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Odd-Even Formula A survey was taken of a random sample of people noting their gender and asking whether they agreed with the Odd-Even Formula (OEF) to control the alarming levels of air pollution. Minitab results are shown. \(=1\) 2 Chi-square Test for Association: Opinion, Gender ciat:1 Rows: Ooinion Columns: Gender $$ \begin{array}{rr}\text { Male Female } \\ \text { Disagree } & 42 & 44 \\\ 42.17 & 43.83 \\ \text { Agree } & 11.4 & 86 \\ & 110 & 14.17 & \\ & 109.83 & \\ \mathrm{All} & & \\ & 152 & 158 & 310 \\ \text { Cel1 Contents: } & \text { Count } \\ & \text { Expected count } \\ \text { Pearson Chi-Square }=0.002, \mathrm{DF}=1, \text { p-value }=0.966\end{array} $$ a. Find the percentage of men and women in the sample who agreed with the OEF method, and compare these percentages. b. Test the hypothesis that opinions about OEF and gender are independent using a significance level of \(0.05\). c. Does this suggest that men and women have significantly different views about the OEF method?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The percentages of men and women who agreed with the OEF method can be obtained by the relative frequency calculations for both genders. After applying Chi-square hypothesis testing with a significance level of 0.05, we find the p-value is larger than the significance level, implying that we cannot reject the null hypothesis; hence, the opinions about OEF and gender can be considered as independent. Because of this, it is concluded that there are no significant differences between men's and women's views on the OEF method.

Step by step solution

01

Calculating required Percentages

Firstly, to find the percentage of men who agreed with the OEFmethod, the number of men who agreed, which is 86 as per the table, will be divided by the total number of men, which is 152. After that, this result is multiplied by 100 to convert the decimal to a percentage. Similarly, the percentage of women who agreed with the OEF method can be calculated by dividing the number of women who agreed, which is 110, by the total number of women, which is 158, then, multiplying the result by 100 to get the percentage.
02

Hypothesis Testing by Chi-Square Test

Here the null hypothesis is that opinions about OEF and gender are independent. With a significance level (alpha) of 0.05 that has been given, the p-value obtained from the Chi-square Test, 0.966, is greater than alpha, which means, we do not have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis that the two variables are independent.
03

Assessment of the Result

Given that the p-value is larger than the significance level of 0.05, it can be said that there's no significant difference between the views of men and women about the OEF method. So, we cannot reject the null hypothesis that opinions about OEF and gender are independent.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a cornerstone of statistical analysis, often used to determine if there is a significant association between two variables. It starts by proposing two hypotheses: the null hypothesis (\(H_0\)) and the alternative hypothesis (\(H_a\) or \(H_1\)). The null hypothesis posits that there is no effect or association, while the alternative posits the opposite.

In the context of the Chi-square test for association in the Odd-Even Formula (OEF) survey, we're examining whether gender and opinion on the OEF are associated. Here, the null hypothesis is that opinions about OEF and gender are independent, meaning gender does not affect one's opinion on the OEF. To test this hypothesis, we compare the observed frequencies from the survey to the expected frequencies under the assumption of independence.

A crucial step is calculating the p-value, which tells us the probability of observing the data we have if the null hypothesis were true. If this p-value is less than the significance level we've chosen (commonly 0.05), we reject the null hypothesis, suggesting an association. However, in our survey example, since the p-value is 0.966, it exceeds the 0.05 significance threshold. Therefore, we do not have enough statistical evidence to reject the null hypothesis and must conclude that there is no statistically significant association between gender and opinions about the OEF method.
Statistics in Gender Studies
Statistics play a vital role in gender studies by providing quantifiable evidence to tackle questions about differences, inequalities, or associations between genders within various sociological or psychological domains. By using statistical tools, such as the Chi-square test for association, researchers can analyze categorical data to explore whether there are differences between gender categories concerning opinions, behaviors, or access to resources.

In our OEF survey example, statistics help us understand if men and women differ significantly in their opinions about the pollution control measure. Although the initial comparison of percentages seems to suggest a difference, with more women agreeing than men, this does not automatically imply a statistically significant association. It is through the application of a Chi-square test that we can rigorously examine these observed differences. The presence of a high p-value in this case suggests that these differences are not statistically significant within the sample surveyed, cautioning against assumptions of gender-based opinion differences on the OEF without further evidence.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted as alpha (\( \text{α} \)), is a threshold set by researchers to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. It represents the probability of making a Type I error – rejecting the null hypothesis when it is in fact true. A common significance level used in hypothesis testing is 0.05, which implies a 5% risk of concluding that there is an association when there is none.

Deciding on the significance level is a balance between being too lenient and potentially finding false associations ('false positives') and being too strict, missing real associations in the data ('false negatives'). In the case of the OEF survey, the use of a 0.05 significance level means that if there were a real association between gender and opinion on OEF, there would be a 5% chance of not detecting it. Given that the calculated p-value (0.966) is much higher than 0.05, we stay with the conclusion that the results are not statistically significant, and no association is detected. This helps maintain the integrity of the study and ensures that conclusions drawn are reliable within the given level of risk.

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