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Christmas Trees The diameters of Douglas firs grown at a Christmas tree farm are normally distributed with a mean of 4 inches and a standard deviation of 1.5 inches. a. What proportion of the trees will have diameters between 3 and 5 inches? b. What proportion of the trees will have diameters less than 3 inches? c. Your Christmas tree stand will expand to a diameter of 6 inches. What proportion of the trees will not fit in your Christmas tree stand?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Answer: The approximate proportions of Douglas fir trees are as follows: - 49.72% have diameters between 3 and 5 inches. - 25.14% have diameters less than 3 inches. - 9.30% have diameters larger than 6 inches.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Z-scores for the given diameters

To find the proportions of trees with various diameters, we first need to find the Z-scores for the given diameters (3, 5, and 6 inches). The Z-score formula is: Z = (X - 碌) / 蟽 For a diameter of 3 inches: Z鈧 = (3 - 4) / 1.5 = -0.67 For a diameter of 5 inches: Z鈧 = (5 - 4) / 1.5 = 0.67 For a diameter of 6 inches: Z鈧 = (6 - 4) / 1.5 = 1.33
02

Find the proportions using the Z-table

Now, we'll look up the Z-scores in the Z-table to find the corresponding cumulative proportions. For Z鈧 = -0.67, the cumulative proportion is approximately 0.2514. For Z鈧 = 0.67, the cumulative proportion is approximately 0.7486. For Z鈧 = 1.33, the cumulative proportion is approximately 0.9070.
03

Solve for the different scenarios

a. To find the proportion of trees with diameters between 3 and 5 inches, we need to find the difference between the proportions for Z鈧 (0.67) and Z鈧 (-0.67). Proportion between 3 and 5 inches = 0.7486 - 0.2514 = 0.4972 b. To find the proportion of trees with diameters less than 3 inches, we simply use the proportion corresponding to Z鈧 (-0.67). Proportion with diameters less than 3 inches = 0.2514 c. To find the proportion of trees with diameters larger than 6 inches, we subtract the proportion corresponding to Z鈧 = 1.33 from 1, since the total area under the normal distribution curve is 1. Proportion with diameters larger than 6 inches = 1 - 0.9070 = 0.0930
04

Present the results

a. The proportion of trees with diameters between 3 and 5 inches is approximately 0.4972, or 49.72%. b. The proportion of trees with diameters less than 3 inches is approximately 0.2514, or 25.14%. c. The proportion of trees with diameters larger than 6 inches is approximately 0.0930, or 9.30%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score calculation
Calculating the Z-score is an essential step when it comes to analyzing normally distributed data. It helps us understand how far away a particular value is from the mean, measured in standard deviations. The formula to calculate the Z-score is quite straightforward: \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \] - **\( Z \)** is the Z-score. - **\( X \)** is the value for which you are calculating the Z-score. - **\( \mu \)** is the mean of the distribution. - **\( \sigma \)** is the standard deviation. For example, to find the Z-score for a Douglas fir with a diameter of 3 inches, where the mean diameter \( \mu \) is 4 inches and the standard deviation \( \sigma \) is 1.5 inches, we substitute these values into the formula:\[ Z_1 = \frac{3 - 4}{1.5} = -0.67 \] This tells us that a 3-inch diameter is 0.67 standard deviations below the mean.
Cumulative proportion
The cumulative proportion or cumulative probability is the accumulated probability up to a certain point in a distribution. In normal distribution scenarios, it helps us find the probability that a value is less than or equal to a specific number, using Z-score. Once Z-scores are calculated, they are used to locate corresponding cumulative proportions from a standard normal distribution table (Z-table). Assuming you have a Z-score, you would look this value up in the Z-table to find the cumulative probability. For instance, a Z-score of -0.67 corresponds to a cumulative proportion of approximately 0.2514. This value tells us that about 25.14% of the trees have diameters less than 3 inches. **Steps**:
  • Calculate the Z-score for a value.
  • Use the Z-table to find the cumulative proportion.
  • Interpret the cumulative proportion according to the problem statement.
Understanding these steps can greatly help in solving real-world problems involving normal distributions.
Standard deviation
The standard deviation is a key concept in statistics that measures the amount of variation or dispersion of a set of values. In a normal distribution, the standard deviation helps understand how spread out the values are from the mean.A smaller standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean, whereas a larger standard deviation means the values are more spread out. For the Douglas fir tree diameters, which are said to be normally distributed:- **Mean (\( \mu \))**: 4 inches- **Standard Deviation (\( \sigma \))**: 1.5 inchesA standard deviation of 1.5 inches suggests that the diameters of the trees vary, creating a spread around the mean of 4 inches. This information is integral when calculating Z-scores and understanding cumulative proportions.
Mean
The mean is a central value in a dataset, often referred to as the average. It is calculated by summing all individual data points and dividing by the total number of points. In the context of normally distributed data like the diameters of Christmas trees, the mean indicates the central tendency around which all measurements are clustered. For instance, in the case of Douglas fir trees: - The given mean diameter is 4 inches.
- This means most trees will have diameters close to 4 inches. Knowing the mean helps in calculating Z-scores, enabling us to interpret the data effectively. It forms the basis for various statistical analyses, especially when dealing with the normal distribution. When combined with the standard deviation, the mean gives a complete picture of the data's overall distribution.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Let \(x\) be a binomial random variable with \(n=\) 15 and \(p=.5\) a. Is the normal approximation appropriate? b. Find \(P(x \geq 6)\) using the normal approximation. c. Find \(P(x>6)\) using the normal approximation. d. Find the exact probabilities for parts \(\mathrm{b}\) and \(\mathrm{c},\) and compare these with your approximations.

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