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Given that \(P(A)=.30\) and \(P(A\) and \(B)=.24\), find \(P(B \mid A)\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of B given A, denoted as \(P(B \mid A)\), is 0.80 or 80%.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Given Probabilities

From the problem, we are provided with two probabilities. The probability of event A, denoted as \(P(A)\), is 0.30. The probability of both events A and B occurring together, denoted as \(P(A \text{ and } B)\), is 0.24.
02

Apply the Conditional Probability Formula

To find the probability of event B given that event A has already occurred, denoted as \(P(B \mid A)\), we apply the formula: \(P(B \mid A) = \frac{P(A \text{ and } B)}{P(A)}\). In this step, substitute the values from the data provided in the problem into the formula.
03

Calculate the Probability

Substituting the given values we get \(P(B \mid A) = \frac{0.24}{0.30}\)
04

Simplify the Ratio

When you divide 0.24 by 0.30, you obtain 0.80. Therefore, the conditional probability of B given A is 0.80 or 80%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood of events occurring. At its core, it provides a way to quantify uncertainty. This is especially useful in situations where the outcome is not certain.

This theory is concerned with analyzing random phenomena and helps predict the probability of various events. Each event is assigned a probability, a number between 0 and 1.
  • A probability closer to 1 means the event is more likely to occur.
  • A probability closer to 0 means it is less likely.
In many cases, probabilities for events can be determined through mathematical models and calculations. For example, the probability provided for an event, such as event A in this context, was 0.30. This tells us that there is a 30% chance of event A occurring out of all possible outcomes.
Events and Outcomes
In probability theory, an event is a specific result that can occur in an experiment or situation, whereas an outcome refers to any of the possible results of an experiment. Understanding events and their possible outcomes is crucial for solving probability problems.

In the given exercise, two events are considered: event A and event B.
  • Event A refers to one specific occurrence, which had a probability of 0.30.
  • Event B is considered in conjunction with event A, with a joint probability of both A and B being 0.24.
When dealing with multiple events, their relationships can be of independent or dependent nature. Conditional probability, which seeks to find the probability of one event given that another event has occurred, is an essential concept when events are dependent on each other. In this exercise, we are interested in finding the conditional probability that event B occurs given that event A has already happened.
Mathematical Calculation
Mathematical calculations are critical when determining probability values, especially in conditional probability scenarios. By using established formulas, complex relationships between events can often be deduced efficiently.

For the given problem, the appropriate formula used is for conditional probability: \[ P(B \mid A) = \frac{P(A \text{ and } B)}{P(A)} \] This formula represents the probability that event B occurs given that event A has already occurred.

To solve this, the values provided in the problem are plugged into the formula: \[ P(B \mid A) = \frac{0.24}{0.30} \] The calculation results in a ratio simplified to 0.80. This signifies that when event A has already occurred, the probability that event B will also occur increases to 80%.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Suppose a randomly selected passenger is about to go through the metal detector at JFK Airport in New York City. Consider the following two outcomes: The passenger sets off the metal detector, and the passenger does not set off the metal detector. Are these two outcomes equally likely? Explain why or why not. If you are to find the probability of these two outcomes, would you use the classical approach or the relative frequency approach? Explain why

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