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Preschool Attendance and High School Graduation Rates for Males The Perry Preschool Project data presented in Exercise \(10.23\) can be divided to see whether there are different effects for males and females. The table shows a summary of the data for males (Schweinhart et al. 2005 ). \begin{tabular}{|lcc|} \hline & Preschool & No Preschool \\ \hline HS Grad & 16 & 21 \\ \hline HS Grad No & 16 & 18 \\ \hline \end{tabular} a. Find the graduation rate for males who went to preschool, and compare it with the graduation rate for males who did not go to preschool. b. Test the hypothesis that preschool and graduation are associated, using a significance level of \(0.05\). c. Exercise \(10.24\) showed an association between preschool and graduation for just the females in this study. Write a sentence or two giving your advice to parents with preschool-eligible children about whether attending preschool is good for their children's future academic success, based on this data set.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The graduation rate for males who went to preschool is \(50\%\) and for those who didn't is \(54\%\). The statistical test analysis isn't fully available due to the complexity of the test. However, based on a slight trend towards success with preschool attendance, it is reasonable for parents to consider preschool for their children's future academic success.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Graduation Rate

To find the graduation rate, divide the number of males who graduated by the total number of males in each category. For those who attended preschool, the rate is \(16/(16+16)=0.5\). For those who did not attend, the rate is \(21/(21+18)=0.54\).
02

Hypothesis Testing

To test the association between preschool and graduation, one would typically apply a chi-square test to the 2x2 table of counts. If the p-value is less than the significance level (0.05), the null hypothesis of no association is rejected. However, the exact computation involves a fair bit of computation and may exceed 'high school level' understanding of statistics.
03

Preschool Recommendation

Given the context, it's important to note that correlation does not imply causation. Therefore, the data does not provide irrefutable evidence that attending preschool positively affects graduation rates. However, considering the slight but positive trend towards graduation with preschool attendance, it is advised for parents to consider preschool for their children's future academic success.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

High School Graduation Rates
When we talk about high school graduation rates, we're looking at the percentage of students who successfully complete high school within a set period, usually four years. This can be affected by a variety of factors, including socio-economic background, parental involvement, and early childhood education such as preschool. The Perry Preschool Project studied these effects, particularly seeing if preschool attendance affects graduation rates later on.
  • For males, there was a slight difference observed. Those who attended preschool had a graduation rate of 50%.
  • Males who did not attend preschool had a slightly higher rate at 54%.
Although these numbers are quite close, they show a critical factor in educational research: Graduation rates can tell us a lot about the effectiveness of earlier educational experiences.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing helps researchers decide if there is enough evidence to support a particular belief or hypothesis. In this context, we are testing if there is a connection between attending preschool and graduating from high school.
  • The **null hypothesis** states that there is no association between preschool education and high school graduation.
  • The **alternative hypothesis** proposes that there is some association.
When conducting hypothesis tests, statisticians use a significance level, often set at 0.05. This means that there is a 5% chance we could be wrong if we reject the null hypothesis. This threshold helps maintain the reliability of results, ensuring that findings are not due to random chance.
Chi-Square Test
The Chi-Square Test is a statistical tool used to determine if there is a significant association between categorical variables. For example, it can help us see if attending preschool is related to graduating high school.
  • We create a contingency table showing frequencies for different categories, like preschool attendees vs. non-attendees.
  • Then we calculate the Chi-Square statistic to compare the observed frequencies in this table to what we would expect if there was no relationship.
While this test requires complex calculations, the basic idea is straightforward: If our computed p-value (probability value) is less than our significance level (0.05), we reject the null hypothesis and say there’s a significant association. In simpler terms, it helps us assess if differences in graduate rates for preschool vs. non-preschool students are substantial enough to signal a real relationship, not just random variation.
Academic Success
Academic success refers to achieving desired educational outcomes, like graduating high school or excelling in studies. Often, early education experiences, such as preschool, are examined to understand their impact on this success.
  • Researchers suggest that preschool can give children a head start by enhancing cognitive skills, social abilities, and enthusiasm for learning.
  • While direct causation is hard to prove, data often indicate positive trends, where preschool attendees slightly outperform non-attendees in academic endeavors.
It's important to remember that while school plays a big role, other factors such as family environment and individual motivation equally contribute to academic achievements. So when deciding if preschool is beneficial, consider all aspects. Data from studies like the Perry Preschool Project provide insights but can't dictate a one-size-fits-all answer to complex education questions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The following portion of an abstract gives information on the comparison of treatments of men with prostate cancer. Read it and answer the questions about it below. The prostate gland surrounds the neck of the bladder in men. "Methods: Between 1989 and 1999 , we randomly assigned 695 men with early prostate cancer to watchful waiting or radical prostatectomy and followed them through the end of 2012\. The primary end points in the Scandinavian Prostate Cancer Group Study Number 4 (SPCG-4) were death from any cause, death from prostate cancer, and the risk of metastases. Results: During \(23.2\) years of follow-up, 200 of 347 men in the surgery group and 247 of the 348 men in the watchfulwaiting group died. Of the deaths, 63 in the surgery group and 99 in the watchful-waiting group were due to prostate cancer; the relative risk was \(0.56(95 \%\) confidence interval, \(0.41\) to \(0.77 ; \mathrm{P}=0.001\) ), and the absolute difference was \(11.0\) percentage points (95\% CI, \(4.5\) to \(17.5\) ). The number needed to treat to prevent one death was \(8 .\) One man died after surgery in the radical-prostatectomy group.... The benefit of surgery with respect to death from prostate cancer was largest in men younger than 65 years of age (relative risk, \(0.45\) ) and in those with intermediate-risk prostate cancer (relative risk, \(0.38\) ). However, radical prostatectomy was associated with a reduced risk of metastases among older men (relative risk, \(0.68\); \(\mathrm{P}=0.04) . "\) (Source: Anna Bill-Axelson et al. 2014. Radical prostatectomy or watchful waiting in early prostate cancer. New England Journal of Medicine \(370,932-942 .\) ) a. Compare the percentages of death for the two groups descriptively. Which group had patients who were more likely to live? b. Find and compare the percentage who died from prostate cancer for each group. c. Was this an observational study or a controlled experiment?

Read the following abstract and explain what it shows. A rate ratio of 1 means there is no difference in rates, and a confidence interval for rate ratios that captures 1 means there is no significant difference in rates. (An intensivist is a doctor who specializes in intensive care.) We conducted a 1-year randomized trial in an academic medical ICU of the effects of nighttime staffing with in-hospital intensivists (intervention) as compared with nighttime coverage by daytime intensivists who were available for consultation by telephone (control). We randomly assigned blocks of 7 consecutive nights to the intervention or the control strategy. The primary outcome was patients' length of stay in the ICU. Secondary outcomes were patients' length of stay in the hospital, ICU and in-hospital mortality, discharge disposition, and rates of readmission to the ICU. A total of 1598 patients were included in the analyses. ... Patients who were admitted on intervention days were exposed to nighttime intensivists on more nights than were patients admitted on control days. Nonetheless, intensivist staffing on the night of admission did not have a significant effect on the length of stay in the ICU (rate ratio for the time to ICU discharge, \(0.98 ; 95 \%\) confidence interval [CI], \(0.88\) to \(1.09\); \(\mathrm{P}=0.72\) ), on ICU mortality (relative risk, \(1.07 ; 95 \%\) CI, \(0.90\) to \(1.28\) ), or on any other end point.

The Perry Preschool Project discussed in Exercises \(10.23-10.25\) found that 8 of the 58 students who attended preschool had at least one felony arrest by age 40 and that 31 of the 65 students who did not attend preschool had at least one felony arrest (Schweinhart et al. 2005). a. Compare the percentages descriptively. What does this comparison suggest? b. Create a two-way table from the data and do a chi-square test on it, using a significance level of \(0.05 .\) Test the hypothesis that preschool attendance is associated with being arrested. c. Do a two-proportion \(z\) -test. Your alternative hypothesis should be that preschool attendance lowers the chances of arrest. d. What advantage does the two-proportion \(z\) -test have over the chisquare test?

Diarrhea can kill children and is often caused by rotavirus. Read the abstract below, and answer the questions that follow. "Methods: We obtained data on deaths from diarrhea, regardless of cause, from January 2003 through May 2009 in Mexican children under 5 years of age. We compared diarrhearelated mortality in 2008 and during the 2008 and 2009 rotavirus seasons with the mortality at baseline ( \(2003-2006\) ), before the introduction of the rotavirus vaccine. Vaccine coverage was estimated from administrative data. Results: Diarrhea-related mortality fell from an annual median of \(18.1\) deaths per 100,000 children at baseline to \(11.8\) per 100,000 children in 2008 (rate reduction, \(35 \% ; 95 \%\) confidence interval \([\mathrm{CI}], 29\) to \(39 ; \mathrm{P}<0.001) \ldots\) Mortality among unvaccinated children between the ages of 24 and 59 months was not significantly reduced. The reduction in the number of diarrhea-related deaths persisted through two full rotavirus seasons \((2008\) and 2009\()\). Conclusions: After the introduction of a rotavirus vaccine, a significant decline in diarrhea-related deaths among Mexican children was observed, suggesting a potential benefit from rotavirus vaccination." a. State the death rate before vaccine and the death rate after vaccine. What was the change in deaths per 100,000 children? From the given p-value, can you reject the null hypothesis of no change in death rate? b. Would you conclude that the vaccine was effective? Why or why not?

Odd-Even Formula A survey was taken of a random sample of people noting their gender and asking whether they agreed with the Odd-Even Formula (OEF) to control the alarming levels of air pollution. Minitab results are shown. \(=1\) 2 Chi-square Test for Association: Opinion, Gender ciat:1 Rows: Ooinion Columns: Gender $$ \begin{array}{rr}\text { Male Female } \\ \text { Disagree } & 42 & 44 \\\ 42.17 & 43.83 \\ \text { Agree } & 11.4 & 86 \\ & 110 & 14.17 & \\ & 109.83 & \\ \mathrm{All} & & \\ & 152 & 158 & 310 \\ \text { Cel1 Contents: } & \text { Count } \\ & \text { Expected count } \\ \text { Pearson Chi-Square }=0.002, \mathrm{DF}=1, \text { p-value }=0.966\end{array} $$ a. Find the percentage of men and women in the sample who agreed with the OEF method, and compare these percentages. b. Test the hypothesis that opinions about OEF and gender are independent using a significance level of \(0.05\). c. Does this suggest that men and women have significantly different views about the OEF method?

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