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Population: A biologist has found the following linear model for the natural logarithm of an animal population as a function of time: $$ \ln N=0.039 t-0.693 . $$ Here \(t\) is time in years and \(N\) is the population in thousands. Find an exponential model for the population.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The exponential model for the population is \( N = 0.5 \, e^{0.039t} \).

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

The given equation is \( \ln N = 0.039t - 0.693 \). We need to convert this logarithmic equation into an exponential form to find the model for the population \( N \).
02

Isolate \( \ln N \)

The starting equation \( \ln N = 0.039t - 0.693 \) already isolates \( \ln N \) on one side of the equation, which helps us to rewrite it in exponential form.
03

Exponentiate Both Sides

To eliminate the natural logarithm, we take the exponential of both sides:\\[ N = e^{0.039t - 0.693} \].
04

Simplify the Exponential Form

Using the property of exponents, we can rewrite the right-hand side as:\\[ N = e^{0.039t} \, e^{-0.693} \].
05

Evaluate the Constant \( e^{-0.693} \)

Calculate \( e^{-0.693} \) which is approximately equal to 0.5. Thus, the equation becomes:\\[ N = 0.5 \, e^{0.039t} \].
06

Finalize the Exponential Model

The exponential model for the population as a function of time \( t \) is:\\[ N = 0.5 \, e^{0.039t} \]. This model represents the population in thousands.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Logarithmic Functions
Understanding logarithmic functions is crucial for interpreting the given problem. A logarithmic function is essentially the inverse of an exponential function. In mathematical terms, if you have an equation like \( \ln N = x \), it means that the natural logarithm of \( N \) equals \( x \). This can be thought of as asking: "What power must the base \( e \) (approximately 2.718) be raised to, to yield \( N \)?"
In the context of the exercise, our equation is \( \ln N = 0.039t - 0.693 \). This indicates that the natural logarithm of the population \( N \) is expressed in a linear relationship with time \( t \). Combining logarithmic rules with algebraic manipulation helps us to solve such problems by converting between different mathematical forms, which sets the stage for understanding exponential models.
Population Models
Population models help us understand and predict changes in populations over time. The given problem involves creating an exponential population model based on the logarithmic function provided.
An exponential model is typically used when quantities grow or decay at rates proportional to their current size. The exponential equation derived from our logarithmic function is \( N = 0.5 \, e^{0.039t} \). This represents exponential growth, where \( N \) is the population in thousands and \( t \) is time in years.
This specific model forecasts how the population would evolve if it grows at a consistent rate of 3.9% per year, starting at 0.5 times its initial size (derived from \( e^{-0.693} \approx 0.5 \)). Many real-world phenomena such as population dynamics, radioactive decay, and finance use exponential models for predictions due to their ability to account for such continuous growth or decline.
Algebraic Manipulation
Algebraic manipulation is a powerful tool that aids in transforming mathematical expressions to solve equations more easily. This process includes rearranging and simplifying expressions using basic algebraic rules.
For instance, in converting the logarithmic equation \( \ln N = 0.039t - 0.693 \) into an exponential form, we use exponentiation. By applying the exponential function on both sides, we aim to eliminate the logarithm: \( N = e^{0.039t - 0.693} \). Recognizing properties of exponents allows us to simplify further to \( N = e^{0.039t} \, e^{-0.693} \) and evaluating this with \( e^{-0.693} \approx 0.5 \) leads us to the final exponential expression \( N = 0.5 \, e^{0.039t} \).
Algebraic manipulation is crucial in converting equations from one form to another to reveal meaningful insights, making it a fundamental process in solving mathematical problems.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Grazing rabbits: The amount \(A\) of vegetation (measured in pounds) eaten in a day by a grazing animal is a function of the amount \(V\) of food available (measured in pounds per acre). \({ }^{39}\) Even if vegetation is abundant, there is a limit, called the satiation level, to the amount the animal will eat. The following table shows, for rabbits, the difference \(D\) between the satiation level and the amount \(A\) of food eaten for a variety of values of \(V\). a. Draw a plot of \(\ln D\) against \(V\). Does it appear that \(D\) is approximately an exponential function of \(V\) ? b. Find the equation of the regression line for \(\ln D\) against \(V\) and add its graph to the plot in part a. $$ \begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline V=\text { vegetation level } & D=\text { satiation level }-A \\ \hline 27 & 0.16 \\ \hline 36 & 0.12 \\ \hline 89 & 0.07 \\ \hline 134 & 0.05 \\ \hline 245 & 0.01 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ c. Find an exponential function that approximates \(D\) using the logarithm as a link. d. The satiation level of a rabbit is \(0.18\) pound per day. Use this, together with your work in part c, to find a formula for \(A\).

The MacArthur-Wilson theory of biogeography: Consider an island separated from the mainland, which contains a pool of potential colonizer species. The MacArthur-Wilson theory of biogeography \({ }^{2}\) hypothesizes that some species from the mainland will migrate to the island but that increasing competition on the island will lead to species extinction. It further hypothesizes that both the rate of migration and the rate of extinction of species are exponential functions, and that an equilibrium occurs when the rate of extinction matches the rate of immigration. This equilibrium point is thought to be the point at which immigration and extinction stabilize. Suppose that, for a certain island near the mainland, the rate of immigration of new species is given by $$ I=4.2 \times 0.93^{t} \text { species per year } $$ and that the rate of species extinction on the island is given by $$ E=1.5 \times 1.1^{t} \text { species per year } . $$ According to the MacArthur-Wilson theory, how long will be required for stabilization to occur, and what are the immigration and extinction rates at that time?

Aphid growth on broccoli: This problem and the following one are based on the results of a study by R. Root and A. Olson of population growth for aphids on various host plants.44 The value of r = 0.243 per day is valid for aphids reared on broccoli plants outdoors. The table on the next page describes the growth of an aphid population reared on broccoli plants indoors (in a controlled environment). Time t is measured in days. $$ \begin{array}{|l|c|c|c|c|c|} \hline \text { Time } t & 0 & 1 & 2 & 3 & 4 \\ \hline \text { Population } & 25 & 30 & 37 & 44 & 54 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ Calculate r for this table. Did the aphids fare better indoors or outdoors?

Unit conversion with exponential growth: The exponential function \(N=3500 \times 1.77^{d}\), where \(d\) is measured in decades, gives the number of individuals in a certain population. a. Calculate \(N(1.5)\) and explain what your answer means. b. What is the percentage growth rate per decade? c. What is the yearly growth factor rounded to three decimal places? What is the yearly percentage growth rate? d. What is the growth factor (rounded to two decimal places) for a century? What is the percentage growth rate per century?

Magnitude and distance: Astronomers measure brightness of stars using both the absolute magnitude, a measure of the true brightness of the star, and the apparent magnitude, a measure of the brightness of a star as it appears from Earth.18 The difference between apparent and absolute magnitude should yield information about the distance to the star. The table on the following page gives magnitude difference m and distance d, measured in light-years, for several stars. $$ \begin{array}{|l|c|c|} \hline \text { Star } & \begin{array}{c} \text { Magnitude } \\ \text { difference } m \end{array} & \text { Distance } d \\ \hline \text { Algol } & 2.56 & 105 \\ \hline \text { Aldebaran } & 1.56 & 68 \\ \hline \text { Capella } & 0.66 & 45 \\ \hline \text { Canopus } & 2.38 & 98 \\ \hline \text { Pollux } & 0.13 & 35 \\ \hline \text { Regulus } & 2.05 & 84 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Plot d against m and determine whether it is reasonable to model distance as an exponential function of magnitude difference. b. Give an exponential model for the data. c. If one star shows a magnitude difference 1 greater than the magnitude difference that a second star shows, how do their distances from Earth compare? d. Alphecca shows a magnitude difference of 1.83. How far is Alphecca from Earth? e. Alderamin is 52 light-years from Earth and has an apparent magnitude of 2.47. Find the absolute magnitude of Alderamin.

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