/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 31 A random sample of 25 baseball p... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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A random sample of 25 baseball play ers from the 2017 Major League Baseball season was taken and the sample data was used to construct two confidence intervals for the population mean. One interval was \((22.0,42.8)\). The other interval was \((19.9,44.0)\). (Source: mlb.com) a. One interval is a \(95 \%\) interval, and one is a \(90 \%\) interval. Which is which, and how do you know? b. If a larger sample size was used, for example, 40 instead of 25 , how would this affect the width of the intervals? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The interval \((22.0,42.8)\) corresponds to a \(90\%\) confidence level and the interval \((19.9,44.0)\) corresponds to a \(95\%\) confidence level. If the sample size has increased, this would result in narrower intervals.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Interval for Each Confidence Level

Compare the two intervals. The interval \((22.0,42.8)\) is narrower than the interval \((19.9,44.0)\), because it covers less values. Since a higher confidence level results in a wider interval, the interval \((22.0,42.8)\) corresponds to a \(90\%\) confidence level, while the interval \((19.9,44.0)\) corresponds to a \(95\%\) confidence level.
02

Analyze the Effect of Larger Sample Size on the Invervals’ Width

The width of a confidence interval is affected by the sample size. As the sample size increases, the standard error decreases. Consequently, the margin of error decreases and the confidence interval becomes narrower. Thus, if the sample size increased from 25 players to 40 players, the width of the interval would have decreased.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Confidence Level
The confidence level of an interval represents the probability that the interval contains the true population parameter. In simpler terms, it's like saying how sure you are that a certain range has the value you're looking for. It is expressed as a percentage, such as 90% or 95%, and this reflects how confident we are that our interval includes the true mean. The higher the confidence level, the wider the confidence interval will be. This is because we want to be more certain we've captured the true mean, so we cast a wider 'net' to be safe.

In the example of the baseball players, the interval with a range of \(22.0,42.8\) is narrower compared to the interval \(19.9,44.0\). This implies that the first interval represents a 90% confidence level because a lower confidence level results in a narrower interval. Conversely, the wider interval represents the 95% confidence level.
Sample Size
Sample size is crucial in statistical analysis as it impacts the precision of your estimates. A larger sample size generally means more information and a better representation of the population, leading to more accurate and tighter (narrower) confidence intervals.

When applying this knowledge to the exercise about baseball players, if we increase the sample size from 25 to 40, we should expect the confidence intervals to become narrower. This is because the standard error - which is a measure of the variability of the sample mean - decreases as the sample size increases. A smaller standard error with a consistent confidence level leads to a smaller margin of error, thus creating a more precise confidence interval.
Margin of Error
Margin of error is the range above and below the sample statistic in a confidence interval. It's basically the 'wiggle room' you're allowing for in your estimates, influenced by the confidence level and standard error. A large margin of error suggests less precision, indicating that the true population parameter could be far from the sample statistic. Conversely, a smaller margin of error points to a more precise estimate.

Relating to the exercise provided, a wider interval has a larger margin of error. Accordingly, the interval \(19.9,44.0\) at the 95% confidence level suggests a larger margin of error than the interval \(22.0,42.8\) at the 90% confidence level, indicating less precision in the estimate but a higher level of confidence that the interval contains the true mean.
Standard Error
Standard error measures how far the sample mean of the data is likely to be from the true population mean. A smaller standard error means the sample mean is likely to be closer to the population mean. The standard error is influenced by the sample size and population standard deviation—larger sample sizes reduce the standard error, leading to tighter confidence intervals.

In the baseball example, the standard error plays a key role in the width of the confidence intervals. If we increase the sample size, the standard error will decrease. This reduces the margin of error and results in narrower confidence intervals, meaning we can be more precise about where the true population mean of baseball players' data lies.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Assume women's heights are approximately Normally distributed with a mean of 65 inches and a standard deviation of \(2.5\) inches. Which of the following questions can be answered using the Central Limit Theorem for sample means as needed? If the question can be answered, do so. If the question cannot be answered, explain why the Central Limit Theorem cannot be applied. a. Find the probability that a randomly selected woman is less than 63 inches tall. b. If five women are randomly selected, find the probability that the mean height of the sample is less than 63 inches. c. If 30 women are randomly selected, find the probability that the mean height of the sample is less than 63 inches.

The undergraduate grade point average (GPA) for students accepted at a random sample of 10 medical schools in the United States was taken. The mean GPA for these accepted students was \(3.75\) with a standard error of \(0.06\). The distribution of undergraduate GPAs is Normal. (Source: Accepted.com) a. Decide whether each of the following statements is worded correctly for the confidence interval. Fill in the blanks for the correctly worded one(s). Explain the error for the ones that are incorrectly worded. i. We are \(95 \%\) confident that the sample mean is between ____ \(-\) and ____. ii. We are \(95 \%\) confident that the population mean is between ____. iii. There is a \(95 \%\) probability that the population mean is between ____ and ____. b. Based on your confidence interval, would you believe that the population mean GPA is \(3.80\) ? Why or why not?

According to a 2017 report by ComScore .com, the mean time spent on smartphones daily by the American adults is \(2.85\) hours. Assume this is correct and assume the standard deviation is \(1.4\) hours. a. Suppose 150 American adults are randomly surveyed and asked how long they spend on their smartphones daily. The mean of the sample is recorded. Then we repeat this process, taking 1000 surveys of 150 American adults and recording the sample means. What will be the shape of the distribution of these sample means? b. Refer to part (a). What will be the mean and the standard deviation of the distribution of these sample means?

The distribution of the scores on a certain exam is \(N(80,5)\) which means that the exam scores are Normally distributed with a mean of 80 and a standard deviation of 5 . a. Sketch or use technology to create the curve and label on the \(x\) -axis the position of the mean, the mean plus or minus one standard deviation, the mean plus or minus two standard deviations, and the mean plus or minus three standard deviations. b. Find the probability that a randomly selected score will be greater than 90\. Shade the region under the Normal curve whose area corresponds to this probability.

State whether each situation has independent or paired (dependent) samples. a. A researcher wants to know whether pulse rates of people go down after brief meditation. She collects the pulse rates of a random sample of people before meditation and then collects their pulse rates after meditation. b. A researcher wants to know whether professors with tenure have fewer posted office hours than professors without tenure do. She observes the number of office hours posted on the doors of tenured and untenured professors.

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