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An Accountemps survey asked workers to identify what behavior of coworkers irritates them the most. Forty-one percent of the workers surveyed said that sloppy work is the most irritating behavior. Suppose that this percentage is based on a random sample of 500 workers. a. Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all workers who will say that sloppy work is the most irritating behavior of their coworkers. b. Suppose the confidence interval obtained in part a is too wide. How can the width of this interval be reduced? Discuss all possible alternatives. Which alternative is the best?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion is approximately \(p - 1.96*SE\) to \(p + 1.96*SE\). In order to reduce the confidence interval, a lower level of confidence could be selected or the sample size could be increased, with the latter being the best choice if time and cost are not concerns.

Step by step solution

01

Compute P (Proportion)

Compute the proportion p, which is the number of workers who find sloppy work most irritating. This is given as 41% of 500 workers, so p = 0.41.
02

Determine the Critical Value

Using a z-table or calculator, the critical value Z for a \(95%\) confidence interval is approximately 1.96.
03

Calculate the Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of the proportion can be calculated using the formula \(\sqrt{(p * (1 - p)) / n}\). Substitute n=500, p=0.41 to get the SE.
04

Calculate the Confidence Interval

Once we have the critical value Z and the SE, we can calculate the lower and upper limit of the confidence interval with \(p - Z * SE,\) and \(p + Z * SE,\) respectively.
05

Discussing Alternatives

To reduce the width of the confidence interval, we could either decrease the confidence level, increase the sample size, or both. Lowering the confidence level makes the interval narrower but it also means we are less sure that the true population parameter lies within our interval. On the other hand, increasing sample size reduces the margin of error. But there are practical limitations to this, such as cost and time.
06

Best Alternative

The best alternative actually depends on the situation. If time and cost are not a problem, increasing the sample size would be the best option as it results in a smaller margin of error without sacrificing the level of confidence.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Proportion Calculation
When we talk about proportion calculation in the context of surveys, we are essentially discussing how to convert survey results into a fraction or percentage that represents the preferences or opinions of the surveyed group. In this exercise, the proportion of workers who find sloppy work irritating is given as 41%.
This means out of every 100 workers, 41 feel this way. To determine the actual number of workers from our sample who feel this way, we multiply the proportion by the sample size:\[ \text{Proportion} = \frac{\text{Number of 'Yes' responses}}{\text{Total number of responses}} \]
So, in our example: 0.41 multiplied by 500 gives 205 workers. This simple calculation sets the stage for further statistical analysis, such as calculating the confidence interval.
Standard Error
The concept of standard error helps us understand how much we expect our sample proportion to vary from the true population proportion. It is a crucial element in confidence interval calculations. Simply put, a smaller standard error indicates higher precision in our estimate compared to a larger standard error.
The formula to calculate standard error for a proportion is:\[ \text{SE} = \sqrt{\frac{p(1-p)}{n}} \]
Where \( p \) is the sample proportion, and \( n \) represents the sample size. In our case: \( p = 0.41 \) and \( n = 500 \). By inserting these into the formula, we can calculate the standard error, which gives us insight into how our sample proportion might fluctuate if we were to draw multiple samples of the same size.
Sample Size
Sample size directly impacts the accuracy and reliability of survey results, affecting both the confidence interval and the standard error. A larger sample size results in a more precise estimate, which means a narrower confidence interval and smaller standard error. Think of it like adding more data points to reduce the guesswork.
The formula shows us that as \( n \) grows, the standard error decreases, leading to a tighter, more reliable confidence interval. However, collecting larger samples can be challenging due to resource constraints such as time, cost, or accessibility. Balancing these factors is key when planning surveys or experiments.
Critical Value
The critical value is a factor used when calculating the confidence interval. It represents the desired level of certainty we want to achieve in our estimate. In statistical terms, it determines how far our sample mean is from the true population mean, based on a standard normal distribution.
For a typical confidence interval calculation, critical values are associated with common confidence levels, such as 95% or 99%. In our case, the critical value is approximately 1.96 for a 95% confidence interval. This value represents the number of standard errors away from the mean we are willing to go to ensure our interval captures the true proportion in the population. To find these values, one typically uses statistical tables (like the z-table) or software.
Understanding the role of the critical value helps us grasp why our confidence interval reaches certain endpoints and why varying this level changes the interval's width.

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