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Exercise 8.58 stated that a random sample of 500 measurements on the length of stay in hospitals had sample mean 5.4 days and sample standard deviation 3.1 days. A federal regulatory agency hypothesizes that the average length of stay is in excess of 5 days. Do the data support this hypothesis? Use \(\alpha=.05\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, the data support the hypothesis that the average length of stay is more than 5 days.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

We begin by setting up the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis is that the true average length of stay in hospitals is 5 days, denoted as \( H_0: \mu = 5 \). The alternative hypothesis, suggested by the agency's claim, is that the average length is greater than 5 days, denoted as \( H_a: \mu > 5 \).
02

Determine the Significance Level

The significance level, \( \alpha \), is given as 0.05. This value represents the cutoff probability for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis.
03

Calculate the Test Statistic

The test statistic is calculated using the formula for the one-sample z-test: \[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \] where \( \bar{x} = 5.4 \) is the sample mean, \( \mu_0 = 5 \) is the population mean under the null hypothesis, \( s = 3.1 \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n = 500 \) is the sample size. Substituting these values, we have: \[ z = \frac{5.4 - 5}{\frac{3.1}{\sqrt{500}}} = \frac{0.4}{0.1386} \approx 2.88 \]
04

Determine the Critical Value

For a right-tailed test with \( \alpha = 0.05 \), we find the z-critical value from the standard normal distribution table. The critical value corresponding to \( \alpha = 0.05 \) is approximately 1.645.
05

Make the Decision

Compare the calculated test statistic to the critical value. Since the test statistic \( z = 2.88 \) is greater than the critical value of 1.645, we reject the null hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

z-test
The z-test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between the sample mean and a known population mean. It's particularly useful when the sample size is large (usually above 30), as in the exercise where 500 samples were observed. The z-test employs the standard normal distribution to evaluate the test statistic against critical values.
The formula for the z-test is given by:\[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}} \]Where:
  • \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean
  • \( \mu_0 \) is the population mean according to the null hypothesis
  • \( s \) is the sample standard deviation
  • \( n \) is the sample size
In our exercise, the z-test helps to determine whether the observed average length of hospital stays (5.4 days) significantly exceeds the hypothesized average of 5 days.
null hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a crucial component in hypothesis testing. It proposes that there is no effect or no difference, and it sets up a baseline that we test against. Essentially, it's a statement of no change or no effect. In our exercise, the null hypothesis \( H_0: \mu = 5 \) asserts that the average hospital stay is exactly 5 days.Accepting the null hypothesis implies there's not enough evidence to claim a difference from the stated mean. It acts as a default assumption unless the evidence strongly suggests otherwise. Null hypotheses are always framed to allow for their refutation, which is the aim of most hypothesis tests. In statistical testing, failing to reject the null does not prove it true, just as rejecting it does not prove the alternative hypothesis true.
alternative hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis is what you suspect might be true or aim to support with evidence. It stands in contrast to the null hypothesis. For the exercise, the alternative hypothesis \( H_a: \mu > 5 \) suggests that the average stay in hospitals is more than 5 days, in line with the federal agency's hypothesis.The alternative hypothesis is crucial because it identifies what is being tested and what the research aims to demonstrate. If the data provides sufficient evidence against the null hypothesis, we accept the alternative hypothesis. In practice, the alternative hypothesis is what you're trying to prove. It directs the nature of the test being performed—in this case, a right-tailed test, which checks for evidence that the sample mean is greater than the hypothesized mean.
significance level
The significance level, denoted by \( \alpha \), is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. Essentially, it's the threshold for determining whether the observed test statistic is extreme enough to warrant rejecting the null hypothesis.
In most tests, a significance level of 0.05 is commonly used, as seen in our exercise. This means there's a 5% risk of mistakenly claiming that the sample provides enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis when it's actually correct.
A lower significance level means a stricter criterion for rejecting the null hypothesis, minimizing the risk of a Type I error (false positive). In statistical tests, setting the significance level is an important decision that reflects the acceptable risk of making such an error. For our exercise, since the calculated z-value exceeded the critical value at \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the null hypothesis was rejected.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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