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State the null hypothesis, \(H_{o},\) and the alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a},\) that would be used to test each of the following claims: a. A chicken farmer at Best Broilers claims that his chickens have a mean weight of 56 oz. b. The mean age of U.S. commercial jets is less than 18 years. c. The mean monthly unpaid balance on credit card accounts is more than \(400\)dollar.

Short Answer

Expert verified
A: \(H_{0} : \mu = 56\), \(H_{a} : \mu \neq 56\). B: \(H_{0} : \mu \geq 18\), \(H_{a} : \mu < 18\). C: \(H_{0} : \mu \leq 400\), \(H_{a} : \mu > 400\)

Step by step solution

01

Setting up Hypothesis for statement a.

For the statement 'A chicken farmer at Best Broilers claims that his chickens have a mean weight of 56 oz.', the null hypothesis, \(H_{0}\), is the chicken farmer's claim that the mean chicken weight is equal to 56 oz, i.e. \(H_{0} : \mu = 56\). The alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a}\), denies the chicken farmer's claim and says that the mean weight is not 56 oz, i.e. \(H_{a} : \mu \neq 56\)
02

Setting up Hypothesis for statement b.

For the statement 'The mean age of U.S. commercial jets is less than 18 years.', the null hypothesis, \(H_{0}\), is the opposite of the claim, which says that the mean age of US commercial jets is more than or equal to 18 years, i.e. \(H_{0} : \mu \geq 18\). The alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a}\), corresponds directly to the claim and postulates that the mean age of US commercial jets is in fact, less than 18 years, i.e. \(H_{a} : \mu < 18\)
03

Setting up Hypothesis for statement c.

For the statement 'The mean monthly unpaid balance on credit card accounts is more than 400 dollars.', the null hypothesis, \(H_{0}\), would represent the opposite of the claim, stating that the mean monthly unpaid balance on credit card accounts is less than or equal to 400 dollars, i.e. \(H_{0} : \mu \leq 400\). The alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a}\), matches the claim that the mean monthly unpaid balance is more than 400 dollars, i.e. \(H_{a} : \mu > 400\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis, denoted as \(H_0\), is a statement that assumes there is no effect or no difference. It serves as the starting point for testing and is usually a claim made by researchers or assumed to be true until there is evidence to suggest otherwise. Think of it as the status quo or the default position.
For instance:
  • If a chicken farmer claims that the mean weight of his chickens is 56 oz, the null hypothesis \(H_0\) would assert that the mean weight indeed is 56 oz, \(H_0: \mu = 56\).
  • In assessing the mean age of U.S. commercial jets, if it is claimed that the mean age is less than 18 years, the null hypothesis would instead postulate that it is 18 years or more, \(H_0: \mu \geq 18\).
  • Similarly, if the mean monthly unpaid balance on credit card accounts is thought to be more than \(400, the null hypothesis assumes it is \)400 or less, \(H_0: \mu \leq 400\).
Understanding the null hypothesis is crucial because it sets the framework for testing the validity of the claim being made.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \(H_a\), is the counterpart to the null hypothesis. It represents what we are trying to provide evidence for in a hypothesis test. While the null hypothesis assumes no change or effect, the alternative hypothesis is what you would believe if the evidence suggests otherwise.
For example:
  • In the case of the chicken farmer, where the claim is that the chickens’ mean weight is indeed 56 oz, the alternative hypothesis would argue that the mean weight is different from 56 oz, \(H_a: \mu eq 56\).
  • When considering the mean age of U.S. commercial jets being less than 18 years, the alternative hypothesis aligns with this claim, \(H_a: \mu < 18\), effectively challenging the opposite assumption of the null hypothesis.
  • Meanwhile, if it is believed that credit card accounts have a mean monthly unpaid balance of over $400, the alternative hypothesis supports this statement, \(H_a: \mu > 400\).
The alternative hypothesis is what researchers usually hope to prove through evidence gathered from testing.
Mean Weight
When analyzing claims about the mean weight of objects or beings, such as chickens, we're referring to the average weight calculated from a group. The mean weight is significant in statistical tests to determine whether a purported average aligns with reality.
For example, the chicken farmer claims that his chickens have a mean weight of 56 oz. This sort of claim can be tested statistically by setting it as the null hypothesis \(H_0: \mu = 56\), with a corresponding alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \mu eq 56\). By collecting a sample of chickens and calculating their mean weight, statistical tests can be applied to ascertain if there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.
The process effectively helps in scrutinizing and validating claims about averages in real-world scenarios.
Mean Age
Mean age represents the average age in a dataset or population. It's an important metric in many industries, for instance, the aviation industry, where the mean age of commercial jets is a point of interest.
For the claim that the mean age of U.S. commercial jets is less than 18 years, this is statistically represented with an alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \mu < 18\) versus a null hypothesis \(H_0: \mu \geq 18\). This structured approach helps ascertain the validity of the claim.
Mean age calculations are often pivotal in sectors that monitor the lifecycle of assets, aiming to ensure performance and safety standards.
Unpaid Balance
The term 'mean monthly unpaid balance' refers to the average unpaid credit card balance over a period, typically a month. Handling claims about unpaid balances requires a statistical approach to verify whether the mean aligns with expectations or proposed thresholds.
Consider the scenario where someone claims that the mean monthly unpaid balance is more than $400. This becomes the focus of the hypothesis test. The null hypothesis takes the stance \(H_0: \mu \leq 400\) contrary to the initial claim, while the alternative hypothesis \(H_a: \mu > 400\) supports it. Examination of a sample of credit card accounts yields insights into the validity of these claims.
Understanding and testing hypotheses related to unpaid balances is crucial in financial contexts, providing insights into customer behavior and economic conditions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The dry weight of a cork is another quality that does not affect the ability of the cork to seal a bottle, but it is a variable that is monitored regularly. The weights of the no. 9 natural corks \((24 \mathrm{mm}\) in diameter by \(45 \mathrm{mm}\) in length) have a normal distribution. Ten randomly selected corks were weighed to the nearest hundredth of a gram. Dry Weight (in grams) $$\begin{array}{rrrrrrrrr}3.26 & 3.58 & 3.07 & 3.09 & 3.16 & 3.02 & 3.64 & 3.61 & 3.02 & 2.79\end{array}$$ a. Does the preceding sample present sufficient reason to show that the standard deviation of the dry weights is different from 0.3275 gram at the 0.02 level of significance? A different random sample of 20 is taken from the same batch. Dry Weight (in grams) $$\begin{array}{llllllllll}\hline 3.53 & 3.77 & 3.49 & 3.24 & 3.00 & 3.41 & 3.33 & 3.51 & 3.02 & 3.46 \\\2.80 & 3.58 & 3.05 & 3.51 & 3.61 & 2.90 & 3.69 & 3.62 & 3.26 & 3.58 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ b. Does the preceding sample present sufficient reason to show that the standard deviation of the dry weights is different from 0.3275 gram at the 0.02 level of significance? c. What effect did the two different sample standard deviations have on the calculated test statistic in parts a and b? What effect did they have on the \(p\) -value or critical value? Explain. d. What effect did the two different sample sizes have on the calculated test statistic in parts a and b? What effect did they have on the \(p\) -value or critical value? Explain.

The May \(30,2008,\) online article "Live with Your Parents After Graduation?" quoted a 2007 survey conducted by Monster-TRAK.com. The survey found that \(48 \%\) of college students planned to live at home after graduation. How large of a sample size would you need to estimate the true proportion of students that plan to live at home after graduation to within \(2 \%\) with \(98 \%\) confidence?

You are testing the hypothesis \(p=0.7\) and have decided to reject this hypothesis if after 15 trials you observe 14 or more successes. a. If the null hypothesis is true and you observe 13 successes, which of the following will you do? (1) Correctly fail to reject \(H_{o} .\) (2) Correctly reject \(H_{o} .(3)\) Commit a type I error. (4) Commit a type II error. b. Find the significance level of your test. c. If the true probability of success is \(1 / 2\) and you observe 13 successes, which of the following will you do? (1) Correctly fail to reject \(H_{o} .\) (2) Correctly reject \(H_{o} .(3)\) Commit a type I error. (4) Commit a type II error. d. Calculate the \(p\) -value for your hypothesis test after 13 successes are observed.

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You are interested in comparing the null hypothesis \(p=0.8\) against the alternative hypothesis \(p<0.8 .\) In 100 trials you observe 73 successes. Calculate the \(p\) -value associated with this result.

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