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According to a 2017 Gallup poll, \(44 \%\) of Americans report they frequently feel stressed. Suppose 200 Americans are randomly sampled. Find the probability of the following: a. Fewer than 80 frequently feel stressed b. At least 90 frequently feel stressed c. Between 80 and 100 frequently feel stressed d. At most 75 frequently feel stressed

Short Answer

Expert verified
The binomial probability of each case will differ based on the specified conditions, and can be found by applying the binomial probability formula to each case.

Step by step solution

01

Find Misinterpret Probability and Size of Sample

The given misinterpret probability of frequently feeling stressed is \(p = 0.44\) or \(44\%\) and the sample size is \(n = 200\) Americans.
02

Calculate For Each Case

Case a. Fewer than 80 frequently feel stressed: This requires calculating the cumulative probabilities for 0 to 79, using the binomial probability formula for each and adding them together. Case b. At least 90 frequently feel stressed: This requires finding the cumulative probabilities for 90 to 200 and adding them together, which can be a lengthy task. An easier method is to calculate the cumulative probabilities from 0 to 89 and subtract the total from 1. Case c. Between 80 and 100 frequently feel stressed: This requires calculating the cumulative probabilities for 80 to 100. Case d. At most 75 frequently feel stressed: This requires calculating the cumulative probabilities from 0 to 75.
03

Apply The Binomial Probability Formula

For each case, apply the binomial probability formula \(P(x) = C(n,x) * (p^x) * ((1-p)^(n-x))\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
Probability is a fundamental concept in the field of mathematics and statistics. It quantifies the likelihood of a specific outcome occurring in a given scenario. In essence, probability is a measure of uncertainty.
For example, when tossing a coin, there's a probability of getting a head or a tail, each equally likely at 50%. In the context of stress levels among Americans as per the Gallup poll, the probability value derived is based on the assumption that each individual's stress level is an independent event.

In the exercise, the probability of an American frequently feeling stressed is 44%, or 0.44 in decimal form. Understanding this probability is crucial for applying it to various calculations such as determining the likelihood of a certain number of people feeling stressed in a sample size of 200.
Statistics
Statistics involves the collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization of data. It provides tools for making sense of large amounts of data and making informed decisions based on data trends.
In exercises like the one provided, statistics helps us make predictions about a population based on a sample. The sample of 200 Americans is a small portion of the entire population, but it offers valuable insights into the stress levels of Americans as a whole.
Through statistical methods, we derive probabilities of fewer than, at least, or between certain numbers of people frequently feeling stressed. Concepts like mean, variance, and standard deviation often come into play in these analyses but are simplified here for practical problem-solving.
Sampling
Sampling is a method used to select a subset of individuals from a population to estimate characteristics of the entire group. It is a cornerstone of statistical analysis and allows researchers to gather data more efficiently.
In our exercise, 200 Americans serve as a sample, representing the broader population of the United States. Random sampling is particularly important because it minimizes bias and provides a more accurate reflection of the entire population.
Through sampling, we can infer the percentage of the total population that frequently feels stressed without having to survey every individual. This method is both cost-effective and time-saving, making it a valuable tool in data collection and analysis.
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability refers to the likelihood that a random variable is less than or equal to a particular value. In other words, it's the sum of probabilities of all outcomes up to a certain point.
In the context of the provided problem, cumulative probabilities help us to efficiently calculate the probability of scenarios such as fewer than 80 people feeling stressed or at most 75 without lengthy calculations.

Instead of calculating individual probabilities for each outcome, we can calculate cumulative probabilities and use strategies like complement probabilities. This can mean calculating the probability of the opposite scenario and subtracting it from one, which simplifies computation and reduces errors. Understanding cumulative probabilities is crucial for effectively analyzing situations involving ranges and specific conditions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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