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91Ó°ÊÓ

Use the following information to answer the next 16 exercises: The Ice Chalet offers dozens of different beginning ice-skating classes. All of the class names are put into a bucket. The 5 P.M., Monday night, ages 8 to 12, beginning ice-skating class was picked. In that class were 64 girls and 16 boys. Suppose that we are interested in the true proportion of girls, ages 8 to 12, in all beginning ice-skating classes at the Ice Chalet. Assume that the children in the selected class are a random sample of the population. In one complete sentence, explain what the interval means.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The interval estimates the true proportion of girls in all classes, based on the sample class data.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Given Data

We are given a class with 64 girls and 16 boys. We are interested in calculating the proportion of girls in the class, which can serve as an estimate for the population proportion of girls in all beginning ice-skating classes at the Ice Chalet.
02

Calculate Sample Proportion

Calculate the sample proportion of girls: Let the total number of students in the class be the sum of girls and boys, which is \(64 + 16 = 80\). The sample proportion of girls is: \[ \hat{p} = \frac{64}{80} = 0.8 \] Thus, the sample proportion of girls is 0.8.
03

Formulate Confidence Interval Explanation

To explain what a confidence interval means in context: It provides a range of values which is likely to contain the true population proportion of girls, ages 8 to 12, in all beginning ice-skating classes at the Ice Chalet based on the sample proportion from the studied class.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
Sample proportion is a statistical measure used to estimate the proportion of a particular group in a sample. In simple terms, it's just the ratio of the part you're interested in to the whole sample. For instance, if you want to know the fraction of girls in a class of mixed genders, you would calculate how many girls there are divided by the total number of students.

The formula for calculating the sample proportion (apha) is given by:
  • \( \hat{p} = \frac{\text{Number of Interested Group}}{\text{Total Number of Sample}} \)
In our ice-skating class example, the sample proportion of girls is calculated as \( \frac{64}{80} = 0.8 \). This means 80% of the students in the selected class are girls. A high sample proportion does not necessarily mean this is reflective of the entire population, but it's a useful indicator for estimation.
Population Proportion
Population proportion refers to the fraction of a group with a specific characteristic in a whole population. Unlike the sample proportion, which is specific to a sample, population proportion seeks to portray the bigger picture.
The population proportion can be more challenging to determine since it often requires a complete survey of the entire population or reliable statistical techniques like sampling and inferential statistics. However, once known, it provides a true measure of the characteristic within the population.
  • The population proportion is usually denoted as \( p \).

In our scenario of ice-skating classes, we want to know the true proportion of girls in all classes, which would be the population proportion. However, since it's impractical to survey every single class, we use the sample proportion as an estimate.
Random Sample
A random sample is a subset chosen from a larger population that is intended to represent that population in a statistically sound way. The randomness ensures that every individual has an equal chance of being selected, minimizing bias.

In our ice-skating example, the class that was chosen (Monday night, ages 8 to 12) is assumed to be a random sample.
  • This means that this class should have similar characteristics to all other classes at the Ice Chalet.

By using a random sample, we get results that are more reliable and valid for making inferences about the larger population. This forms the basis for many types of statistical analyses, such as estimating confidence intervals, which predict ranges for true population parameters.
Statistical Inference
Statistical inference is the process of making predictions about a population based on data collected from a sample. It's a powerful method that allows us to understand larger trends without surveying an entire population. This includes estimating population parameters like means, medians, and proportions using sample data.

An important tool in statistical inference is the confidence interval.
  • This interval estimates the range within which a population parameter lies, with a certain level of confidence.
In the context of the ice-skating classes, the statistical inference allows us to estimate the proportion of female students in all beginning classes from just one class data.
In short, it enables us to draw conclusions about how representative the sample results are likely to be for the population, fostering informed decisions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next ten exercises: A sample of 20 heads of lettuce was selected. Assume that the population distribution of head weight is normal. The weight of each head of lettuce was then recorded. The mean weight was 2.2 pounds with a standard deviation of 0.1 pounds. The population standard deviation is known to be 0.2 pounds. In complete sentences, give an interpretation of what the interval in Exercise 8.18 means.

Suppose that the insurance companies did do a survey. They randomly surveyed 400 drivers and found that 320 claimed they always buckle up. We are interested in the population proportion of drivers who claim they always buckle up. a. i. \(x=\) _____ ii. \(n=\) _____ iii. \(p^{\prime}=\) _____ b. Define the random variables \(X\) and \(P^{\prime},\) in words. c. Which distribution should you use for this problem? Explain your choice. d. Construct a 95\(\%\) confidence interval for the population proportion who claim they always buckle up. i. State the confidence interval. ii. Sketch the graph. iii. Calculate the error bound. e. If this survey were done by telephone, list three difficulties the companies might have in obtaining results.

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises: A poll of \(1,200\) voters asked what the most significant issue was in the upcoming election. Sixty-five percent answered the economy. We are interested in the population proportion of voters who feel the economy is the most important. Which distribution should you use for this problem?

Use the following information to answer the next 16 exercises: The Ice Chalet offers dozens of different beginning ice-skating classes. All of the class names are put into a bucket. The 5 P.M., Monday night, ages 8 to 12, beginning ice-skating class was picked. In that class were 64 girls and 16 boys. Suppose that we are interested in the true proportion of girls, ages 8 to 12, in all beginning ice-skating classes at the Ice Chalet. Assume that the children in the selected class are a random sample of the population. In words, define the random variable \(X\) .

Use the following information to answer the next five exercises. Suppose the marketing company did do a survey. They randomly surveyed 200 households and found that in 120 of them, the woman made the majority of the purchasing decisions. We are interested in the population of households where women make the majority of the purchasing decisions. Define the random variables \(X\) and \(P^{\prime}\) in words.

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