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Which of the following numbers could not be probabilities, and why? a. \(-0.85\) b. \(8.50\) c. \(8.5 \%\) d. \(0.85\) e. \(850 \%\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probabilities that are not valid are: \(-0.85\), \(8.50\) and \(850 \% \). They are not valid because they do not fall within the range of possible values for probabilities, which is 0 to 1, or 0% to 100%.

Step by step solution

01

Evaluate the first option

The first option is \(-0.85\). The range of possible values for probabilities is 0 to 1, so \(-0.85\) is not in this range. Therefore, \(-0.85\) cannot be a valid probability.
02

Evaluate the second option

The second option is \(8.50\). Similar to the first option, \(8.50\) is not in the range of possible values for probabilities (0 to 1). Therefore, \(8.50\) cannot be a valid probability.
03

Evaluate the third option

The third option is \(8.5\% \). When expressed as a decimal, \(8.5 \% = 0.085\). This value is in the range of possible values for probabilities (0 to 1). Therefore, \(8.5 \%\) could be a valid probability.
04

Evaluate the fourth option

The fourth option is \(0.85\). This value is in the range of possible values for probabilities (0 to 1). Therefore, \(0.85\) could be a valid probability.
05

Evaluate the fifth option

The fifth option is \(850 \%\). When expressed as a decimal, \(850 \% = 8.5\). This value is not in the range of possible values for probabilities (0 to 1). Therefore, \(850 \%\ cannot be a valid probability.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Range
Understanding the range of probability is crucial when dealing with statistical data and events. The range is the interval in which any given probability value must fall to be considered valid. The simplest way to define this range is from 0 to 1, inclusive. This means that the probability of an event can never be less than 0, which would indicate impossibility, and never more than 1, which would represent certainty.

A probability of 0 implies that the event cannot occur, while a probability of 1 means the event is certain to happen. For example, the probability of drawing a red card from a standard deck of cards is 0.5, as half the deck is red. This value falls within the valid probability range. However, a probability of -0.85 or 8.50, as in the exercise provided, would not make sense, as these numbers lie outside the 0 to 1 interval.
Valid Probability
When we refer to a 'valid probability', we talk about a numerical value that accurately represents the likelihood of an event occurring, following the rules of probability. A valid probability must always be between 0 and 1, as mentioned earlier. This ensures it adheres to the fundamental principles of probability theory.

For a probability to be valid, it also needs to account for all possible outcomes of the event. For example, when flipping a fair coin, the probability of it landing on heads or tails must add up to 1, as these are the only two possible outcomes. To make sense of percentages, we convert them to decimal form to see if they fit within this range. An 8.5% chance, which is equivalent to 0.085 as a decimal, is indeed a valid probability, fitting neatly into our 0 to 1 range.
Probability in Statistics
In statistics, probability is the tool we use to measure the chance of an event happening. It plays a central role in various statistical concepts, including hypothesis testing, predictions, and inferential statistics. The use of probability allows statisticians to express the uncertainty and variability inherent in data and to make educated guesses about populations based on samples.

To use probability in statistics correctly, it is important to understand and calculate it accurately. Invalid probabilities, such as negative values or those greater than 1, would lead to incorrect conclusions and predictions. This is why it's vital to grasp the concept of a valid probability range and ensure all calculations abide by it. In the exercise provided, identifying which numbers could or could not be probabilities is a foundational skill in statistical analysis.

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