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You are working for a supermarket. The manager has asked you to estimate the mean time taken by a cashier to serve customers at this supermarket. Briefly explain how you will conduct this study. Collect data on the time taken by any supermarket cashier to serve 40 customers. Then estimate the population mean. Choose your own confidence level

Short Answer

Expert verified
The study would involve data collection on service times for 40 customers from a particular cashier. The sample mean and standard deviation would be calculated from this data. Then, a confidence interval can be computed around the sample mean, giving a range in which we are confident that the actual population mean falls. The precise range would depend on the chosen confidence level.

Step by step solution

01

Define Research Objective

The research objective is to estimate the average time taken by a cashier to serve customers at this supermarket. This is crucial to improve operations and potentially the customer experience.
02

Collect Data

Identify a specific cashier and collect data for the time taken to serve each customer. Do this for approximately 40 customers, ensuring a random selection (e.g., not all during rush hours). This data needs to be accurate and precise as it will impact the estimation of the population mean.
03

Calculate Sample Mean

Once the data has been collected, calculate the sample mean. This is done by summing all the individual times and dividing by the total number of observations (in this case, 40). This gives the mean service time for the sampled customers - denoted as \( \bar{x} \).
04

Estimate Population Mean

This sample mean can be used to estimate the population mean. However, to state how confident we are about this estimate, we need to compute a confidence interval using the chosen level of confidence (z-value, based on the chosen confidence level, from the standard normal distribution). We would also need to estimate the standard deviation (s) of population from the sample. The upper and lower bounds of the confidence interval are then given by \( \bar{x} \pm z \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \).
05

Interpret Results

The final step is to interpret the results. The computed interval gives the range in which we are confident that the true population mean falls, based on the chosen confidence level. If this range is unacceptable, more data may need to be collected, or the process may need to be improved to decrease service time.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean
The sample mean is a fundamental statistic used to estimate the central tendency of a dataset. In this study, after collecting the service times for 40 customers, we're interested in determining the average time it took the cashier to complete each transaction. To find the sample mean, sum up all the observed service times and then divide by the total number of data points, which is 40.

Mathematically, this is expressed as:
  • The sum of all observed values: \( X_1 + X_2 + \ldots + X_{40} \)
  • Divided by the total number of observations \( n = 40 \)
This gives us the sample mean, denoted as \( \bar{x} \). This mean serves as a point estimate for the population mean, which represents the average service time for all customers served by the cashier.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides a range of values which is likely to contain the population mean. After calculating the sample mean, it's important to establish how "confident" we are in this estimate by calculating a confidence interval. This interval is calculated using a chosen level of confidence, often 95% or 99%.

To calculate a confidence interval, you need:
  • The sample mean \( \bar{x} \)
  • An estimated standard deviation \( s \)
  • The size of your sample \( n \), which is 40
  • A z-value corresponding to the chosen confidence level (e.g., 1.96 for 95% confidence)
The confidence interval is expressed as:\[\bar{x} \pm z \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\]This means that we can say, with a certain level of confidence, that the true population mean falls within this calculated range.
Population Mean
The population mean is the average of a group, where the group consists of every member of a defined population. In this exercise, it would be the true average service time of all customers ever served by the cashier at the supermarket. Since collecting data on every single customer is impractical, statisticians use sample data to estimate the population mean.

The calculated sample mean allows us to make such estimations. We use the concept of the confidence interval to express how close we believe the sample mean is to the actual population mean. By understanding the population mean, the supermarket can evaluate cashier performance and make informed decisions on staffing and operational improvements.
Data Collection
Data collection is a vital step in statistical inference as it lays down the foundation for all subsequent analysis. In our task, we are determining the time taken for a cashier to serve 40 customers. It's crucial to ensure randomness in selecting these customers to avoid bias.

Key considerations during data collection include:
  • Random Timing: Choose customers at different times to avoid bias from only busy or slow periods.
  • Accuracy: Ensure that the timing is precise to reduce errors in the analysis.
  • Sufficient Sample Size: The sample of 40 customers should be enough to provide a reliable estimate of the population mean.
Accurate and diverse data makes the statistical analysis credible, ensuring that the final confidence interval and estimated population mean are as accurate as possible.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Jack's Auto Insurance Company customers sometimes have to wait a long time to speak to a customer service representative when they call regarding disputed claims. A random sample of 25 such calls yielded a mean waiting time of 22 minutes with a standard deviation of 6 minutes. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean of such waiting times. Assume that such waiting times for the population follow a normal distribution.

A researcher wanted to know the percentage of judges who are in favor of the death penalty. He took a random sample of 15 judges and asked them whether or not they favor the death penalty. The responses of these judges are given here. \(\begin{array}{lllllll}\text { Yes } & \text { No } & \text { Yes } & \text { Yes } & \text { No } & \text { No } & \text { No } & \text { Yes } \\\ \text { Yes } & \text { No } & \text { Yes } & \text { Yes } & \text { Yes } & \text { No } & \text { Yes }\end{array}\) a. What is the point estimate of the population proportion? b. Make a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the percentage of all judges who are in favor of the death penalty.

In a Time/Money Magazine poll of Americans of age 18 years and older, \(65 \%\) agreed with the statement, "We are less sure our children will achieve the American Dream" (Time, October 10,2011 ). Assume that this poll was based on a random sample of 1600 Americans. a. Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all Americans of age 18 years and older who will agree with the aforementioned statement. b. Explain why we need to construct a confidence interval. Why can we not simply say that \(65 \%\) of all Americans of age 18 years and older agree with the aforementioned statement?

York Steel Corporation produces iron rings that are supplied to other companies. These rings are supposed to have a diameter of 24 inches. The machine that makes these rings does not produce each ring with a diameter of exactly 24 inches. The diameter of each of the rings varies slightly. It is known that when the machine is working properly, the rings made on this machine have a mean diameter of 24 inches. The standard deviation of the diameters of all rings produced on this machine is always equal to \(.06\) inch. The quality control department takes a sample of 25 such rings every week, calculates the mean of the diameters for these rings, and makes a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean. If either the lower limit of this confidence interval is less than \(23.975\) inches or the upper limit of this confidence interval is greater than \(24.025\) inches, the machine is stopped and adjusted. A recent such sample of 25 rings produced a mean diameter of \(24.015\) inches. Based on this sample, can you conclude that the machine needs an adjustment? Explain. Assume that the population distribution is normal.

A sample selected from a population gave a sample proportion equal to \(.73\) a. Make a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\) assuming \(n=100\). b. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\) assuming \(n=600\). c. Make a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\) assuming \(n=1500\). d. Does the width of the confidence intervals constructed in parts a through \(\mathrm{c}\) decrease as the sample size increases? If yes, explain why.

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