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Quantitative S \(\Lambda\) T scores are approximately Normally distributed with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 100 . Choose the correct StatCrunch output for finding the probability that a randomly selected person scores less than 450 on the quantitative SAT and report the probability as a percentage rounded to one decimal place.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that a randomly selected person scores less than 450 on the quantitative SAT is \(P(Z < -0.5)\). This is then converted into percentage and rounded to one decimal place

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Z-score

The Z-score is calculated as: \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \), where X is the score, \(\mu\) is the average, and \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation. In this case, X=450, \(\mu\)=500, and \(\sigma\)=100.
02

Calculate the value of Z

Substituting these values into the Z-score formula gives: \( Z = \frac{450 - 500}{100} = -0.5 \)
03

Find the Probability

Use the standard normal distribution (Z) table or a tool like StatCrunch to find the probability that a randomly selected person scores less than 450 on the SAT. Since the Z-score for 450 is -0.5, look up -0.5 on the Z-table. This corresponds to the probability which is the desired value.
04

Convert the Probability to Percentage

To report the probability percentage, multiply the probability by 100 and round to a single decimal place.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Z-score calculation
Understanding the concept of a Z-score is vital when working with normal distributions. The Z-score is a statistical measure that tells us how many standard deviations an individual data point (X) is from the mean of the data set. It's a way to quantify the position of a data point within a distribution. This standardization makes it easier to compare scores from different distributions. The formula for calculating a Z-score is: \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \), where:
  • \(X\) is the value of the data point,
  • \(\mu\) represents the mean of the distribution,
  • \(\sigma\) stands for the standard deviation.
So, in practice, you take the score you are evaluating (like the SAT score of 450 in this case), subtract the mean score, and then divide by the standard deviation to get the Z-score. This tells you where the score lies relative to the average—whether it's below or above it.
In our example, a score of 450 resulted in a Z-score of -0.5, which indicates that 450 is half a standard deviation below the mean score of 500.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a specific type of normal distribution. It is a bell-shaped curve that is symmetrical around its mean, which is zero in the case of the standard normal distribution. This distribution has a standard deviation of one. Using the standard normal distribution, we can transform any normal distribution data using Z-scores.
Transforming to a standard normal distribution allows for the use of Z-tables, which provide probability values for different Z-scores.
  • These tables show the area under the standard normal curve to the left of any given Z-score.
  • They are an invaluable tool for finding probabilities and understanding the likelihood of different outcomes.
For example, with our Z-score of -0.5 from the SAT exercise, looking it up in a Z-table or using statistical software like StatCrunch, shows the probability (or area under the curve) that a randomly selected SAT score is less than 450. This process makes data analysis more intuitive and less dependent on complex computations.
Probability and Statistics
Probability and statistics are branches of mathematics that are fundamental to many fields, including data science, economics, and social sciences. Probability is the measure of the likelihood that an event will occur, while statistics involves the collection, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data.
  • In the context of normal distribution, probability helps us determine the likelihood of a certain score within a distribution.
  • Descriptive statistics give us a way to summarize data sets using measures like mean and standard deviation,
  • While inferential statistics allow us to make predictions or inferences about a population based on sample data.
In our example, we calculated the probability of scoring less than 450 by using the Z-score and finding its corresponding probability value from the standard normal distribution. This is a common practice in statistics, where the goal is to understand and interpret data meaningfully.

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