Chapter 6: Problem 16
A normal random variable \(x\) has mean 50 and standard deviation \(15 .\) Would it be unusual to observe the value \(x=0\) ? Explain your answer.
Short Answer
Expert verified
Answer: Yes, observing the value x = 0 is unusual, as it is more than 3 standard deviations below the mean.
Step by step solution
01
Identify the given information
We are given a normal random variable x with a mean (µ) of 50 and a standard deviation (σ) of 15. We are asked to determine if observing x = 0 would be unusual.
02
Calculate the z-score
The z-score (or standard score) is a measure that indicates how many standard deviations away an individual data point is from the mean. The formula for calculating the z-score is: z = (x - µ) / σ. Using the given information, we can calculate the z-score for x = 0: z = (0 - 50) / 15 = -50 / 15 ≈ -3.33.
03
Compare the z-score to the standard normal distribution
A z-score of -3.33 means that the value x = 0 is approximately 3.33 standard deviations below the mean of the normal distribution. Under a standard normal distribution, about 99.7% of the data falls within ±3 standard deviations of the mean. Since the z-score for x = 0 lies outside of this range, it would be considered unusual.
04
Conclusion
Observing the value x = 0 is unusual for a normal random variable with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 15, as it is more than 3 standard deviations below the mean.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Understanding the Z-Score
In statistics, the **z-score** helps us understand how a particular data point relates to the average of a data set. It's essentially a measure of how far and in what direction, a data point is from the mean, measured in terms of standard deviations. The formula for calculating a z-score is:\[ z = \frac{(x - \mu)}{\sigma} \]Here:
- \(x\) is the data point.
- \(\mu\) is the mean of the data set.
- \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
The Meaning of Mean and Standard Deviation in a Normal Distribution
The **mean** is essentially the average of all data points in a set. It's the central value around which all observations in a data set revolve. When we talk about a normal distribution in statistics, the mean provides a pivotal reference point.
On the other hand, the **standard deviation** measures the amount of variation or spread in a set of values. A low standard deviation implies that the data points are close to the mean, whereas a high standard deviation indicates that the data points are more spread out over a wider range.
In the context of a normal distribution:
- The data tends to group around the mean, forming a bell-shaped curve.
- About 68% of the data is within 1 standard deviation of the mean.
- Approximately 95% falls within 2 standard deviations.
- And roughly 99.7% is within 3 standard deviations.
Determining Unusual Observations in Statistics
When evaluating data, it's important to determine whether an observation is **unusual**. In a normal distribution, an observation is deemed unusual if it falls outside the range that contains most of the data points. Conventionally:
- Data points within ±2 standard deviations from the mean are considered typical.
- Data points beyond ±3 standard deviations are often flagged as unusual.
- The mean is 50, and the standard deviation is 15.
- The calculated z-score for an observation of 0 is approximately -3.33.