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Isabella, an accomplished Bay to Breakers runner, claims that the standard deviation for her time to run the 7.5 mile race is at most three minutes. To test her claim, Rupinder looks up five of her race times. They are 55 minutes, 61 minutes, 58 minutes, 63 minutes, and 57 minutes.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Isabella's claim is correct; the standard deviation is approximately 2.86 minutes.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Isabella's Race Times

The race times given for Isabella are: 55 minutes, 61 minutes, 58 minutes, 63 minutes, and 57 minutes.
02

Calculate the Mean of the Race Times

Add up all the race times and divide by the number of races to find the mean. \[\text{Mean} = \frac{55 + 61 + 58 + 63 + 57}{5} = \frac{294}{5} = 58.8 \text{ minutes}.\]
03

Find the Deviations from the Mean

Subtract the mean from each race time to find the deviations: - \(55 - 58.8 = -3.8\),- \(61 - 58.8 = 2.2\),- \(58 - 58.8 = -0.8\),- \(63 - 58.8 = 4.2\),- \(57 - 58.8 = -1.8\).
04

Calculate the Squared Deviations

Square each deviation to find the squared deviations: - \((-3.8)^2 = 14.44\),- \((2.2)^2 = 4.84\),- \((-0.8)^2 = 0.64\),- \((4.2)^2 = 17.64\),- \((-1.8)^2 = 3.24\).
05

Calculate the Variance

Find the variance by taking the average of the squared deviations. \[\text{Variance} = \frac{14.44 + 4.84 + 0.64 + 17.64 + 3.24}{5} = \frac{40.8}{5} = 8.16.\]
06

Calculate the Standard Deviation

Take the square root of the variance to find the standard deviation. \[\text{Standard Deviation} = \sqrt{8.16} \approx 2.86.\]
07

Compare the Standard Deviation to Isabella's Claim

Isabella claims that the standard deviation is at most 3 minutes. Since the calculated standard deviation is approximately 2.86 minutes, her claim is accurate.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Variance Calculation
Variance is a statistical measure that tells us how much individual data points differ from the average or mean. It gives us insight into the spread of values in a dataset. To calculate variance, start by determining the deviations of each data point from the mean. This involves subtracting the mean of the dataset from each individual data point.
  • Next, these deviations are squared. This ensures that negative and positive deviations do not cancel each other out. Squaring also increases the influence of larger deviations, making variance a sensitive measure of spread.
  • Finally, the variance is calculated by taking the average of these squared deviations. This provides a measure of how much the data points differ from the mean on average.
In the case of Isabella's race times, the variance was calculated as 8.16 minutes squared. This means that, on average, each race time deviates from the mean race time by an amount that results in 8.16 when considering the squared deviations. Understanding variance is crucial, as it forms the basis for calculating the standard deviation.
Mean Calculation
The mean is one of the most common measures of central tendency in statistics. It is simply the average of a set of numbers. To calculate the mean, add up all the values in the dataset, then divide this sum by the number of values you added together. This gives you the central point around which your data is spread.
Calculating the mean of Isabella's race times involves adding all her race times: 55, 61, 58, 63, and 57 minutes. The total sum from these times is 294. Since there are five race times in total, we divide by 5, giving a mean or average race time of 58.8 minutes.
  • It's important to note that each data point contributes equally to the calculation of the mean.
  • The mean provides a useful summary of the dataset and is often used as a baseline to compare with other statistical measures like variance and standard deviation.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a method used to evaluate claims about a population based on sample data. When Isabella claims that the standard deviation of her race times is no more than three minutes, this serves as a hypothesis that can be tested.
  • The null hypothesis ( H_0 ) represents the initial assumption—in this case, that the standard deviation is at most 3 minutes.
  • The alternative hypothesis ( H_a ) is the opposite of this initial claim—suggesting, perhaps, that the standard deviation is greater than 3 minutes.
By calculating the standard deviation of her recorded race times, we can compare it to her claimed standard deviation. If the observed standard deviation is less than or equal to 3, we do not reject the null hypothesis. Thus, Isabella's claim stands as valid within our test limitations and observed sample data.
Statistical Claims Validation
Statistical claims validation involves verifying assertions using statistical methods and data analysis. In socioeconomic research and many real-world applications, claims must be substantiated using empirical data.
In Isabella’s case, she claims her race time variations have a maximum standard deviation of 3 minutes. To validate this, we calculate statistical measures like the mean and standard deviation using her race times data.
  • Once the standard deviation is calculated at approximately 2.86 minutes, it's compared to her claimed value of 3 minutes. This calculated value being less supports her claim.
  • This process exemplifies the scientific method in statistics—using data to support or refute a hypothesis.
Validating claims statistically ensures that assertions about a dataset are grounded in evidence rather than speculation or unchecked beliefs.

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