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Compute the following binomial probabilities directly from the formula for \(b(x ; n, p)\) : a. \(b(3 ; 8, .6)\) b. \(b(5 ; 8,-6)\) c. \(P(3 \leq X \leq 5)\) when \(n=8\) and \(p=.6\) d. \(P(1 \leq X)\) when \(n=12\) and \(p=.1\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.123, b. Invalid, c. 0.6321, d. 0.7176

Step by step solution

01

Define the Binomial Probability Formula

The binomial probability formula is given by \( b(x; n, p) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \), where \( \binom{n}{x} \) is a binomial coefficient calculated as \( \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!} \). In this exercise, we will use this formula to compute the required probabilities.
02

Calculate b(3; 8, 0.6)

First, identify the values: \( n = 8 \), \( x = 3 \), and \( p = 0.6 \). Compute using the formula: - Binomial coefficient: \( \binom{8}{3} = \frac{8!}{3!(8-3)!} = 56 \). - Calculating probability: \( b(3; 8, 0.6) = 56 \times 0.6^3 \times 0.4^5 \). - Simplifying: \( 56 \times 0.216 \times 0.01024 = 0.123 \). The probability is approximately \(0.123\).
03

Analyze b(5; 8, -0.6)

Probability \( p \) must be between 0 and 1. Here \( p = -0.6 \) is invalid. Therefore, \( b(5; 8, -0.6) \) cannot be computed since a probability cannot be negative.
04

Compute P(3 ≤ X ≤ 5) for n=8, p=0.6

We need the probabilities for \( X = 3, 4, 5 \). - Already computed \( b(3; 8, 0.6) = 0.123 \). - Find \( b(4; 8, 0.6) = \binom{8}{4} \times 0.6^4 \times 0.4^4 = 0.2304 \). - Find \( b(5; 8, 0.6) = \binom{8}{5} \times 0.6^5 \times 0.4^3 = 0.2787 \). Add them: \( 0.123 + 0.2304 + 0.2787 = 0.6321 \). The probability is approximately \(0.6321\).
05

Compute P(1 ≤ X) for n=12, p=0.1

The probability \( P(X \geq 1) = 1 - P(X = 0) \). First find \( P(X = 0): \) \( b(0; 12, 0.1) = \binom{12}{0} \times 0.1^0 \times 0.9^{12} = 0.2824 \). Then, \( P(1 \leq X) = 1 - 0.2824 = 0.7176 \). The probability is approximately \(0.7176\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a fundamental component of the binomial probability formula. It's denoted as \( \binom{n}{x} \) and represents the number of ways to choose \(x\) successes out of \(n\) trials, where order does not matter. This is calculated using the formula:
\[\binom{n}{x} = \frac{n!}{x!(n-x)!}\]
Here, \(!\) denotes factorial, which is the product of all positive integers up to that number. For example, \(5! = 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 120\).
To illustrate, if you want to calculate \( \binom{8}{3} \), you evaluate \( \frac{8!}{3!(8-3)!} \), which simplifies to \( \frac{8!}{3!5!} = 56\).
  • \(n!\) is the factorial of the number of trials.
  • \(x!\) is the factorial of the number of successes.
  • \((n-x)!\) is the factorial of the number of failures.
These coefficients tell us how many potential outcomes are possible for a specific combination of successes across multiple trials.
Probability Formula
The probability of exactly \(x\) successes in \(n\) independent trials of a binomial experiment is given by the binomial probability formula:
\[ b(x; n, p) = \binom{n}{x} p^x (1-p)^{n-x} \]
  • \(p\) is the probability of success on a single trial.
  • \((1-p)\) is the probability of failure (since the sum of the probability of success and failure must equal 1).
  • \(p^x\) is the probability of obtaining \(x\) successes.
  • \((1-p)^{n-x}\) is the probability of obtaining \(n-x\) failures.
Let's break it down with an example: The problem \( b(3; 8, 0.6) \) involves 8 trials with a success probability of 0.6. Using the formula involves computing three parts:
1. Calculate the binomial coefficient, \( \binom{8}{3} = 56 \).2. Raise the success probability to the power of \(x\), giving \( 0.6^3 \).3. Raise the failure probability to the power of losses, \( 0.4^5 \).
Multiply these together: \( 56 \times 0.216 \times 0.01024 = 0.123 \). Thus, the probability is approximately \(0.123\).
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability refers to the probability that the random variable is within a specified range, not just at a specific point. It is crucial in determining the likelihood of a certain event occurring over multiple trials in a binomial distribution.
To calculate cumulative probability, you sum up all the individual probabilities for the range of interest. For instance, if you want to find the probability that a binomial random variable will be between 3 and 5 inclusive:
  • Calculate each individual probability using the binomial formula, as seen with \(b(3; 8, 0.6) = 0.123\), \(b(4; 8, 0.6) = 0.2304\), and \(b(5; 8, 0.6) = 0.2787\).
  • Add these computed probabilities together: \(0.123 + 0.2304 + 0.2787 = 0.6321\).
Cumulative probabilites are useful for understanding the behavior over an interval rather than at a single outcome, making them highly applicable in statistics for assessing overall likelihoods.

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