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91Ó°ÊÓ

The Committee of \(200,\) a professional organization of preeminent women entrepreneurs and corporate leaders, reported the following: \(60 \%\) of women MBA students say, "Businesses pay their executives too much money" and \(50 \%\) of the men MBA students agreed. a. Does there appear to be a difference in the proportion of women and men who say, "Executives are paid too much"? Explain the meaning of your answer. b. If the preceding percentages resulted from two samples of size 20 each, is the difference statistically significant at a 0.05 level of significance? Justify your answer. c. If the preceding percentages resulted from two samples of size 500 each, is the difference statistically significant at a 0.05 level of significance? Justify your answer. d. Explain how your answers to parts \(\mathbf{b}\) and \(\mathrm{c}\) affect your thoughts about your answer to part a.

Short Answer

Expert verified
There is a 10% difference in the proportions of women and men who believe that executives are overpaid, as observed from the data. However, when performing a statistical test, this difference is not significant for the samples with size 20, while it is significant for the samples of size 500. The difference in results indicates that sample size matters when drawing conclusions from data and that the initial observation can be misleading without statistical evidence.

Step by step solution

01

- Identify Difference in Proportions

From the problem, 60% of women believe executives are paid too much, while 50% of men believe the same. So, there is a difference of 10% between these two proportions. However, this is an observational inference and not a statistical one. Hence, no conclusions can be drawn from this alone as it lacks statistical evidence.
02

- Calculate Statistical Significance with Sample Size 20

Next, we'll perform a statistical test for the samples with size 20. Using the formula for test statistic \( z = \frac{(p_1 - p_2) - 0}{\sqrt {p(1-p)(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2})}} \) and combining the given information where \( p_1 \) and \( p_2 \) are the proportions of women and men respectively agreeing that executives are paid too much and n_1, n_2 are the sample sizes, it is found that the z-score is approximately -1.22. This falls within the normal range (-1.96, 1.96) for a 0.05 level of significance, which means the difference isn't statistically significant for these sample sizes.
03

- Calculate Statistical Significance with Sample Size 500

With the same formula, we'll perform a statistical test for the samples with size 500. This time, the resultant z-score is approximately -2.83, which falls outside the normal range (-1.96, 1.96) for a 0.05 level of significance. Therefore, the difference is statistically significant for these sample sizes.
04

- Analyze the Results

From steps 2 and 3, it is clear that the sample size significantly affects the statistical significance of the result. Though there is an observed difference in the proportions from Step 1, it only becomes statistically significant when the sample size is large (500). This shows the importance of having adequate sample sizes for statistical tests. Therefore, the initial observation in part a has to be reconsidered in light of the statistical evidence.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
When performing statistical tests, the sample size plays a crucial role in determining the reliability and validity of the results. A larger sample size generally provides more accurate insights into the population. In the exercise, we analyzed two scenarios: a sample size of 20 and a sample size of 500.

When the sample size is small, like 20, the results can be misleading because they might not represent the entire population well. This can lead to a "lack of statistical significance," meaning any observed differences could just be due to sampling variability rather than actual differences.

On the other hand, a larger sample size, like 500, captures more variability in the data, resulting in more robust results. With larger samples, even small effects can become noticeable because the data more accurately represents the population. Comparing the same difference in proportions with a sample size of 500, we suddenly find statistically significant results.
Proportion Difference
In statistics, we often compare the difference between proportions to understand if there is a meaningful distinction between two groups. Here, we found that 60% of women MBA students and 50% of men MBA students believe executives are paid too much.

This leads to a difference in proportions of 10%. While a numerical difference exists, it does not automatically imply a statistically significant difference. Observed differences can be due to random chance, especially when dealing with small sample sizes. Statistical tests help us determine if this difference is significant enough to generalize beyond our sample.

By conducting a statistical test, we can decide if the difference reflects a true effect or is merely a sampling fluctuation. Therefore, calculating the difference in proportions is a vital first step, but interpreting its significance requires more nuanced statistical methods.
Z-Score
The Z-score measures how many standard deviations an element is from the mean of the sample or population. In the context of comparing proportions, the Z-score helps assess whether the observed difference between two groups is meaningful.

For the exercise, the formula used to calculate the Z-score was \[ z = \frac{(p_1 - p_2) - 0}{\sqrt {p(1-p)(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2})}} \]where \( p_1 \) and \( p_2 \) are the sample proportions of women and men, and \( n_1 \), \( n_2 \) are their respective sample sizes.

In step 2 with a sample size of 20, the Z-score was approximately -1.22, indicating that the difference is not significant at the 0.05 level. However, with a sample size of 500, the Z-score was -2.83, suggesting the difference is significant. A higher Z-score indicates a greater likelihood that the observed difference is not due to random chance.
Level of Significance
The level of significance, often denoted by \( \alpha \), is a threshold used to determine whether a hypothesis test's results are statistically significant. It represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true.

In the given exercise, a 0.05 level of significance was used. This means that there is a 5% chance of concluding that a difference exists when there is none. In statistical terms, if our calculated Z-score falls beyond the critical values (about -1.96 and 1.96 in standard normal distribution for two-tailed tests at \( \alpha = 0.05 \)), the result is considered statistically significant.

In step 2, with sample size 20, the Z-score did not exceed the critical range, leading us to conclude no statistical significance. However, step 3, with a larger sample size of 500, produced a Z-score beyond the critical values, indicating statistical significance. Hence, the level of significance helps in making informed decisions about the data analysis outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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