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A real estate agent wishes to estimate, to within \(\$ 2.50,\) the mean retail cost per square foot of newly built homes, with \(80 \%\) confidence. He estimates the standard deviation of such costs at \(\$ 5.00\). Estimate the minimum size sample required.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The minimum sample size required is 7.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Known Values

The estimated standard deviation \( \sigma \) is \( 5.00 \). The desired margin of error \( E \) is \( 2.50 \). The confidence level is \( 80\% \).
02

Determine Z-Score for Confidence Level

For an \( 80\% \) confidence level, the corresponding z-score (\( z_{\alpha/2} \)) can be found from the standard normal distribution. This z-score is approximately \( 1.28 \).
03

Use Sample Size Formula

The formula to calculate the minimum sample size \( n \) is: \[ n = \left( \frac{z_{\alpha/2} \cdot \sigma}{E} \right)^2 \] Substitute the known values into the formula: \[ n = \left( \frac{1.28 \times 5.00}{2.50} \right)^2 \]
04

Calculate the Sample Size

Calculate the expression inside the square: \[ \frac{1.28 \times 5.00}{2.50} = 2.56 \] Square this result: \[ n = (2.56)^2 = 6.5536 \] Since the sample size must be a whole number, round \( 6.5536 \) up to the next whole number, which is \( 7 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
The term "Margin of Error" is an integral part of sample size estimation. It represents the range within which you expect the true population parameter to fall. In the context of surveys or estimations, it tells us how close the sample estimate is to the actual population value.
For instance, if a real estate agent is estimating the cost per square foot of newly built homes with a margin of error of \(\\(2.50\), it means that the agent wants the estimated price to be within \(\\)2.50\) of the true mean cost per square foot.
This margin is crucial because it directly affects the sample size needed for the study.
  • A smaller margin of error requires a larger sample size, ensuring more precise estimates.
  • A larger margin of error allows for a smaller sample size, giving less precision.
So, understanding and choosing the appropriate Margin of Error is a key decision in planning experiments or surveys.
Confidence Level
Confidence Level is another essential factor in determining sample size. It indicates how confident we are that the true population parameter lies within the margin of error of the sample estimate. In simpler terms, it's the probability that the interval will contain the true parameter.
For an 80% confidence level, as in the example of the real estate agent, it means that there's an 80% chance that the calculated interval will capture the actual mean cost per square foot of new homes. Confidence Level is linked to the z-score in statistics, which helps in quantifying the uncertainty in the sample estimates.
  • Higher confidence levels result in larger z-scores, hence larger sample sizes are needed.
  • Lower confidence levels result in smaller z-scores, thus reducing the required sample size.
Deciding on the Confidence Level is a balance between how certain you want to be about your estimates and the resources available for data collection.
Standard Deviation
Standard Deviation is a measure that indicates the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. In simpler terms, it shows how spread out the numbers are in a dataset. When planning a study, knowing the standard deviation helps in understanding the variability among the data being collected.
In the exercise concerning the real estate agent, the estimated standard deviation of \(\\(\)5.00 means that the costs per square foot of different homes typically vary by about \(\\)\)5 from the average cost. Standard deviation plays a crucial role in sample size estimation:
  • A higher standard deviation suggests more variability, requiring a larger sample size to achieve the same level of precision.
  • A lower standard deviation indicates less variability, allowing for a smaller sample size.
Understanding Standard Deviation is vital for anyone involved in data analysis, as it affects how confident one can be in the estimates drawn from sample data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

To estimate the number of calories in a cup of diced chicken breast meat, the number of calories in a sample of four separate cups of meat is measured. The sample mean is 211.8 calories with sample standard deviation 0.9 calorie. Assuming the caloric content of all such chicken meat is normally distributed, construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean number of calories in one cup of meat.

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A software engineer wishes to estimate, to within 5 seconds, the mean time that a new application takes to start up, with \(95 \%\) confidence. Estimate the minimum size sample required if the standard deviation of start up times for similar software is 12 seconds.

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