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Suppose we want to check the accuracy of self-reported diagnoses of angina by getting further medical records on a subset of the cases. If we have 50 reported cases of angina and we want to select 5 for further review, then how many ways can we select these cases if order of selection matters?

Short Answer

Expert verified
There are 254,251,200 ways to select 5 cases when order matters.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We need to find the number of ways to select 5 cases out of 50 reported cases of angina such that the order of selection matters. This is a permutation problem.
02

Define the Permutation Formula

To find the number of permutations when selecting 5 cases out of 50, we use the formula for permutations: \( P(n, r) = \frac{n!}{(n-r)!} \)where \( n \) is the total number of items to choose from, and \( r \) is the number of items to choose.
03

Apply the Values to the Formula

Substitute \( n = 50 \) and \( r = 5 \) into the permutation formula:\[ P(50, 5) = \frac{50!}{(50-5)!} = \frac{50!}{45!} \]
04

Simplify the Expression

The expression \( \frac{50!}{45!} \) simplifies to calculating the product of the 5 numbers starting from 50 down to 46:\[ 50 \times 49 \times 48 \times 47 \times 46 \]
05

Calculate the Result

Compute the product to get the total number of permutations:\[ 50 \times 49 \times 48 \times 47 \times 46 = 254251200 \]
06

Conclusion

There are 254,251,200 ways to select 5 cases from the 50 reported cases if the order of selection matters.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a branch of mathematics that deals with counting, arranging, and finding patterns across a set of objects. In simple terms, it is about figuring out the number of ways you can organize a group of things. When dealing with combinations, permutations, or any kind of sequences, you use combinatorial principles.

One key aspect is determining whether the order of selection is relevant, which directly affects the type of operation we'll use: permutations or combinations. In the context of selecting cases for further review, as described in the exercise, we're concerned with permutations because the order matters.

With combinatorics, the world of mathematics opens up intriguing possibilities, allowing you to count possibilities in everything from everyday decisions to complex scientific predictions.
What is a Factorial?
In combinatorics, factorials are fundamental. Understandably, the term 'factorial' sounds fancy, but it's pretty straightforward when broken down. Represented by an exclamation mark (!), a factorial is the product of all positive integers up to a specified number. For example, with 4!, you would multiply 4 × 3 × 2 × 1, arriving at 24.

Factorials help you calculate permutations and combinations by providing a structured way to quantify arrangements. They're crucial for formulas like the permutation formula \( P(n, r) = \frac{n!}{(n-r)!} \) where combinations of elements are calculated. Factorials can grow large quickly, which means they are incredibly useful when dealing with large sets in permutation formulas, as demonstrated in the case selection exercise.
The Order of Selection
The order of selection is essentially deciding whether the sequence in which items are chosen has importance. Sometimes, the sequence matters, and sometimes it doesn't.

In our exercise about checking medical cases, the order mattered. When the order is important, each unique arrangement counts as a different option. This is why permutation formulas are used, unlike combination formulas, which ignore sequencing.

For instance, choosing Case A first and then Case B is different from choosing Case B and then Case A. Real-world scenarios often come down to evaluating whether order matters, helping to determine the approach needed in calculating possibilities.
Decoding the Permutation Formula
The permutation formula is an essential tool in combinatorics used to determine the number of possible arrangements of a set when order matters. The formula is expressed as \( P(n, r) = \frac{n!}{(n-r)!} \), where \( n \) is the total number of items to choose from, and \( r \) is the number of items you are choosing.

In the permutation formula, factorials play a vital role in simplifying calculations. The part \( n! \) accounts for the total arrangements, while \( (n-r)! \) eliminates arrangements that do not need to be considered. For example, solving the exercise with 50 reported cases and wanting to review 5 cases involves these elements to determine all potential sequences.

Using the permutation formula correctly helps ensure accuracy in selecting and ordering items, which is invaluable in situations where precision is crucial, like the review of medical case selections.

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