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Express all probabilities as fractions. As of this writing, the Powerball lottery is run in 44 states. Winning the jackpot requires that you select the correct five different numbers between 1 and 69 and, in a separate drawing, you must also select the correct single number between 1 and \(26 .\) Find the probability of winning the jackpot.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability of winning the jackpot is \[ \frac{1}{292,201,338} \]

Step by step solution

01

Determine the number of possible combinations for the five numbers

To win, you need to pick 5 different numbers from a set of 69. This is a combination problem where order does not matter. The number of combinations can be found using the binomial coefficient: \[ \binom{69}{5} = \frac{69!}{5!(69-5)!} \]
02

Calculate the number of combinations for the five numbers

Calculate \[ \binom{69}{5} = \frac{69!}{5!(64)!} = 11,238,513 \]
03

Determine the number of possible outcomes for the Powerball number

The Powerball number is a separate drawing where you need to pick 1 number out of 26 possible numbers: \[ 26 \]
04

Calculate the total number of possible outcomes to win the jackpot

Multiply the number of combinations of the 5 numbers by the number of possible Powerball numbers to get the total number of ticket combinations: \[ 11,238,513 \times 26 = 292,201,338 \]
05

Calculate the probability of winning the jackpot

The probability is the number of successful outcomes (1 winning combination) divided by the total number of possible outcomes: \[ P(\text{winning}) = \frac{1}{292,201,338} \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

combinations
Combinations are a way to select items from a collection, where the order of selection does not matter.
This is different from permutations, where order does matter.
In lottery problems, combinations are often used because the order in which you pick the numbers is irrelevant.

When dealing with combinations, we use the formula:
\[ \binom{n}{k} = \frac{n!}{k!(n-k)!} \] where:
  • is the total number of items
  • k is the number of items to be chosen
In the example of the Powerball lottery, we are choosing 5 numbers out of 69, so we use \[ \binom{69}{5} \] which simplifies to: \[ \frac{69!}{5!(64)!} \].

Remember, factorial (denoted by !) means multiplying a number by all the positive integers below it. For example, 4! = 4 * 3 * 2 * 1 = 24.
binomial coefficient
The binomial coefficient is another term for combinations and is represented by \[ \binom{n}{k} \].
This coefficient appears frequently in probability calculations, especially in lottery problems.
It's a way to count the possible combinations of a given size from a larger set.

For example, in the Powerball lottery, to find out how many ways you can select 5 numbers out of 69, you use the binomial coefficient \[ \binom{69}{5} \].
This helps us determine the total number of different possible tickets that can be created (without considering the separate Powerball number yet).

By calculating \[ \binom{69}{5} = 11,238,513 \], we find there are over 11 million ways to choose 5 numbers out of 69. This large number highlights the difficulty of winning the lottery.
lottery probability
Lottery probability refers to the likelihood of winning a lottery, which involves multiple steps to calculate.
For the Powerball lottery, we first calculate the number of combinations of 5 numbers from a set of 69, which gives us \[ \binom{69}{5} = 11,238,513 \]. Next, we need to consider the separate Powerball number, which can be any number from 1 to 26.

To find the total number of possible lottery tickets, we multiply the number of combinations of the 5 numbers by the number of possible Powerball numbers: \[ 11,238,513 \times 26 = 292,201,338 \].
This means there are over 292 million possible ticket combinations you could buy.

Finally, to determine the probability of buying the winning ticket, we take the number of successful outcomes (1, since there's only one winning combination) and divide it by the total number of possible outcomes: \[ P(\text{winning}) = \frac{1}{292,201,338} \].
Thus, the probability of winning the Powerball jackpot is very low, which explains why winning is such a rare event.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 29 and \(30,\) find the probabilities and indicate when the "5\% guideline for cumbersome calculations" is used. Medical Helicopters In a study of helicopter usage and patient survival, results were obtained from 47,637 patients transported by helicopter and 111,874 patients transported by ground (based on data from "Association Between Helicopter vs Ground Emergency Medical Services and Survival for Adults with Major Trauma," by Galvagno et al., Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. 307, No. 15). a. If 1 of the 159,511 patients in the study is randomly selected, what is the probability that the subject was transported by helicopter? b. If 5 of the subjects in the study are randomly selected without replacement, what is the probability that all of them were transported by helicopter?

Describe the simulation procedure. (For example, to simulate 10 births, use a random number generator to generate 10 integers between 0 and 1 inclusive, and consider 0 to be a male and 1 to be a female.) Brand Recognition The probability of randomly selecting an adult who recognizes the brand name of McDonald's is 0.95 (based on data from Franchise Advantage). Describe a procedure for using software or a TI- \(83 / 84\) Plus calculator to simulate the random selection of 50 adult consumers. Each individual outcome should be an indication of one of two results: (1) The consumer recognizes the brand name of McDonald's; (2) the consumer does not recognize the brand name of McDonald's.

Find the probability and answer the questions.Eye Color Each of two parents has the genotype brown/blue, which consists of the pair of alleles that determine eye color, and each parent contributes one of those alleles to a child. Assume that if the child has at least one brown allele, that color will dominate and the eyes will be brown. (The actual determination of eye color is more complicated than that.) a. List the different possible outcomes. Assume that these outcomes are equally likely. b. What is the probability that a child of these parents will have the blue/blue genotype? c. What is the probability that the child will have brown eyes?

Express all probabilities as fractions. In a horse race, a quinela bet is won if you selected the two horses that finish first and second, and they can be selected in any order. The 140 th running of the Kentucky Derby had a field of 19 horses. What is the probability of winning a quinela bet if random horse selections are made?

Use the given probability value to determine whether the sample results could easily occur by chance, then form a conclusion.A study addressed the issue of whether pregnant women can correctly predict the gender of their baby. Among 104 pregnant women, 57 correctly predicted the gender of their baby (based on data from "Are Women Carrying 'Basketballs'. by Perry, DiPietro, Constigan, Birth, Vol. 26, No. 3). If pregnant women have no such ability, there is a 0.327 probability of getting such sample results by chance. What do you conclude?

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