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A service center consists of two servers, each working at an exponential rate of two services per hour. If customers arrive at a Poisson rate of three per hour, then, assuming a system capacity of at most three customers, (a) what fraction of potential customers enter the system? (b) what would the value of part (a) be if there was only a single server, and his rate was twice as fast (that is, \(\mu=4\) )?

Short Answer

Expert verified
In the given system, the fraction of potential customers entering the system for the case with two servers is equal to \(1 - P(3) = 1 - \frac{(1-\frac{3}{4})\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3)}\). For the case with a single server with twice the service rate, the fraction of potential customers entering the system is equal to \(1 - P(3) = 1 - \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2)}\).

Step by step solution

01

Find the steady-state probabilities

Using the notation M/M/s/K, we can represent the system as an M/M/2/3 model (two servers, three customers capacity). The steady-state probabilities are given by the formula: \[P(n) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^n}{n!(1-\rho^{s+1})}\] Here, \(P(n)\) represents the probability that the system has n customers, and the system utilization, \(\rho\), is given by: \[\rho = \frac{\lambda}{s\mu}\] _Determine the system utilization_ With \(s = 2\) servers, each with \(\mu = 2\) services per hour, and \(\lambda = 3\) customers per hour, we can find \(\rho\): \[\rho = \frac{3}{2\cdot2} = \frac{3}{4}\] _Calculate the steady-state probabilities_ Using the formula for the steady-state probabilities \(P(n)\) for \(n = 0, 1, 2\), and \(3\): \[P(0) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^0}{0!(1-\rho^{3})} = \frac{1-\frac{3}{4}}{1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}\] \[P(1) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^1}{1!(1-\rho^{3})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^1}{1!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3)}\] \[P(2) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^2}{2!(1-\rho^{3})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2}{2!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3)}\] \[P(3) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^3}{3!(1-\rho^{3})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3)}\]
02

Find the losing probability and fraction of potential customers

The losing probability is given by the probability that the system has reached capacity, which is equivalent to \(P(3)\). Calculate \(P(3)\) using the expression obtained in the previous step: \[P(3) = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3)}\] Now, the fraction of potential customers who enter the system is given by: \[1 - P(3)\] (b) A single server, working at an exponential rate of 4 services per hour
03

Find the steady-state probabilities for the single server

Using M/M/s/K, we can represent the system as an M/M/1/3 model (one server, three customers capacity). Utilizing the same formula for the steady-state probabilities \(P(n)\), we first need to determine the new system utilization \(\rho\). The new service rate is \(\mu = 4\) services per hour: \[\rho = \frac{3}{1\cdot4} = \frac{3}{4}\] Now, calculate the steady-state probabilities \(P(n)\) for \(n = 0, 1, 2\), and \(3\): \[P(0) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^0}{0!(1-\rho^{1+1})} = \frac{1-\frac{3}{4}}{1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2}\] \[P(1) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^1}{1!(1-\rho^{1+1})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^1}{1!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2)}\] \[P(2) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^2}{2!(1-\rho^{1+1})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2}{2!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2)}\] \[P(3) = \frac{(1-\rho) \rho^3}{3!(1-\rho^{1+1})} = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2)}\]
04

Find the losing probability and fraction of potential customers

The losing probability for the single server is given by \(P(3)\). Calculate \(P(3)\) using the expression obtained in the previous step: \[P(3) = \frac{\left(1-\frac{3}{4}\right)\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^3}{3!(1-\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^2)}\] The fraction of potential customers who enter the system for the single server case is: \[1 - P(3)\]

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider a set of \(n\) machines and a single repair facility to service these machines. Suppose that when machine \(i, i=1, \ldots, n\), fails it requires an exponentially distributed amount of work with rate \(\mu_{i}\) to repair it. The repair facility divides its efforts equally among all failed machines in the sense that whenever there are \(k\) failed machines each one receives work at a rate of \(1 / k\) per unit time. If there are a total of \(r\) working machines, including machine \(i\), then \(i\) fails at an instantaneous rate \(\lambda_{i} / r\) (a) Define an appropriate state space so as to be able to analyze the preceding system as a continuous-time Markov chain. (b) Give the instantaneous transition rates (that is, give the \(q_{i j}\) ). (c) Write the time reversibility equations. (d) Find the limiting probabilities and show that the process is time reversible.

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