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91Ó°ÊÓ

Getting a college education today is almost as important as breathing and it's expensive! It is not just the tuition, room, and board; textbooks are expensive too. It is very important for students, and their parents, to have an accurate estimate of total textbook costs. The total cost of required textbooks for nine freshman- or sophomore-level classes at 10 randomly selected New York public colleges was collected: $$\begin{array}{lllll}582.19 & 806.40 & 913.44 & 915.75 & 932.35 \\\957.45 & 960.92 & 996.24 & 1070.44 & 1223.44\end{array}$$ a. Construct a histogram and find the mean and standard deviation. b. Demonstrate how this set of data satisfies the assumptions for inference. c. Find the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for \(\mu,\) the mean total cost of required textbooks. d. Interpret the meaning of the confidence interval.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The histogram can show the frequency distribution of textbook costs. The mean and standard deviation are the central and dispersion measure of these costs. As per statistical rules, the data satisfies assumptions for inference. The 95% confidence interval gives a range that will likely have the mean total cost of required textbooks 95% of the time. This range provides us with a quantification of our uncertainty as researchers.

Step by step solution

01

Construct a histogram

Arrange the data in ascending order. Then, break the data set into bins (or groups) and count the number of values in each bin to create a graphical representation (histogram).
02

Find the mean and standard deviation

The mean is the sum of all values divided by the number of values. To find the standard deviation, subtract the mean from each value, square the results, find the average of these squared differences and finally, take the square root of that average.
03

Demonstrate how this set of data satisfies the assumptions for inference

The assumptions of inference are that the samples are independently and randomly sampled, the sample size is large enough, and the distribution of the population is known. In our case, the colleges are randomly selected and the sample size is greater than 30, so Central Limit Theorem applies.
04

Find the 95% confidence interval for the mean total cost

Use the formula for the confidence interval, which is \(\bar{x} \pm Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}} * \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}\), where \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(Z_{\frac{\alpha}{2}}\) is the Z-score for the desired confidence level (1.96 for 95%), \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.
05

Interpret the meaning of the confidence interval

The confidence interval is a range of values calculated from the sample data, within which the population mean is likely to fall, with 95% certainty in this case. If you repeated this study many times, and calculated the confidence interval each time, 95% of the time, the true population mean would fall within this range.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Histogram
A histogram is a type of bar graph that represents data distribution by showing the frequency of data points within specified ranges, known as bins. When working with a data set, like the cost of textbooks from various colleges, a histogram helps visualize how these costs are distributed. To create a histogram, first organize the data in ascending order.
Then, define the bins or intervals to group the data. For example, if our data set ranges from $582 to $1223, divide this range into intervals such as $500-$700, $701-$900, and so on. Each bin should have an equal range and cover all data points.
After creating bins, count how many data points fall into each bin. These counts are then represented as bars, with the height of each bar corresponding to the count in each bin. This pictorial representation uncovers patterns within the data, such as skewness or gaps, assisting in understanding the data's overall distribution.
Mean and Standard Deviation
The mean and standard deviation are statistical measures that provide insight into a data set. The mean is the average value, giving us a single number to encapsulate the data's central tendency. To calculate the mean of textbook costs, add all the individual costs and divide by the total number of data points.
For this exercise, the data set has 10 entries, and the mean is calculated accordingly.

The standard deviation measures the data's spread around the mean. It indicates how spread out the numbers are and whether they tend to be close to the mean or dispersed. To compute the standard deviation, subtract each data point from the mean, square the differences, and find the average of these squared differences—finally, take the square root of this average.
  • Mean shows central tendency.
  • Standard deviation shows variation.

This measure is crucial in understanding variability within the textbook prices, offering a sense of predictability or variability in costs students might face.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental principle in statistics that assures when a sample size is large enough, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be normally distributed, regardless of the original population distribution. This theorem is essential when drawing inferences about population characteristics based on sample data.
In the case of textbook costs, despite the sample size being quite small (10 colleges), the CLT suggests that larger samples would move toward a normal distribution. It's important to note that for the CLT to hold effectively, ideally, the sample size should be more than 30. However, an understanding of this theorem supports confidence in using statistical methods like computing confidence intervals.
  • Ensures sample mean distribution is normal.
  • Allows inference from sample to population.

Therefore, even if a sample is skewed or not normal, given a large enough sample size, conclusions can still be drawn reliably through CLT.
Assumptions for Inference
Statistical inference relies on certain assumptions to ensure the results are valid and reflect the population accurately. When estimating population parameters, like the mean textbook cost, it's important to satisfy these assumptions:
  • Independence: The samples should be independent of each other. In the textbook cost example, each college's costs were sampled independently.
  • Random Sampling: Randomly selected samples ensure that every member of the population has an equal chance of being included, reducing bias.
  • Sample Size: A sufficiently large sample size, typically over 30, helps ensure the reliability of the inference through the Central Limit Theorem.
Meeting these assumptions ensures the application of statistical methods, providing accurate and reliable confidence intervals. It also guarantees that the study's conclusions are trustworthy and truly indicative of the broader population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

State the null hypothesis, \(H_{o}\), and the alternative hypothesis, \(H_{a},\) that would be used to test these claims: a. The standard deviation has increased from its previous value of 24. b. The standard deviation is no larger than 0.5 oz. c. The standard deviation is not equal to \(10 .\) d. The variance is no less than \(18 .\) e. The variance is different from the value of \(0.025,\) the value called for in the specs.

The Pizza Shack in Exercise 9.177 has completed its sampling and the results are in! On Tuesday afternoon, they sampled 15 customers and 9 preferred the new pizza crust. On Friday evening, they sampled 200 customers and 120 preferred the new pizza crust. Help the manager interpret the meaning of these results. Use a one-tailed test with \(H_{a}: p>0.50\) and \(\alpha=0.02 .\) Use \(z\) as the test statistic. a. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a significant preference for the new crust based on Tuesday's customers? b. Is there sufficient evidence to conclude a significant preference for the new crust based on Friday's customers? c. since the percentage of customers preferring the new crust was the same, \(p^{\prime}=0.60\) in both samplings, explain why the answers in parts a and b are not the same.

A company claims that its battery lasts no less than 42.5 hours in continuous use in a specified toy. A simple random sample of batteries yields a sample mean life of 41.89 hours with a standard deviation of 4.75 hours. A computer calculates a test statistic of \(t=-1.09\) and a \(p\) -value of \(0.139 .\) If the test uses df \(=71,\) what is the best estimate of the sample size?

The Pizza Shack has been experimenting with different recipes for their pizza crust, thinking they might replace their current recipe. They are planning to sample pizza made with the new crust. Before sampling, a strategy is needed so that after the tasting results are in, Pizza Shack will know how to interpret their customers' preferences. The decision is not being taken lightly because there is much to be gained or lost depending on whether or not the decision is a popular one. A one-tailed hypothesis test of \(p=P(\text { prefer new crust })=0.50\) is being planned. a. If \(H_{a}: p>0.50\) is used, explain the meaning of the four possible outcomes and their resulting actions. b. If \(H_{a}: p<0.50\) is used, explain the meaning of the four possible outcomes and their resulting actions. c. Which alternative hypothesis do you recommend be used, \(p>0.5\) or \(p<0.5 ?\) Explain.

The marketing research department of an instant-coffee company conducted a survey of married men to determine the proportion of married men who prefer their brand. Of the 100 men in the random sample, 20 prefer the company's brand. Use a \(95 \%\) confidence interval to estimate the proportion of all married men who prefer this company's brand of instant coffee. Interpret your answer.

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