranges is a common task when dealing with exponential distributions. It allows us to determine the likelihood of an event occurring within a defined period. Probabilities in certain ranges are obtained by finding the difference between two CDF values.For example, to find \( P(2 \leq X \leq 5) \), compute the probabilities for both bounds:
  • \( P(X \leq 5) = 1 - e^{-5} \approx 0.9933 \)
  • \( P(X < 2) = 1 - e^{-2} \approx 0.8647 \)
Subtracting these gives the probability for the interval:\[P(2 \leq X \leq 5) = 0.9933 - 0.8647 \approx 0.1286.\]This tells us the likelihood of the event occurring within this specific time frame.

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