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91Ó°ÊÓ

In a random sample of 900 adults, 42 defined themselves as vegetarians. a. Give a point estimate of the proportion of all adults who would define themselves as vegetarians. b. Verify that the sample is sufficiently large to use it to construct a confidence interval for that proportion. c. Construct an \(80 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of all adults who would define themselves as vegetarians.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Point estimate is 0.0467; sample size is sufficient; 80% confidence interval is [0.0376, 0.0558].

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Point Estimate

To estimate the proportion of adults who define themselves as vegetarians, we use the formula \( \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \), where \( x \) is the number of vegetarians and \( n \) is the total number of adults sampled. For our data, \( x = 42 \) and \( n = 900 \). Thus, the point estimate \( \hat{p} = \frac{42}{900} = 0.0467 \).
02

Verify Sample Size Requirement

To determine if the sample size is sufficient for constructing a confidence interval, we need to verify two conditions: \( np \geq 5 \) and \( n(1-p) \geq 5 \). Substitute \( n = 900 \) and \( \hat{p} = 0.0467 \) into these inequalities, we get \( 900 \times 0.0467 = 42.03 \geq 5 \) and \( 900 \times (1 - 0.0467) = 857.97 \geq 5 \). Both conditions are satisfied, so the sample is large enough.
03

Calculate Standard Error

The standard error (SE) of the estimate is calculated using the formula \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \). Substituting \( \hat{p} = 0.0467 \) and \( n = 900 \), \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.0467 \times (1-0.0467)}{900}} = 0.0071 \).
04

Determine Z-Score for 80% Confidence Interval

For an 80% confidence interval, the corresponding Z-score (Z) is approximately 1.28, as Z-scores are based on the standard normal distribution.
05

Compute Confidence Interval

With the point estimate \( \hat{p} = 0.0467 \), standard error \( SE = 0.0071 \), and Z-score \( Z = 1.28 \), the confidence interval is calculated as \( \hat{p} \pm Z \times SE = 0.0467 \pm 1.28 \times 0.0071 \). This gives \( [0.0376, 0.0558] \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Point Estimate
The concept of a point estimate is crucial when dealing with statistics, especially when estimating population proportions. A point estimate gives us a single value estimate of a population parameter which, in this case, is the proportion of all adults who define themselves as vegetarians. To find this, we use the formula where the point estimate, denoted as \( \hat{p} \), is calculated by dividing the number of successes in the sample (\( x \)) by the total number of observations in the sample (\( n \)). In our exercise, this is the ratio of the number of vegetarians to the total sampled adults, resulting in \( \hat{p} = \frac{42}{900} = 0.0467 \). This means that our best single guess for the proportion of vegetarians in the entire population, based on this sample, is 4.67%. Point estimates are useful because they provide a straightforward, easy-to-understand number, but it's essential to remember they come with a margin of error. To further refine our understanding of the estimate's precision, we often move on to confidence intervals.
Standard Error
Standard error (SE) is a statistical term that provides an estimate of the sampling variability of a statistic; in simpler terms, it's how much the estimate might vary from one sample to another. In the context of estimating a population proportion, the formula for standard error is \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \). This formula considers the point estimate \( \hat{p} \), which here is 0.0467, and the sample size \( n \), which is 900. Using these values, we calculate the standard error as \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.0467 \times (1-0.0467)}{900}} \), which approximately equals 0.0071. The standard error is significant because it helps us understand the estimate's accuracy and forms the basis for constructing confidence intervals. A smaller standard error suggests a more precise estimate of the population proportion. It gives confidence interval calculations reliability, indicating the influence of random sampling variations.
Sample Size Verification
Before constructing a confidence interval, it is crucial to ensure that the sample size is sufficient. The sample needs to be large enough to approximate a normal distribution, which is a critical assumption in statistical inference. We check this by verifying two conditions:
  • \( np \geq 5 \)
  • \( n(1-p) \geq 5 \)
For our sample data with \( n = 900 \) and calculated point estimate \( \hat{p} = 0.0467 \), we test: - \( 900 \times 0.0467 = 42.03 \)- \( 900 \times (1 - 0.0467) = 857.97 \)Both of these calculated values are greater than 5, confirming that the sample size is indeed large enough. Adequate sample size ensures that the sampling distribution of the proportion is approximately normal, an essential condition for accurate confidence interval estimation. Without this, the confidence interval may not be representative of the population parameter, reducing the reliability of our statistical conclusions.

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