/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 21 A small factory has a 24 -hour p... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A small factory has a 24 -hour production facility. They employ 30 workers on the day shift \((08.00-16.00), 22\) workers on the evening shift \((16: 00-24 ; 00)\) and 15 workers on the morning shift \((00: 00-08: 00) .\) A quality control consultant is to select 9 workers for in-depth interviews. a) What is the probability that all 9 come from the day shift? b) What is the probability that all 9 come from the same shift? c) What is the probability that at least two of the shifts are represented? d) What is the probability that at least one of the shifts is unrepresented?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) \(\frac{\binom{30}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\). b) Sum of three \(\frac{\binom{30}{9}}, \frac{\binom{22}{9}}, \frac{\binom{15}{9}}\). c) 1 - Part b. d) Part b.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Total Workers

First, calculate the total number of workers in the factory across all shifts. Sum the workers from each shift:\[30 \text{ (day)} + 22 \text{ (evening)} + 15 \text{ (morning)} = 67 \text{ workers}\]
02

Probability All Workers are from Day Shift

Calculate the probability of selecting all 9 workers from the day shift. There are 30 workers available on the day shift.The number of ways to choose 9 workers from 67 is \(\binom{67}{9}\) and from the day shift is \(\binom{30}{9}\).Thus, the probability is:\[P(\text{all from day shift}) = \frac{\binom{30}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\]
03

Probability All Workers are from Same Shift

Consider the possibilities for all workers being from the same shift (day, evening, or morning):- Day shift: \(P = \frac{\binom{30}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\)- Evening shift: \(P = \frac{\binom{22}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\)- Morning shift: \(P = \frac{\binom{15}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\)Sum these probabilities:\[P(\text{same shift}) = \frac{\binom{30}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}} + \frac{\binom{22}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}} + \frac{\binom{15}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\]
04

Probability At Least Two Shifts are Represented

This is the complement of the event where all workers come from the same shift. Use the result from Step 3:\[P(\text{at least two shifts}) = 1 - P(\text{same shift})\]
05

Probability At Least One Shift is Unrepresented

For this probability, consider the complement of the event where all three shifts are represented. This event includes at least one shift being unrepresented. We calculate the probability for exactly two shifts being represented and subtract it from 1:The outcome \(\text{all three shifts represented} = 1 - P(\text{at least two shifts})\)Thus,\[P(\text{at least one unrepresented}) = 1 - P(\text{all three represented})\]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a fundamental area in mathematics focused on counting, arrangements, and combinations. It is particularly useful when we need to determine the number of ways something can occur. In our scenario, combinatorics helps us calculate the number of ways to select a group of workers from different shifts.
To determine how many ways we can choose workers from a certain shift, the concept of combinations is used. The formula for combinations is \(inom{n}{k}\), which represents the number of ways to choose \(k\) items from \(n\) total items without regard to order.
In the example given, if we have 30 workers on the day shift and need to select 9 of them, the number of ways to do this is \(\binom{30}{9}\). Here, \(n = 30\) and \(k = 9\).
This approach helps us understand various selection-related problems without having to manually list all possibilities, making problem-solving efficient.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is the process of quantifying the likelihood of an event happening. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1. A probability of 0 means the event will not occur, while a probability of 1 means it will certainly occur.
In our problem, we calculate probabilities by dividing the number of successful outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. For instance, to find the probability that all 9 workers selected are from the day shift, we use the formula:
\[P(\text{all from day shift}) = \frac{\binom{30}{9}}{\binom{67}{9}}\]
This expression represents the ratio of the number of ways to choose 9 workers out of the 30 day shift workers to the number of ways to choose any 9 workers from all 67 workers in the factory.
If you're calculating the probability that all 9 workers come from the same shift, you sum the probabilities for each shift:
  • Day shift probability
  • Evening shift probability
  • Morning shift probability

Adding these gives the total probability that all 9 come from the same shift.
Shift Work
Shift work is a working system where different groups of workers perform tasks during different times of the day. This is common in industries that require 24-hour operation, like manufacturing or healthcare. Each shift has its specific start and end times.
In our example, the day shift runs from 08:00 to 16:00, the evening shift from 16:00 to 24:00, and the morning shift from 00:00 to 08:00. This arrangement allows the factory to maintain continuous productivity.
By understanding shift work, we can better grasp probability concepts within this structure. Knowing who is in each shift allows us to categorize and calculate probabilities more effectively. It also becomes clear how each shift's characteristics might impact the selection of workers, such as the differing numbers of employees per shift, which in turn affects probability outcomes.

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