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Q5

Page 166

At Least One. In Exercises 5鈥12, find the probability.

Three Girls Find the probability that when a couple has three children, at least one of them is a girl. (Assume that boys and girls are equally likely.)

Q5

Page 179

In Exercises 1鈥10, use the data in the accompanying table and express all results in decimal form. (The data are from 鈥淢ortality Reduction with Air Bag and Seat Belt Use in Head-On Passenger Car Collisions,鈥 by Crandall, Olson, and Sklar, American Journal of Epidemiology, Vol. 153, No. 3.) Drivers Involved in Head-On Collision of Passenger Cars.

Drivers Involved in Head-On Collision of Passenger Cars


Driver Killed

Driver Not killed

Seatbelt Used

3655

7005

Seatbelt not Used

4402

3040

No Seatbelt or Driver Not Killed If one of the drivers is randomly selected, find the probability of getting someone who did not use a seatbelt or was not killed

Q5

Page 178

Subjective Probability Estimate the probability that the next time you ride in a car, the car gets a flat tire.

Q5

Page 174

In Exercises 5鈥36, express allprobabilitiesas fractions.

ATM Pin Numbers A thief steals an ATM card and must randomly guess the correct pin code that consists of four digits (each 0 through 9) that must be entered in the correct order. Repetition of digits is allowed. What is the probability of a correct guess on the first try?

Q6

Page 174

In Exercises 5鈥36, express all probabilities as fractions.

Social Security Numbers A Social Security number consists of nine digits in a particular order, and repetition of digits is allowed. After seeing the last four digits printed on a receipt, if you randomly select the other digits, what is the probability of getting the correct Social Security number of the person who was given the receipt?

Q6

Page 143

Penicillin 鈥淲ho discovered penicillin: Sean Penn, William Penn, Penn Jillette, Alexander Fleming, or Louis Pasteur?鈥 If you make a random guess for the answer to that question, what is the probability that your answer is the correct answer of Alexander Fleming?

Q6

Page 182

Critical Thinking: Interpreting results from a test for smoking

It is estimated that roughly half of smokers lie when asked about their smoking involvement. Pulse Co-Oximeters may be a way to get information about smoking without relying on patients鈥 statements. Pulse CO-oximeters use light that shines through a fingernail, and it measures carbon monoxide in blood. These devices are used by firemen and emergency departments to detect carbon monoxide poisoning, but they can also be used to identify smokers. The accompanying table lists results from people aged 18鈥44 when the pulse CO-oximeters is set to detect a 6% or higher level of carboxyhemoglobin (based on data from 鈥淐arbon Monoxide Test Can Be Used to Identify Smoker,鈥 by Patrice Wendling, Internal Medicine News, Vol. 40., No. 1, and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention).

CO-Oximetry Test for Smoking

Positive

Test Results

Negative Test Results

Smoker

49

57

Non-smoker

24

370

SpecificityFind the specificity of the test by finding the probability of a true negative, given that the subject does not smoke.

Q6

Page 178

In Exercises 6鈥10, use the following results from tests of an experiment to test the effectiveness of an experimental vaccine for children (based on data from USA Today). Express all probabilities in decimal form.


Developed Flu

Did not develop Flu

Vaccine Treatment

14

1056

Placebo

95

437

If 1 of the 1602 subjects is randomly selected, find the probability of getting 1 that developed flu.

Q6

Page 181

New Lottery Game In the Monopoly Millionaires鈥 Club lottery game, you pay $5 and select five different numbers between 1 and 52, and then a sixth number between 1 and 28 is randomly assigned to you. Winning requires that your five numbers match those drawn (in any order), and then your sixth assigned number must also match.

a. What is the probability of selecting the correct five numbers between 1 and 52?

b. What is the probability of getting the correct sixth number that is assigned to you?

c. What is the probability of selecting the correct five numbers and getting the correct sixth number?

Q6

Page 156

Finding Complements. In Exercises 5鈥8, find the indicated complements.

Flights According to the Bureau of Transportation, 80.3% of American Airlines flights arrive on time. What is the probability of randomly selecting an American Airlines flight that does not arrive on time?

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