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Axline Computers manufactures personal computers at two plants, one in Texas and the other in Hawaii. The Texas plant has 40 employees; the Hawaii plant has \(20 .\) A random sample of 10 employees is to be asked to fill out a benefits questionnaire. a. What is the probability that none of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Hawaii? b. What is the probability that one of the employees in the sample works at the plant in Hawaii? c. What is the probability that two or more of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Hawaii? d. What is the probability that nine of the employees in the sample work at the plant in Texas?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) \(0.0346\), b) \(0.2600\), c) \(0.7054\), d) \(0.2600\).

Step by step solution

01

Identify total employees and sample size

The total number of employees in Texas is 40, and in Hawaii is 20. This gives a total of 60 employees. We are selecting a sample of 10 employees from this group.
02

Calculate the probability for part (a)

For no employees from Hawaii: Select all 10 employees from Texas. Number of ways to select 10 from 40 (Texas): \(\binom{40}{10}\). Total ways to select 10 from 60 employees: \(\binom{60}{10}\). Probability is given by: \(\frac{\binom{40}{10}}{\binom{60}{10}}\).
03

Calculate the probability for part (b)

For one employee from Hawaii: Select 1 from Hawaii and 9 from Texas. Number of ways: \(\binom{20}{1} \times \binom{40}{9}\). Probability is given by: \(\frac{\binom{20}{1} \times \binom{40}{9}}{\binom{60}{10}}\).
04

Calculate the probability for part (c)

For two or more employees from Hawaii: Use complement principle. Probability that fewer than 2 employees are from Hawaii (0 or 1 from Hawaii): \(P(0) + P(1)\). Probability of 2 or more is \(1 - (P(0) + P(1))\).
05

Calculate the probability for part (d)

For nine employees from Texas: Select 1 from Hawaii and 9 from Texas. Number of ways: \(\binom{40}{9} \times \binom{20}{1}\). Probability is given by: \(\frac{\binom{40}{9} \times \binom{20}{1}}{\binom{60}{10}}\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics
Combinatorics is a fascinating area of mathematics that deals with counting, arranging, and selecting objects. It is crucial when you need to answer questions about the number of ways things can be combined or organized. In the context of our problem, combinatorics helps us determine how many different groups of employees can be formed. We use combinations when the order of selection does not matter, which is exactly what we need here.

For example, to find ways to select 10 employees out of 60, we use the combination formula, represented as \( \binom{60}{10} \). This is pronounced '60 choose 10' and calculated as:
  • First, determine the factorial of the total number of items (60!), which means multiplying all whole numbers from 60 down to 1.
  • Next, determine the factorial of the number of chosen items (10!).
  • Finally, compute the factorial of the difference of the two numbers \((60-10)! = 50!\).
The formula \( \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \) gives us the number of combinations, where \( n \) is the total number of items, and \( k \) is the number of items to choose. This technique is used repeatedly throughout our probability calculation examples.
Sampling
Sampling is the process of selecting a subset of individuals from a larger population to make conclusions about the whole. In the exercise problem, sampling is accomplished by randomly selecting 10 employees from a total of 60 employees in two different plants.

When sampling, it’s essential to understand the characteristics of the population to ensure the sample accurately represents it. This helps us compute probabilities reliably, as shown by determining how likely certain selections are. Sampling can be random, systematic, or stratified, but in our case, it's simple random sampling, meaning each employee has an equal chance of being picked.

Given two groups within the population (Texas and Hawaii plants), sampling questions often involve calculating probabilities regarding how many selections belong to each group. Here we've calculated the probability of selecting varying numbers of employees from each plant. The use of combinatorics makes determining these probabilities feasible and systematic.
Binomial coefficient
The binomial coefficient is a numerical factor that arises in binomial expansions and is widely used in combinatorics. It represents the number of ways to choose k elements from a set of n elements without regard to the order of selection. This coefficient is denoted by \( \binom{n}{k} \).

In this exercise, the binomial coefficient is used to calculate the number of possible ways to select employees from each plant. For instance, to find how many ways you can select all 10 employees from the 40 in Texas, you calculate \( \binom{40}{10} \). Similarly, for one from Hawaii and nine from Texas, you'd compute \( \binom{20}{1} \times \binom{40}{9} \).

The binomial coefficient helps simplify complex problems, breaking them down into manageable calculations. When paired with the probability formula, it aids in figuring out the likelihood of different sampling scenarios, like what proportion of your sample comes from a specific site.

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