/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 62 On an American roulette wheel, t... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

On an American roulette wheel, there are 38 numbers: \(00,0,1,2, \ldots, 36 .\) If you bet \(\$ N\) on any one number-say. for example, on 10 - you win \(\$ 36 N\) if 10 comes up (i.e., you get \(\$ 37 N\) back - your original bet plus your \(\$ 36 N\) profit \() ;\) if any other number comes up, you lose your \(\$ N\) bet. Find the expected payoff of a \(\$ 1\) bet on 10 (or any other number).

Short Answer

Expert verified
After solving, we get the expected earnings from a $1 bet to be approximately -\$0.053.

Step by step solution

01

Probability of Winning

Firstly, the probability of winning needs to be calculated. As the bet is on a single number, thus there is one successful outcome out of 38 total possible outcomes. Hence, the probability of winning, P(W) is \(\frac{1}{38}\).
02

Probability of Losing

Next, is the calculation of the probability of losing. As there are 37 ways to not get the selected number out of the 38 total possible outcomes. So, the probability of losing, P(L) is \(\frac{37}{38}\).
03

Calculate Expected Earnings of Investment

Finally, apply these probabilities to calculate the expected earnings from a $1 bet. If a player wins, they receive $36. If they lose, they lose $1. The expected earnings can be calculated using this formula: \(E[N] = P(W) * Winning + P(L) * Losing\).\nLet's put the values into the formula: \(E = \frac{1}{38} * 36 + \frac{37}{38} * (-1)\).

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

American roulette
American roulette is a popular casino game that many people enjoy for its thrill and the chance to win big. The game features a wheel with 38 numbered slots ranging from 0 to 36, plus a 00 slot. This distinguishes American roulette from other versions like European roulette, which has only 37 slots without the 00. The presence of the
  • additional "00" in American roulette increases the house edge, making it slightly harder for players to win in the long term compared to European roulette.
  • As a player, you place bets on where you think the ball will land after the wheel is spun. You can bet on various outcomes, including a single number, a range of numbers, odd or even numbers, or the color (red or black) of the slot.
Betting on a single number, such as 10 as in the example, offers the highest payout (35 to 1) because it is the most difficult bet to win. The complexity and multitude of betting options make American roulette an exciting game for players who enjoy strategizing and taking risks.
Understanding the basics of the American roulette wheel is crucial for calculating the probabilities and expected values of different bets, which can significantly affect a player's overall strategy and chances of walking away with a profit.
probability of winning and losing
When playing American roulette and placing a bet on a single number, such as 10 in our example, the probability of winning is the first calculation to consider. In roulette, each spin of the wheel is independent, and the chances of winning or losing remain constant every time.
  • To find the probability of winning, consider that each number has an equal chance of being spun, given that there are 38 possible numbers. Therefore, the probability of the ball landing on your chosen number, say 10, is simply \[ P(W) = \frac{1}{38} \].
  • Conversely, the probability of losing is determined by the likelihood of landing on any other number except your chosen one. In this case, there are 37 other numbers, thus the probability of losing is \[ P(L) = \frac{37}{38} \].
These probabilities are essential for calculating the expected value, which represents the average amount one can expect to win or lose per bet in the long run. Calculating these probabilities helps players make informed decisions about their betting strategies and understand the risks involved.
probability theory
Probability theory is a mathematical framework used to understand uncertainty and randomness. It helps in analyzing situations involving chance, such as gambling games like American roulette. In these contexts, probability theory is used to determine the likelihood of different outcomes and to calculate expected values.

In our roulette example, we apply probability theory to determine the expected payoff or expected value of a \(1 bet on a single number. The expected value is calculated using the probabilities of winning and losing:
  • If you win, you receive \)36, because the payout for a successful single number bet is 35:1, plus your original \(1 bet.
  • If you lose, you forfeit your original \)1 bet.
We use the formula for expected value \[ E = P(W) \times \text{Winning amount} + P(L) \times \text{Losing amount} \], to find it. Plugging in the values gives \[ E = \frac{1}{38} \times 36 + \frac{37}{38} \times (-1) \], which simplifies to approximately -0.0526.

This means that on average, for each $1 bet on a single number, you can expect to lose roughly 5.26 cents in the long run. Understanding expected value via probability theory helps players recognize the inherent risk and the statistical disadvantage they face in games of chance such as roulette.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

Using set notation, write out the sample space for each of the following random experiments: (a) Three runners \((A, B,\) and \(C\) ) are running in a race (assume that there are no ties). The observation is the order in which the three runners cross the finish line. (b) Four runners \((A, B, C,\) and \(D)\) are running in a qualifying race (assume that there are no ties). The top two finishers qualify for the finals. The observation is the pair of runners that qualify for the finals.

The ski club at Tasmania State University has 35 members (15 females and 20 males). A committee of three members - a President, a Vice President, and a Treasurer must be chosen. (a) How many different three-member committees can be chosen? (b) How many different three-member committees can be chosen in which the committee members are all females? (c) How many different three-member committees can be chosen in which the committee members are all the same gender? (d) How many different three-member committees can be chosen in which the committee members are not all the same gender?

A set of reference books consists of eight volumes numbered 1 through 8 . (a) In how many ways can the eight books be arranged on a shelf? (b) In how many ways can the eight books be arranged on a shelf so that at least one book is out of order?

Consider the sample space \(S=\left\\{o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, o_{4}\right\\} .\) Suppose that \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)\) and that \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.15\) (a) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(o_{2}\) and \(o_{3}\) have the same probability. (b) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)=0.22\)

Joe is buying a new plasma TV at Circuit Town. The salesman offers Joe a three-year extended warranty for \(\$ 80 .\) The salesman tells Joe that \(24 \%\) of these plasma TVs require repairs within the first three years, and the average cost of a repair is \$400. Should Joe buy the extended warranty? Explain your reasoning.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.