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Whales have one of the longest gestation periods of any mammal. According to whalefacts.org, the mean gestation period for a whale is 14 months. Assume the distribution of gestation periods is Normal with a standard deviation of \(1.2\) months. a. Find the standard score associated with a gestational period of \(12.8\) months. b. Using the Empirical Rule and your answer to part a, what percentage of whale pregnancies will have a gestation period between \(12.8\) months and 14 months? c. Would it be unusual for a whale to have a gestation period of 18 months? Why or why not?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The z-score for a gestation period of 12.8 months should be calculated using the formula \(Z = \frac{(12.8 - 14)}{1.2}\). b. The percentage of whale pregnancies that have a gestation period between 12.8 months and 14 months can be calculated using the empirical rule. c. The gestation period of 18 months will be considered unusual if its absolute z-score is greater than 3.

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of standard score (z-score)

The z-score can be calculated using the formula \(Z = \frac{(X - μ)}{σ}\), where X is the data point, μ is the mean, and σ is the standard deviation. Here, X = 12.8 months, μ = 14 months, and σ = 1.2 months. Substituting these values, the calculation would go as follows: \(Z = \frac{(12.8 - 14)}{1.2}\)
02

Interpretation of standard score

The calculated z-score should be compared with the z-value in the normal distribution table. If the absolute value of the z-score is greater than 3, it is a rare or unusual data point in a normal distribution.
03

Application of the empirical rule

The empirical rule states that about 68% of the data falls within one standard deviation of the mean, about 95% within two standard deviations, and about 99.7% within 3 standard deviations. This rule can be used to calculate the percentage of whale pregnancies that have a gestation period between 12.8 months and 14 months.
04

Evaluation of rarity

If a whale has a gestation period of 18 months, the z-score for this should be calculated the same way as before: \(Z = \frac{(18 - 14)}{1.2}\). This value can be compared with the empirical rule to determine if the gestation period of 18 months is unusual.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-Score Calculation
The z-score is a statistical measure that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values. It is expressed in terms of standard deviations from the mean.

When computing the z-score for a particular data point in a dataset, the formula is: \( Z = \frac{(X - \mu)}{\sigma} \) where \( X \) is the value being assessed, \( \mu \) is the mean of the data set, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation. This calculation evaluates how far and in what direction, the value deviates from the mean.

For example, in the context of whale gestation periods, if we want to find the z-score for a gestation period of 12.8 months with a mean of 14 months and a standard deviation of 1.2 months, the z-score is computed as follows: \( Z = \frac{(12.8 - 14)}{1.2} \) resulting in a z-score that tells us how many standard deviations the value of 12.8 is from the mean.

Interpreting the Z-Score

Once calculated, the z-score can indicate whether the data point is above or below the mean, and by how many standard deviations. A z-score of 0 indicates that the value is exactly average, while negative or positive scores indicate below or above average, respectively. High absolute values suggest that the data point is far from the mean, which could either indicate a significant deviation or an outlier depending on context.
Normal Distribution
Normal distribution, also known as the Gaussian distribution, is a bell-shaped curve that is symmetrical about the mean. In a perfectly normal distribution, most data points cluster around the central peak, and the probabilities for values taper off equally in both directions as you move away from the mean.

Understandably, biological processes like gestation periods often follow a normal distribution, meaning most instances occur near the average with fewer instances as the values move towards the extremes.

Characteristics of Normal Distribution

Key characteristics include its mean, median, and mode being equal; approximately 68% of the data falling within one standard deviation; 95% within two; and 99.7% within three. This distribution is fundamental in statistics because it underpins many statistical procedures, including hypothesis testing and confidence intervals.
Empirical Rule
The empirical rule, sometimes known as the 68-95-99.7 rule, is a shorthand used to remember the percentage of values that lie within a band around the mean in a normal distribution with a known standard deviation.

The rule states that for a normal distribution:
  • About 68% of values fall within one standard deviation of the mean.
  • Approximately 95% are within two standard deviations.
  • Around 99.7% lie within three standard deviations.
Applying this to whale gestation, one can estimate the range within which various percentages of gestation periods should fall. For example, applying the empirical rule and the previously calculated z-score for 12.8 months, we can infer that a significant percentage of whale gestation periods occur between 12.8 months and the mean of 14 months. This statistical tool provides a quick way to assess the probability and standardize the comparison across different sets of data.
Gestation Periods in Whales
Gestation period refers to the length of time a female mammal carries her offspring from conception to birth. Whales, being mammals, have gestation periods that vary by species but are amongst the longest in the animal kingdom. For many species, this period can average around 14 months.

Understanding the gestation periods of whales is vital for conservation and biological study as it can influence population dynamics and health. Researchers and biologists use statistical techniques, such as normal distribution and z-score calculations, to analyze gestation data. Such analyses can help determine if certain factors are affecting the gestation periods, or if observed lengths are within the expected range. When outliers, such as an unusually long gestation period of 18 months, are identified, it raises questions about the potential biological, environmental, or methodological reasons behind such deviations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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