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91Ó°ÊÓ

A large jar contains an unknown number of red gumballs and 150 green gumballs. As part of a seventh-grade class project the teacher asks Carlos to estimate the total number of gumballs in the jar using a sample. Carlos draws a sample of 50 gumballs, of which 19 are red and 31 are green. Use Carlos' sample to estimate the number of gumballs in the jar.

Short Answer

Expert verified
By setting up the proportion 31/50 = 150/X and solving for X, the estimate for the total number of gumballs in the jar is X = (50 * 150) / 31, which is approximately 242 gumballs.

Step by step solution

01

- Understand the Problem

Carlos has a sample of 50 gumballs, with 19 red and 31 green ones. In the jar, there are 150 green gumballs in total. To estimate the total number of gumballs in the jar, we compare the ratio of green gumballs in the sample to the total number of green gumballs in the jar.
02

- Find the Sample Ratio

Calculate the ratio of green gumballs in the sample to the total number of gumballs in the sample. Ratio = number of green gumballs in sample / total number of gumballs in sample = 31 / 50.
03

- Set Up a Proportion

Using the ratio from the sample, set up a proportion to estimate the total number of gumballs in the jar. The proportion will compare the ratio of green gumballs in the sample to the ratio of green gumballs in the entire jar. Let X be the total number of gumballs in the jar. Set up the equation 31/50 = 150/X.
04

- Solve for X

Cross-multiply in the proportion to solve for X as follows: 31 * X = 50 * 150. Now, divide both sides of the equation by 31 to find X: X = (50 * 150) / 31.
05

- Calculate the Estimate

Perform the calculation X = (50 * 150) / 31. This will give the estimated total number of gumballs in the jar.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Ratio and Proportion
Understanding the concepts of ratio and proportion is essential in various fields of mathematics, including algebra and geometry, as well as in practical applications like recipe adjustments and map readings.

Ratios compare two quantities in terms of 'how much' of one is present relative to the other. A ratio is expressed as two numbers separated by a colon (e.g., 1:2) or as a fraction (e.g., 1/2). Proportion, on the other hand, is an equation that states that two ratios are equal. It's a way of expressing that the relationship between one pair of quantities is the same as that between another pair.

In our exercise with Carlos and the gumballs, he created a ratio of green gumballs to the total sample (31/50) and we're trying to find its equivalence in a larger setting – the ratio of all green gumballs to the total number of gumballs in the jar. Through proportion, we can estimate total quantities, making it a powerful tool in mathematics.
Sampling in Statistics
Sampling in statistics allows us to make estimations about larger populations based on a representative subset. By examining a sample, statisticians can infer the characteristics of the entire group without needing to count or examine every member.

In Carlos's class project, he took a sample of 50 gumballs from the jar to infer the total count. The effectiveness of a sample depends on its randomness and size – the sample should accurately reflect the makeup of the entire population. Carlos's method of sampling is a hands-on approach to understanding the broader statistical concept of making informed predictions about a population from a small, well-chosen sample.
Cross-Multiplication
Cross-multiplication is a method used to solve proportions – equations that express that two ratios are equivalent. When we have a proportion in the form of \( \frac{a}{b} = \frac{c}{d} \), cross-multiplication involves multiplying the numerator of one ratio by the denominator of the other ratio.

To illustrate, if Carlos sets up his proportion as \( \frac{31}{50} = \frac{150}{X} \), cross-multiplication means we do the operation \( 31 \times X = 50 \times 150 \). This gives us a simpler equation to work with, allowing us to isolate the variable \( X \) and solve for the estimated total number of gumballs in the jar.
Mathematical Estimation Techniques
Estimation is a mathematical technique used to find an approximate value when the exact calculation is unnecessary, impractical, or impossible. With mathematical estimation techniques, we use known quantities to find unknown quantities through methods like rounding, using benchmarks, front-end estimation, and others.

In the context of Carlos’s gumball problem, we used a proportional relationship based on a random sample to estimate the total count in the jar. This is one of the simplest yet most effective estimation techniques, allowing insights into large datasets or populations without the need for exhaustive data collection or analysis. It showcases how huge computations can be avoided while still achieving an acceptably precise outcome.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Refer to the following story: An orange grow. er wishes to compute the average yield from his orchard. The orchard contains three varieties of trees: \(50 \%\) of his trees are of variety \(A, 25 \%\) of variety \(B,\) and \(25 \%\) of variety \(C\) (a) Suppose that in his survey, the grower found that each tree of variety A averages 100 oranges, each tree of variety \(\mathrm{B}\) averages 50 oranges, and each tree of varietyC averages 70 oranges. Estimate the average yield per tree of his orchard. (b) Is the yield you found in (a) a parameter or a statistic? Explain.

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