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According to the National Health Center, the heights of 5 -year-old boys are Normally distributed with a mean of 43 inches and a standard deviation of \(1.5\) inches. a. In which percentile is a 5 -year-old boy who is \(46.5\) inches tall? b. If a 5 -year-old boy who is \(46.5\) inches tall grows up to be a man at the same percentile of height, what height will he be? Assume adult men's heights (inches) are distributed as \(N(69,3)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The 5-year-old boy is in the 99th percentile. b. The boy will grow up to be approximately 77 inches tall.

Step by step solution

01

- Calculate the z-score for the 5-year old boy

The z-score is calculated using the formula \[z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma}\] where \(x\) is the value for which we want to find the z-score, \(\mu\) is the mean and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation. Substituting the given values in the formula, we get \[z = \frac{46.5 - 43}{1.5} = 2.33\]. A z-score of \(2.33\) implies that the boy's height is \(2.33\) standard deviations above the mean.
02

- Find the percentile for this z-score

The percentile associated with a given z-score can be found using a standard normal distribution table or a statistical software or calculator that can compute probabilities of normal distributions. For \(z = 2.33\), we find that this is approximately the 99th percentile. So the boy is taller than approximately 99% of 5-year old boys.
03

- Find the height matching this percentile in adult men's heights

We use the information that the boy would grow up to be a man in the same percentile of height, and this corresponds to a z-score of \(2.33\) in adult men's heights. We can use the z-score formula to find the corresponding height. Rearranging the formula, we get \[x = z.\sigma + \mu\]. Substituting the known values, we get the height in inches = \(2.33.3 + 69 = 76.99\). Therefore, the boy would grow up to be approximately \(77\) inches tall.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Z-Score
A z-score, also known as a standard score, quantifies how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean. In simpler terms, it shows how far and in what direction a value deviates from a distribution's average. To calculate a z-score, one subtracts the mean from the data point and then divides it by the standard deviation.

When a 5-year-old boy measures 46.5 inches, much taller than the average of 43 inches, we calculate the z-score to understand how unusual his height is compared to his peers. By applying the z-score formula \( z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} \),where \( x \) is the height of the boy (46.5 inches), \( \mu \) is the mean height (43 inches), and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation (1.5 inches), we find a z-score of 2.33. This z-score indicates that he is 2.33 standard deviations above the average height for boys his age.
Deciphering Percentile Rank
Percentile rank provides a relative position of a value within a data set, indicating the percentage of data that lies below it. For example, if a height is at the 99th percentile, it means that 99% of the observed values are shorter, and only 1% are taller.

The percentile ranking is especially informative in growth charts where it maps a child's growth in comparison with other children. In this case, a z-score of 2.33 correlates with a percentile rank close to the 99th percentile, informing us that the boy's height places him above 99% of his peers. Percentiles are a way to understand how an individual's measurements compare to a broader population. By knowing his height's percentile rank, we can predict that if he maintains the same growth pattern, he will continue to be taller than average as he grows up.
The Role of Standard Deviation
Standard deviation (\( \sigma \)) measures how spread out the numbers in a data set are. In real-life terms, it represents the extent of variation or diversity from the average. A small standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean, while a larger standard deviation suggests more variability.

For the heights of 5-year-old boys, with a standard deviation of 1.5 inches, we see that most heights cluster within a small range from the mean. This gives us context when comparing the boy's height to that of his peers. In adult men, we observe a standard deviation of 3 inches. The increase in standard deviation reflects a greater diversity in adults' heights. Understanding standard deviation aids in interpreting individual measurements like the height of the boy and gauging what is typical within a given population.

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