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Consider the sample space \(S=\left\\{o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, o_{4}\right\\} .\) Suppose that \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)\) and that \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.15\) (a) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(o_{2}\) and \(o_{3}\) have the same probability. (b) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)=0.22\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
For part (a), the probability assignment is \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.15, \operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)=0.275\) and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)=0.3\). In part (b), the probability assignment is \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.15\), \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=0.28\), \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)=0.22\) and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)=0.35\).

Step by step solution

01

Solve for probability of \(o_{2}\) and \(o_{3}\) in Part (a)

Given \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)\), and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.15\), and \(o_{2}\) and \(o_{3}\) have the same probability. We also know that the total probability equals 1, so we have \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)+\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)=1\). Substituting values into this equation, we can solve for \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)\) (which is the same as \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)\) ) and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)\).
02

Solve for probability of \(o_{2}\), \(o_{3}\), and \(o_{4}\) in Part (b)

For Part (b), \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{3}\right)\) is given as 0.22. Using the given equality and the condition that total probability equals to 1, we substitute known probabilities into the equation and find \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)\) and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{4}\right)\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Spaces
In probability theory, a probability space is a foundational concept.It forms the framework for measuring uncertainties in various scenarios.A probability space consists of three main components: a sample space, events, and a probability measure.
Start by understanding the sample space, which includes all possible outcomes of a random experiment. For example, in the ORIGINAL EXERCISE, the sample space is given as \( S = \{o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, o_{4}\} \).The sample space is crucial as it sets the stage for everything else we calculate within probability theory.
  • Events: These are subsets of the sample space. They represent outcomes or combinations of outcomes of interest.
  • Probability Measure: This is a function that assigns a probability value to each event, ensuring all probabilities add up to one.
Understanding these basics helps as they ground you in how the theory allows us to predict and manage randomness effectively.
Sample Space
The concept of a sample space is central to probability theory.A sample space is the set of all possible outcomes in a probability experiment.For instance, take a coin flip where the result can be Heads or Tails—the sample space is \( \{H, T\} \).
The sample space lays out all possibilities clearly and systematically.In the given exercise, the sample space \( S = \{o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, o_{4}\} \) outlines four distinct, potential outcomes.
  • A finite sample space like this one entails a limited number of outcomes. Each one is distinct and disjoint.
  • Understanding how outcomes are structured within the sample space is pivotal to assigning probabilities correctly.
The sample space is not only a set but a guide that dictates how events are formed and probabilities are distributed across those events.
Probability Assignment
A probability assignment distributes likelihood values across a sample space such that each outcome receives a specific probability.In our example, probabilities are assigned to each outcome \( o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, \text{and} \ o_{4} \) within the sample space.
The allocated probabilities must fulfill two essential conditions:
  • Each probability is a number between 0 and 1.
  • The sum of all probabilities in a sample space equals 1.
Consider part (a) of the exercise: Given \( \operatorname{Pr}(o_{1}) = 0.15 \) and the condition that \( \operatorname{Pr}(o_{1}) + \operatorname{Pr}(o_{2}) = \operatorname{Pr}(o_{3}) + \operatorname{Pr}(o_{4}) \), solving this requires a logical step-by-step approach.
Similarly, in part (b), knowing that \( \operatorname{Pr}(o_{3}) = 0.22 \) directs how the remaining probabilities are dispersed.This step involves mathematical reasoning to ensure every condition of the probability space is accurately met.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider the sample space \(S=\left\\{o_{1}, o_{2}, o_{3}, o_{4}, o_{5}\right\\} .\) Suppose that \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{1}\right)=0.22\) and \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{2}\right)=0.24\) (a) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(o_{3}, o_{4},\) and \(o_{5}\) all have the same probability. (b) Find the probability assignment for the probability space when \(\operatorname{Pr}\left(o_{5}\right)=0.1\) and \(o_{3}\) has the same probability as \(o_{4}\) and \(o_{5}\) combined.

There are 10 athletes entered in an Olympic event (a) In how many ways can one pick the winne gold, silver, and bronze medals? (b) In how many ways can one pick the seven ath will not earn any medals?

The sample spaces are too big to write down in full. In these exercises, you should describe the sample space either by describing a generic outcome or by listing some outcomes and then using the ... notation. In the latter case, you should write down enough outcomes to make the description reasonably clear. A die is rolled four times in a row. The observation is the number that comes up on each roll. Describe the sample space.

A box contains twenty \(\$ 1\) bills, ten \(\$ 5\) bills, five \(\$ 10\) bills, four \(\$ 20\) bills, and one \(\$ 100\) bill. You blindly reach into the box and draw a bill at random. What is the expected value of your draw?

A coin is tossed 10 times in a row. The observation is how the coin lands ( \(H\) or \(T\) ) on each toss (see Exercise 7 ). Write out the event described by each of the following statements as a set. (a) \(E_{1}:\) "none of the tosses comes up tails." (b) \(E_{2}:\) "exactly one of the 10 tosses comes up tails" (c) \(E_{3}\) : "nine or more of the tosses come up tails."

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