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Use the following information to answer the next six exercises: One hundred eight Americans were surveyed to determine the number of hours they spend watching television each month. It was revealed that they watched an average of 151 hours each month with a standard deviation of 32 hours. Assume that the underlying population distribution is normal. Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population mean hours spent watching television per month. (a) State the confidence interval, (b) sketch the graph, and (c) calculate the error bound.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 99% confidence interval is (142.91, 159.09) with an error bound of 8.09.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Necessary Components for the Confidence Interval

First, note that the sample mean (\(\bar{x}\)) is 151 hours, the standard deviation (\(s\)) is 32 hours, and the number of surveyed individuals (\(n\)) is 108. For a 99% confidence interval, we will need to find the critical value from the t-distribution because the population standard deviation is unknown, and we have a sample size.
02

Determine the Critical Value for the 99% Confidence Interval

Since the sample size is large (greater than 30), use a t-table to find the critical value \(t^*\) for a 99% confidence level and 107 degrees of freedom (\(n-1\)). The closest available critical value is approximately 2.626.
03

Calculate the Standard Error of the Mean

The standard error (SE) is calculated using the formula: \[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{32}{\sqrt{108}} \approx 3.08. \]
04

Calculate the Margin of Error

The margin of error (E) is defined as: \[ E = t^* \times SE = 2.626 \times 3.08 \approx 8.09. \]
05

Construct the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval for the POPULATION mean is found by: \[ \bar{x} \pm E = 151 \pm 8.09, \] resulting in the interval (142.91, 159.09).
06

Sketch the Graph

The graph of the confidence interval can be represented on a number line, with a marker at the sample mean (151) and extending to 142.91 and 159.09 on either side. This shows the range within which the true population mean is likely to fall with 99% confidence.
07

Calculate the Error Bound

The error bound is simply the margin of error calculated in Step 4, which is approximately 8.09.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

t-distribution
When dealing with confidence intervals, especially when the population standard deviation is unknown and the sample size is not enormous, we rely on the t-distribution. This is crucial when estimating the mean from a smaller sample size. It resembles a normal distribution but has heavier tails, meaning more variability. The heaviness of the tails adjusts as the sample size increases, gradually resembling a normal distribution more closely. The degrees of freedom, calculated as the sample size minus one ( -1 ext{ where } n ext{ is the sample size} ), determine the exact shape. For a sample size of 108, the degrees of freedom would be 107. This value is used to find the critical value or the cutoff t-value for our desired confidence level, in this case, 99%.
Margin of Error
Understanding the margin of error gives clarity on how precise our estimate of the population parameter is. It's the range within which the true population parameter is expected to lie. This is calculated as the product of the critical t-value and the standard error. In the given exercise, with a critical t-value of approximately 2.626 and a standard error of 3.08, the margin of error becomes 8.09 hours. This means that the sample mean of 151 hours might differ from the actual population mean by around 8.09 hours on either side.
Standard Error
Standard error is like a measure of uncertainty for how well the sample mean estimates the population mean. It is derived by taking the standard deviation and dividing it by the square root of the sample size: - Formula: \[ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \] - Where \(s\) is the sample standard deviation and \(n\) is the sample size.In this case, with a standard deviation of 32 hours and 108 people surveyed, the standard error equals 3.08 hours. The smaller the standard error, the more confident we can be about the sample mean closely estimating the population mean.
Sample Mean
The sample mean, often symbolized as \( \bar{x} \), represents the average value in the sample data. It is a pivotal part of confidence interval calculations because it serves as the point around which our interval is constructed. In this context, the sample mean of 151 hours is the best estimate of the average by which all television watching activities in this population (all Americans in this survey) are judged. Thus, it acts as the center of our confidence interval, extending by the margin of error on either side to estimate the population mean.
Critical Value
The critical value is derived from the distribution that best suits our data situation—in this case, the t-distribution due to the unknown population standard deviation and a decent sample size. It signifies the cutoff point that captures the desired area under the curve for our confidence level, with 99% indicating how sure we want our estimate to be. Here, this certainty gives us a t-value of 2.626 off the t-table, which focuses on a 99% confidence level with 107 degrees of freedom. This t-value is crucial since it affects how wide our confidence interval is going to be, ultimately steering the margin of error calculation.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Use the following information to answer the next ten exercises: A sample of 20 heads of lettuce was selected. Assume that the population distribution of head weight is normal. The weight of each head of lettuce was then recorded. The mean weight was 2.2 pounds with a standard deviation of 0.1 pounds. The population standard deviation is known to be 0.2 pounds. In words, define the random variable \(X .\)

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