/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 46 "Doctors Praise Device That Aids... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

"Doctors Praise Device That Aids Ailing Hearts" (Associated Press, November 9,2004 ) is the headline of an article that describes the results of a study of the effectiveness of a fabric device that acts like a support stocking for a weak or damaged heart. In the study, 107 people who consented to treatment were assigned at random to either a standard treatment consisting of drugs or the experimental treatment that consisted of drugs plus surgery to install the stocking. After two years, \(38 \%\) of the 57 patients receiving the stocking had improved and \(27 \%\) of the patients receiving the standard treatment had improved. Do these data provide convincing evidence that the proportion of patients who improve is higher for the experimental treatment than for the standard treatment? Test the relevant hypotheses using a significance level of \(.05\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
Use the sample proportions, pooled sample proportion, and sample sizes to calculate the test statistic Z. Based on the comparison with the critical value \(z_{0.05}=1.645\), we decide whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis \(H_0\). If the Z is higher, the conclusion would be that the data provides convincing evidence that the proportion of patients who improve is higher for the experimental treatment than for the standard treatment at a 5% level of significance.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

The null hypothesis \(H_0\): \(p_1 = p_2\). The alternative hypothesis \(H_A\): \(p_1 > p_2\). Where \(p_1\) is the proportion of patients improving with the experimental treatment and \(p_2\) is the proportion of patients improving with standard treatment.
02

Calculate Sample Proportions

Given that 38% of the 57 patients in the experimental group improved, the sample proportion is \(p_1 = 0.38\). And that 27% of the 50 patients in the standard treatment group improved, the sample proportion is \(p_2 = 0.27\).
03

Statistical Test

We use the Z test for comparing two proportions. The test statistic is given by the formula: \(Z = \frac {(p_1 - p_2)}{\sqrt{p(1 - p)(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2})}}\) where \(p = \frac{p_1*n_1 + p_2*n_2}{n_1 + n_2}\) is the pooled sample proportion. So, substituting values we find: \(p = \frac{0.38*57 + 0.27*50}{57 + 50}\), and then calculate \(Z\).
04

Decision Rule and Conclusion

Compare the calculated test statistic with the critical value for a significance level of 0.05. If \(Z > z_{0.05}\), reject \(H_0\). If \(Z \leq z_{0.05}\), do not reject \(H_0\). \( z_{0.05} = 1.645\) for a one-tailed test. Use a Z table or suitable software to find the value of \(z_{0.05}\). If \(Z > z_{0.05}\), we can conclude that the data provides convincing evidence that the proportion of patients who improve is higher for the experimental treatment than for the standard treatment at a 5% level of significance.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z test
A Z test is a type of statistical test that is used when you're dealing with large sample sizes and you want to compare averages or proportions. It's particularly handy when you believe your data follow a normal distribution, or your sample size is large enough that the Central Limit Theorem kicks in (usually 30 or more).

In this exercise, you're looking at the effectiveness of two different treatments on heart patients. The goal is to compare proportions: one for patients improving using an experimental treatment and the other for patients with standard treatment. Here, the Z test is just right because you're comparing two proportions to see if one is significantly higher than the other.

When you conduct a Z test for proportions, the hypothesis test results in a Z-score. This score tells you how many standard deviations away your observation is from the null hypothesis assumption. If this value is extreme enough (greater than the critical value), it suggests the observed difference in proportions isn't just due to random chance, and there's evidence supporting increased effectiveness for one treatment over another.
proportions comparison
Comparing proportions is a statistical method used when you have two groups, and you want to determine if a particular characteristic is more common in one group than in the other. This can often answer the question, "Is this treatment more effective than the other?"

In our exercise, we want to know whether the proportion of patients improving with an experimental treatment is higher than those improving with a standard treatment.

We started by calculating the sample proportions: one from the experimental group and one from the standard group. The calculation goes like this: divide the number of patients who improved by the total number of patients in each group. Here, it's 0.38 for the experimental and 0.27 for the standard.

Once we have these proportions, we use the Z test to run the comparison. The Z test considers the "pooled" proportion, which effectively blends both groups for a baseline comparison. With this approach, we can assess whether any observed difference in proportions between the two groups is statistically significant.
significance level
The significance level in hypothesis testing, often denoted by alpha (α), represents the threshold for determining when to reject the null hypothesis. It's the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true (Type I error).

For this exercise, a significance level of 0.05 is used, which is quite common in hypothesis testing. It implies that you are willing to accept a 5% chance that your conclusion of a treatment being more effective is incorrect.

In simpler terms, with a significance level of 0.05, you’re looking for a less than 5% chance that your results are just due to random fluctuations in the sample, rather than a true difference in treatment effectiveness. This makes it a measure of the risk you’re willing to take in saying one treatment is better than the other.

It's also crucial to compare your Z-score against a critical value related to your significance level. For a one-tailed test at 0.05, this critical value is 1.645. If your calculated Z-value exceeds this, you reject the null hypothesis, suggesting there's convincing evidence that the experimental treatment has a higher improvement rate than the standard treatment.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

The article "More Students Taking AP Tests" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, January 10,2003 ) provided the following information on the percentage of students in grades 11 and 12 taking one or more AP exams and the percentage of exams that earned credit in 1997 and 2002 for seven high schools on the central coast of California. a. Assuming it is reasonable to regard these seven schools as a random sample of high schools located on the central coast of California, carry out an appropriate test to determine if there is convincing evidence that the mean percentage of exams earning college credit at central coast high schools declined between 1997 and \(2002 .\) b. Do you think it is reasonable to generalize the conclusion of the test in Part (a) to all California high schools? Explain. c. Would it be reasonable to use the paired \(t\) test with the data on percentage of students taking one or more AP classes? Explain.

Many people who quit smoking complain of weight gain. The results of an investigation of the relationship between smoking cessation and weight gain are given in the article "Does Smoking Cessation Lead to Weight Gain?" (American Journal of Public Health [1983]: 1303-1305). Three hundred twenty- two subjects, selected at random from those who successfully participated in a program to quit smoking, were weighed at the beginning of the program and again 1 year later. The mean change in weight was \(5.15 \mathrm{lb}\), and the standard deviation of the weight changes was \(11.45 \mathrm{lb}\). Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the true mean change in weight is positive? Use \(\alpha=.05\).

In December 2001, the Department of Veterans Affairs announced that it would begin paying benefits to soldiers suffering from Lou Gehrig's disease who had served in the Gulf War (The New York Times, December 11,2001 ). This decision was based on an analysis in which the Lou Gehrig's disease incidence rate (the proportion developing the disease) for the approximately 700,000 soldiers sent to the Gulf between August 1990 and July 1991 was compared to the incidence rate for the approximately \(1.8\) million other soldiers who were not in the Gulf during this time period. Based on these data, explain why it is not appropriate to perform a formal inference procedure (such as the two-sample \(z\) test) and yet it is still reasonable to conclude that the incidence rate is higher for Gulf War veterans than for those who did not serve in the Gulf War.

Public Agenda conducted a survey of 1379 parents and 1342 students in grades \(6-12\) regarding the importance of science and mathematics in the school curriculum (Associated Press, February 15,2006 ). It was reported that \(50 \%\) of students thought that understanding science and having strong math skills are essential for them to succeed in life after school, whereas \(62 \%\) of the parents thought it was crucial for today's students to learn science and higher-level math. The two samples-parents and students-were selected independently of one another. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude that the proportion of parents who regard science and mathematics as crucial is different than the corresponding proportion for students in grades \(6-12 ?\) Test the relevant hypotheses using a significance level of \(.05\).

The article "Spray Flu Vaccine May Work Better Than Injections for Tots" (San Luis Obispo Tribune, May 2,2006 ) described a study that compared flu vaccine administered by injection and flu vaccine administered as a nasal spray. Each of the 8000 children under the age of 5 that participated in the study received both a nasal spray and an injection, but only one was the real vaccine and the other was salt water. At the end of the flu season, it was determined that \(3.9 \%\) of the 4000 children receiving the real vaccine by nasal spray got sick with the flu and \(8.6 \%\) of the 4000 receiving the real vaccine by injection got sick with the flu. a. Why would the researchers give every child both a nasal spray and an injection? b. Use the given data to estimate the difference in the proportion of children who get sick with the flu after being vaccinated with an injection and the proportion of children who get sick with the flu after being vaccinated with the nasal spray using a \(99 \%\) confidence interval. Based on the confidence interval, would you conclude that the proportion of children who get the flu is different for the two vaccination methods?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.