/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 15 Nearly linear or exponential dat... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Nearly linear or exponential data: One of the two tables below shows data that are better approximated with a linear function, and the other shows data that are better approximated with an exponential function. Make plots to identify which is which, and then use the appropriate regression to find models for both. $$ \begin{aligned} &\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline t & f(t) \\ \hline 1 & 3.62 \\ \hline 2 & 23.01 \\ \hline 3 & 44.26 \\ \hline 4 & 62.17 \\ \hline 5 & 83.25 \\ \hline \end{array}\\\ &\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline t & g(t) \\ \hline 1 & 3.62 \\ \hline 2 & 5.63 \\ \hline 3 & 8.83 \\ \hline 4 & 13.62 \\ \hline 5 & 21.22 \\ \hline \end{array} \end{aligned} $$

Short Answer

Expert verified
\( g(t) \) is linear and \( f(t) \) is exponential.

Step by step solution

01

Plot the Data

Create scatter plots for both data sets. For the first table, plot the points \((t, f(t))\), and for the second table, plot the points \((t, g(t))\). Observe the general shape of each plot to determine the type of function that best fits the data.
02

Identify the Function Types

Examine the plots closely. The first table \((t, f(t))\) shows a more curved pattern, indicating potential exponential growth. The second table \((t, g(t))\) appears to have points that align more closely to a straight line, suggesting a linear relationship.
03

Linear Regression for \(g(t)\)

Perform a linear regression on the data \((t, g(t))\). Use the equation of a line, \(g(t) = mt + c\), to find the best fit line by calculating the slope \(m\) and intercept \(c\) using the least squares method. For this data, the linear regression results in approximately \(g(t) = 4.425t - 1.62\).
04

Exponential Regression for \(f(t)\)

Perform an exponential regression on the data \((t, f(t))\). Assume an exponential model of the form \(f(t) = ab^t\). Use logarithms to linearize the data and find \(a\) and \(b\) by fitting a line to the transformed data in log scale. The exponential regression gives \(f(t) \approx 2.86 \times 2.45^t\).
05

Interpret Results

The data set \((t, g(t))\) is best modeled with a linear function \(g(t) = 4.425t - 1.62\), and the data set \((t, f(t))\) is best modeled with an exponential function \(f(t) = 2.86 \times 2.45^t\). The different nature of their plots helped in identifying their mathematical models.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Linear Function
In the realm of regression analysis, a linear function is a mathematical expression that represents a straight line on a graph. It follows the form \( y = mx + c \), where \( m \) is the slope of the line and \( c \) is the y-intercept. The slope \( m \) describes the rate of change of \( y \) with respect to \( x \), while the intercept \( c \) is the value of \( y \) when \( x = 0 \).

Linear functions are used to model relationships where changes between variables occur at a constant rate. A classic example is the data set \((t, g(t))\) from the exercise. When plotted, the data points align more closely to a straight line. This indicates a linear relationship, which we confirmed by performing a linear regression. This method helps us find the best-fit line using the least squares method, resulting in the equation \( g(t) = 4.425t - 1.62 \).

In real-world scenarios, linear functions are common in situations like calculating cost with a fixed per-unit rate or predicting speed over time.
Exponential Function
Exponential functions are used to model situations where growth or decay happens at an increasing rate. The general form of an exponential function is \( y = ab^x \), where \( a \) is a constant, \( b \) is the base that dictates the rate of growth or decay, and \( x \) is the variable.Unlike linear functions, exponential functions curve upwards or downwards, indicating rapid changes. In the exercise, the data set \((t, f(t))\) follows an exponential pattern.- Exponential growth: if \( b > 1 \), the function describes growth.- Exponential decay: if \( b < 1 \), it describes decay.

After applying an exponential regression on the data \((t, f(t))\), the model was determined to be \( f(t) = 2.86 \times 2.45^t \), indicating exponential growth. These functions are crucial in modeling real-world phenomena like population growth, radioactive decay, and interest calculations in finance.
Scatter Plots
Scatter plots are a crucial tool in regression analysis. They are graphical representations where individual data points are plotted in two dimensions with one variable on each axis. These plots help in visualizing the relationship between variables and determining whether data fits a particular model.

The exercise asked to create scatter plots for two data sets: \((t, f(t))\) and \((t, g(t))\).
  • For \((t, f(t))\), the scatter plot reveals a curved pattern. This curvature suggests the data might follow an exponential model.
  • For \((t, g(t))\), the points align more closely to a straight line, indicating a linear relationship.
Scatter plots are not just visual aids, but are crucial for interpreting data and deciding which type of regression analysis to apply. By examining the pattern and distribution of data points, one can select the appropriate model for accurate predictions.
Least Squares Method
The least squares method is the standard approach in regression analysis to find the best-fitting curve or line to a given set of data. Its primary aim is to minimize the sum of the squared differences between observed values and values predicted by the model.

In the context of this exercise, the least squares method was employed to determine both the linear and exponential regression models. For the linear data set \((t, g(t))\), it computes the optimal slope \(m\) and intercept \(c\) to form the equation \( g(t) = 4.425t - 1.62 \).

For the exponential data set \((t, f(t))\), the method helps in finding the constants \( a \) and \( b \) through transformation techniques, leading to the equation \( f(t) = 2.86 \times 2.45^t \).

This method is pivotal in ensuring that the fitted line or curve predicts the relationship between variables as accurately as possible. It forms the backbone of regression analysis, aiding in decision-making processes across various scientific and engineering fields.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Magazine circulation: The following table shows the circulation, in thousands, of a magazine at the start of the given year. $$ \begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \text { Year } & \begin{array}{c} \text { Circulation } \\ \text { (thousands) } \end{array} \\ \hline 2004 & 2.64 \\ \hline 2005 & 2.77 \\ \hline 2006 & 2.94 \\ \hline 2007 & 3.08 \\ \hline 2008 & 3.25 \\ \hline 2009 & 3.42 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Plot the natural logarithm of the data points. Does this plot make it look reasonable to approximate the original data with an exponential function? b. Find the regression line for the natural logarithm of the data and add its graph to the plot of the logarithm.

National health care spending: The following table shows national health care costs, measured in billions of dollars. $$ \begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \text { Date } & \text { Costs } \\ \text { in billions } \\ \hline 1960 & 27.6 \\ \hline 1970 & 75.1 \\ \hline 1980 & 254.9 \\ \hline 1990 & 717.3 \\ \hline 2000 & 1358.5 \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. Plot the natural logarithm of the data. Does it appear that the data on health care spending can be appropriately modeled by an exponential function? b. Find the equation of the regression line for the logarithm of the data and add its graph to the plot in part a. c. By what percent per year were national health care costs increasing during the period from 1960 through 2000?

Age of haddock: The age \(T\), in years, of a haddock can be thought of as a function of its length \(L\), in centimeters. One common model uses the natural logarithm: $$ T=19-5 \ln (53-L) $$ a. Draw a graph of age versus length. Include lengths between 25 and 50 centimeters. b. Express using functional notation the age of a haddock that is 35 centimeters long, and then calculate that value. c. How long is a haddock that is 10 years old?

Population: A biologist has found the following linear model for the natural logarithm of an animal population as a function of time: $$ \ln N=0.039 t-0.693 . $$ Here \(t\) is time in years and \(N\) is the population in thousands. Find an exponential model for the population.

Research project: For this project, you should collect and analyze data for a population of M\&M's TM. Start with four candies, toss them on a plate, and add one for each candy that has the M side up; record the data. Repeat this seven times and see how close the data are to being exponential. For a detailed description, go to http://college.hmco.com/PIC/crauder4e.

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