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In Exercises 6鈥10, use the following results from tests of an experiment to test the effectiveness of an experimental vaccine for children (based on data from USA Today). Express all probabilities in decimal form.


Developed Flu

Did not develop Flu

Vaccine Treatment

14

1056

Placebo

95

437

if 1 of the 1602 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability of getting 1 who had the vaccine treatment and developed flu.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that the subject received the vaccine treatment and developed flu is 0.00874.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Four categories are allotted for each subject.

The categories are listed as:

  • Developed flu
  • Did not develop flu
  • Vaccine treatment
  • Placebo
02

Step 2:Describe the probability of any event

The probability for an event is the measure that defines the likelihood of the event.

The probability for any event is determined using the following formula:

PE=NumberoffavorableoutcomesTotalnumberofoutcomes

03

Tabulate the row and column totals

Compute the sum row-wise and column-wise.


Developed Flu

Did not develop Flu

Totals

Vaccine Treatment

14

1056

1070

Placebo

95

437

532

Total

109

1493

1602

04

Express the required event mathematically

Define A as the event that the randomly selected person is vaccine treated and also develops flu.

Event A is the combination of two simple events:

  • X: Subject had vaccine treatment
  • Y: Subject developed flu

Thus, PA=PXandY.

05

Compute the probability of the event

The count of the subjects in the study that had received vaccine treatment and developed flu is 14.

The total number of subjects recorded is 1602.

Using the values, the probability for event A is computed as follows:

PA=PXandY=141602=0.00874

Thus, the probability that the subject in the study had received vaccine treatment and developed flu is 0.00874.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Probability of At Least One Let A = the event of getting at least 1 defective iPhone when 3 iPhones are randomly selected with replacement from a batch. If 5% of the iPhones in a batch are defective and the other 95% are all good, which of the following are correct?

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