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A committee of six people is to be chosen from a group of 15 people that contains two married couples. a) What is the probability that the committee will include both married couples? b) What is the probability that the committee will include the three youngest members in the group?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 0.01098 b) 0.04395

Step by step solution

01

Understand the total number of ways to form a committee

First, determine the total number of ways to choose six people from the group of 15. Use the combination formula \( \binom{n}{r} \) to find this:\[ \binom{15}{6} = \frac{15!}{6! \cdot (15-6)!} = 5005 \] There are 5005 different ways to form a committee from 15 people.
02

Calculate the ways to include both married couples

To include both married couples in the committee, first select the two couples (which gives us four members):\[ \binom{2}{2} = 1 \]Then, choose 2 additional members from the remaining 11 people:\[ \binom{11}{2} = \frac{11!}{2! \cdot (11-2)!} = 55 \] Thus, there are 55 ways to form a committee including both married couples.
03

Calculate the probability for including both married couples

The probability that the committee includes both married couples is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total possible outcomes:\[ P(\text{both couples}) = \frac{\text{ways to include both couples}}{\text{total ways to form committee}} = \frac{55}{5005} \approx 0.01098 \]
04

Calculate the ways to include the three youngest members

To form a committee that includes the three youngest people, we first select them:\[ \binom{3}{3} = 1 \]Then, choose 3 additional members from the remaining 12 people:\[ \binom{12}{3} = \frac{12!}{3! \cdot (12-3)!} = 220 \] Thus, there are 220 ways to form a committee including the three youngest members.
05

Calculate the probability for including the three youngest members

The probability that the committee includes the three youngest members is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total possible outcomes:\[ P(\text{three youngest}) = \frac{\text{ways to include three youngest}}{\text{total ways to form committee}} = \frac{220}{5005} \approx 0.04395 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory deals with the chance of a certain event occurring. In simple terms, it tells us how likely or unlikely something is to happen.

When we talk about probability, we're talking about a number between 0 and 1. This number represents the likelihood of an outcome, where 0 means it's impossible and 1 indicates certainty. To find the probability of an event, you divide the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of all possible outcomes.

In our exercise, we are interested in two events related to forming a committee from a group of people:
  • The probability of including both married couples.
  • The probability of including the youngest members.
To calculate these probabilities, we first have to determine the number of favorable outcomes (how many times these couples or youngest members can be chosen), and then divide that by the total ways the committee can be formed (which was calculated as 5005 in this case). This will give us a sense of how likely these specific groups will be part of the committee.
Binomial Coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a key concept in combinatorics, which allows us to calculate the number of ways to choose a subset of items from a larger set. It is often referred to as "n choose r" and is written as \( \binom{n}{r} \).

In the exercise, we use the binomial coefficient to determine how many ways we can select committee members.

The formula for the binomial coefficient is:\[ \binom{n}{r} = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!} \]
where \( n! \) (n factorial) is the product of all integers up to \( n \). This formula gives us the number of ways to choose \( r \) elements from a set of \( n \) elements.

In our specific problem:
  • \( \binom{15}{6} \) calculates the total number of ways to form a committee of six from fifteen people.
  • \( \binom{11}{2} \) computes the number of ways to choose two additional members after selecting the two married couples out of the remaining eleven.
  • \( \binom{12}{3} \) calculates the ways to choose additional committee members after selecting the three youngest ones.
Using the binomial coefficient simplifies the process of counting combinations, avoiding tedious manual enumeration.
Mathematical Problem-Solving
Mathematical problem-solving involves a step-by-step approach to finding solutions to problems. This structured method helps in breaking down complex problems into manageable parts, ensuring that no detail is overlooked.

For the exercise at hand, we carefully followed these steps:
  • First, we identified the total number of possible committees using the binomial coefficient \( \binom{15}{6} \).
  • Next, we calculated the number of favorable outcomes for each event (having both married couples and the youngest members). This involved using the binomial coefficient to find how many ways these particular groups can be selected.
  • Finally, we determined the probability by dividing the favorable outcomes by the total possible combinations, allowing us to quantify how likely each scenario is.
This systematic approach illustrates the power of problem-solving skills in mathematics. By using logical reasoning and mathematical tools like binomial coefficients, we can efficiently solve and understand a wide range of combinatorial problems.

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