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The average waiting time in a doctor’s office varies. The standard deviation of waiting times in a doctor’s office is 3.4 minutes. A random sample of 30 patients in the doctor’s office has a standard deviation of waiting times of 4.1 minutes. One doctor believes the variance of waiting times is greater than originally thought. What type of test should be used?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use a Chi-Square test for variance.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Parameter and Hypothesis

The problem involves assessing whether the variance of waiting times is greater than originally expected based on a sample. This calls for a hypothesis test about a population variance. We define the null hypothesis as \( H_0: \sigma^2 = 3.4^2 \), where \( \sigma^2 \) is the population variance, and the alternative hypothesis as \( H_a: \sigma^2 > 3.4^2 \), suggesting an increase.
02

Determine the Test Type

Testing for a population variance involves using a Chi-Square test. The Chi-Square test fits our situation where we have a sample variance and we want to infer about the population variance based on this sample.
03

Set Up the Test Statistic

The test statistic for a Chi-Square test on variance is calculated as \( \chi^2 = \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\sigma_0^2} \), where \( n \) is the sample size, \( s^2 \) is the sample variance, and \( \sigma_0^2 \) is the hypothesized population variance under the null hypothesis.
04

Interpret the Results

Compute the test statistic and compare it against the critical value from the Chi-Square distribution table at the desired significance level for \( n-1 \) degrees of freedom. For a right-tailed test like ours (since \( H_a \) suggests an increase), reject \( H_0 \) if the test statistic exceeds the critical value.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a fundamental aspect of statistics, used to determine whether a hypothesis about a population parameter is supported by sample data. In our context, the doctor wants to verify if the variance of waiting times is greater than initially expected. To systematically investigate this claim, we use hypothesis testing. Here's a simple breakdown:
  • Null Hypothesis (): This is the default assumption. In our problem, it states that the population variance () remains at 3.4 minutes squared. Symbolically, it is expressed as \( H_0: 2 = 3.4^2 \).
  • Alternative Hypothesis (): This reflects the assertion we want to test. Here, it proposes that the population variance is greater than 3.4 minutes squared, denoted by \( H_a: 2 > 3.4^2 \).
The process then involves calculating a test statistic based on sample data, and deciding whether to accept or reject the null hypothesis based on this statistic. Understanding the logic of hypothesis testing simplifies decision-making by quantifying uncertainty and providing a calculated basis for claims.
Population Variance
Population variance () is a measure of how much individuals in a population differ from the population mean. It is calculated by determining the average of the squared deviations from the mean. To visualize:
  • Imagine a doctors waiting room where the time each patient waits varies. The population variance tells us how spread out these wait times are among all patients.
  • In our example, the expected population variance was calculated from historical data or expert assumption, set at \( 3.4^2 \). This acts as a standard to compare against the current sample.
When testing involves variance, it's crucial to determine if the sample data suggest a larger variance than what we assumed for the population. If so, this could indicate a change in the underlying process affecting waiting times, prompting further investigation.
Sample Variance
Sample variance () is similar to population variance, but it's derived from a smaller, randomly chosen subset from the larger population. It provides an estimate of the population variance. Lets simplify further:
  • Sample Variance Calculation: Measure how much each wait time within our sample deviates from its own mean, square these differences, and then average them, adjusting for the sample size.
  • In our situation, a sample of 30 patients yielded a sample variance based on a standard deviation of 4.1 minutes. The task is to determine if this suggests our population variance assumption is incorrect.
Sample variance is critical in our test since it serves as a bridge to infer about the population variance. It allows us to use the Chi-Square test to statistically substantiate whether the variation in wait times has indeed increased beyond the baseline assumption.

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