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Public Policy Polling recently conducted a survey asking adults across the U.S. about music preferences. When asked, 80of the 571participants admitted that they have illegally downloaded music.

a. Create a 99%confidence interval for the true proportion of American adults who have illegally downloaded music.

b. This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews on May 6and 7,2013. The error bound of the survey compensates for sampling error, or natural variability among samples. List some factors that could affect the survey鈥檚 outcome that are not covered by the margin of error.

c. Without performing any calculations, describe how the confidence interval would change if the confidence level changed from 99%to 90%.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) 99%of the confidence interval for the proportion of Yankee adults who legally downloaded music is 0.103p0.177

(b) many peoples have not attended the telephone interviews. If they do respond to the surveys, you can not be sure who is responding.

(c) Decreasing the confidence level causes the error to decrease making the confidence interval narrower

Step by step solution

01

Find the values related to confidence interval (part a)

A survey of music tastes was recently done by public policy polling.

When asked, x=80 n=571people acknowledged downloading music illegally.

As a result, the sample's estimated proportion is

p'=xn=80571=0.14

Itp'is the proportion of observations in a random sample of size n that belong to a class of interest, the confidence interval on the proportion pof the community that belongs to this class is about 100(1-)%.

p'-z2p'1-p'npp'+z2p'1-p'n (1)

where z/2 is the upper and a/2 percentage point of the standard normal distribution. for a 99% two-sided confidence interval,

2=1-0.992=0.005

and

z2=2.58

02

Find 99%the confidence interval for the proportion of American adults who  legally downloaded music (part a)

A two-sided confidence interval for the population proportion can be calculated using the formulae.

0.14-2.580.14(1-0.14)571p0.14+2.580.14(1-0.14)571,

0.14-0.0374p0.14+0.0374.

As a result, the 99%confidence interval pis

0.103p0.177

03

Find the factors that could affect the survey's outcome (part b)

Many people refuse to participate in telephonic surveys.

You have no way of knowing who is responding to the surveys if they do respond.

04

Find the confidence interval level decreases (part c)

Decreasing the confidence interval, causing the error bound to fall, resulting in a narrower confidence interval

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