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State whether each of the following changes would make a confidence interval wider or narrower. (Assume that nothing else changes.) a. Changing from a \(90 \%\) confidence level to a \(99 \%\) confidence level b. Changing from a sample size of 30 to a sample size of 200 c. Changing from a standard deviation of 20 pounds to a standard deviation of 25 pounds

Short Answer

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a. The confidence interval becomes wider when changing from a \(90 \%\) to a \(99 \%\) confidence level. b. The confidence interval becomes narrower when the sample size increases from 30 to 200. c. The confidence interval becomes wider when the standard deviation increases from 20 to 25 pounds.

Step by step solution

01

Analyze the influence of confidence level

When moving from a \(90\%\) to \(99\%\) confidence level, the confidence interval becomes wider. This is because a higher confidence level means you are more certain that the true population parameter is within the interval, and thus, a wider interval is needed to maintain this higher level of certainty.
02

Analyze the influence of sample size

When the sample size increases, the confidence interval becomes narrower. A larger sample size provides more information about the population and decreases the standard error, hence improving the precision of the estimate and reducing the width of the confidence interval.
03

Analyze the influence of standard deviation

When the standard deviation increases, from 20 to 25 pounds in this case, the confidence interval becomes wider. The standard deviation is a measure of variability within a dataset: a higher standard deviation means larger variability, which induces greater uncertainty about where the population parameter lies and therefore, leads to a wider confidence interval.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Level
When discussing confidence intervals, the confidence level expresses the degree of certainty in the reliability of the interval. For instance, a confidence level of 90% suggests that if the same population were sampled repeatedly, approximately 90% of the confidence intervals calculated from those samples would contain the true population parameter. Increasing the confidence level to 99% means seeking greater assurance that the interval will contain the population parameter. However, this greater certainty results in a wider interval, reflecting increased acknowledgment of the variability in sample data. This is synonymous with being more conservative, as the larger confidence level accounts for more of the possible sample variations.
Sample Size
Sample size plays a pivotal role in determining the width of a confidence interval. It stands to reason that the more individuals or data points included in a sample, the closer the sample statistics will be to the true population parameters. Increasing the sample size from 30 to 200, as mentioned in the exercise, reduces the standard error, which is a key component in calculating the confidence interval. A smaller standard error leads to a narrower confidence interval, providing a more precise estimate of the population parameter. Sampling more subjects makes the sample more representative and therefore increases our confidence in the interval estimate.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation is a measure of spread that indicates how much individual values in a dataset deviate from the mean. A change in standard deviation affects the width of the confidence interval because it factors directly into the margin of error. When standard deviation increases, it implies there is more variability and dispersion in the data, and consequently, a larger range is necessary to capture the true population parameter with the same level of confidence. Thus, as the problem indicates, an increase in standard deviation from 20 to 25 pounds results in a wider confidence interval, allowing for this increased uncertainty in the data.
Population Parameter
The term 'population parameter' refers to a value that describes an aspect of a population, such as its mean or standard deviation. In the context of confidence intervals, the aim is to estimate these population parameters based on data from a sample. Since we seldom have access to data from the entire population, confidence intervals provide a range within which we can expect the parameter to lie. It is essential to understand that this range accounts for sampling variability and is contingent on factors like the confidence level, sample size, and data variability. The accuracy of this estimation heavily depends on how representative the sample is of the population.
Standard Error
The standard error is a statistical term that quantifies the amount of variance in the estimation of a population parameter. It can be thought of as the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the statistic. The standard error decreases as the sample size increases because larger samples tend to be more indicative of the population, leading to a more consistent estimate of the mean. Thus, by increasing the sample size, as proposed in the exercise, the standard error would decrease, resulting in a confidence interval that's narrower, indicating a more accurate estimate of the population parameter.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The weights of four randomly chosen bags of horse carrots, each bag labeled 20 pounds, were \(20.5,19.8,20.8\), and \(20.0\) pounds. Assume that the distribution of weights is Normal. Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean weight of all bags of horse carrots. Use technology for your calculations. a. Decide whether each of the following three statements is a correctly worded interpretation of the confidence interval, and fill in the blanks for the correct option(s). i. \(95 \%\) of all sample means based on samples of the same size will be between _____ and _____. ii. I am \(95 \%\) confident that the population mean is between _____ and _____. iii. We are \(95 \%\) confident that the boundaries are _____ and _____. b. Can you reject a population mean of 20 pounds? Explain.

A random sample of 25 baseball play ers from the 2017 Major League Baseball season was taken and the sample data was used to construct two confidence intervals for the population mean. One interval was \((22.0,42.8)\). The other interval was \((19.9,44.0)\). (Source: mlb.com) a. One interval is a \(95 \%\) interval, and one is a \(90 \%\) interval. Which is which, and how do you know? b. If a larger sample size was used, for example, 40 instead of 25 , how would this affect the width of the intervals? Explain.

State whether each situation has independent or paired (dependent) samples. a. A researcher wants to know whether pulse rates of people go down after brief meditation. She collects the pulse rates of a random sample of people before meditation and then collects their pulse rates after meditation. b. A researcher wants to know whether professors with tenure have fewer posted office hours than professors without tenure do. She observes the number of office hours posted on the doors of tenured and untenured professors.

According to a 2017 report by ComScore .com, the mean time spent on smartphones daily by the American adults is \(2.85\) hours. Assume this is correct and assume the standard deviation is \(1.4\) hours. a. Suppose 150 American adults are randomly surveyed and asked how long they spend on their smartphones daily. The mean of the sample is recorded. Then we repeat this process, taking 1000 surveys of 150 American adults and recording the sample means. What will be the shape of the distribution of these sample means? b. Refer to part (a). What will be the mean and the standard deviation of the distribution of these sample means?

According to a 2018 Money magazine article, the average income in Kansas is $$\$ 53,906$$. Suppose the standard deviation is $$\$ 3000$$ and the distribution of income is rightskewed. Repeated random samples of 400 Kansas residents are taken, and the sample mean of incomes is calculated for each sample. a. The population distribution is right-skewed. Will the distribution of sample means be Normal? Why or why not? b. Find and interpret a \(z\) -score that corresponds with a sample mean of $$\$ 53,606 .$$ c. Would it be unusual to find a sample mean of $$\$ 54,500 ?$$ Why or why not?

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