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A test concerning some of the fundamental facts about acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was administered to two groups, one consisting of college graduates and the other consisting of high school graduates. A summary of the test results follows: College graduates: \(\quad n=75, \bar{x}=77.5, s=6.2\) High school graduates: \(n=75, \bar{x}=50.4, s=9.4\) Do these data show that the college graduates, on average, scored significantly higher on the test? Use \(\alpha=0.05\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The answer depends on the calculated t-value in step 2. If the t-value is larger than 1.655, it can be concluded that the college graduates scored significantly higher than the high school graduates at the 5% significance level. If the t-value is less than 1.655, there is not enough evidence to conclude this at the 5% significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Formulate the Hypotheses

The null hypothesis (H0) is that there is no significant difference between the average scores of college graduates and high school graduates. In mathematical terms, it is expressed as: \(H0: \mu1 - \mu2 = 0\). The alternate hypothesis (H1) is that the college graduates scored significantly higher than the high school graduates: \(H1: \mu1 - \mu2 > 0\). Here, \(\mu1\) refers to the average score of college graduates and \(\mu2\) refers to the average score of high school graduates.
02

Compute the Test Statistic

Use the formula for the test statistic in independent samples t-tests:\(t = \frac{\bar{x1} - \bar{x2}}{\sqrt{{s1}^2/n1 + {s2}^2/n2}}\). Substituting the given values, we get \(t = \frac{77.5 - 50.4}{\sqrt{{6.2}^2/75 + {9.4}^2/75}}\). Calculate the value of t.
03

Compare the Test Statistic to the Critical Value

The critical value for a one-sided test at the .05 level with \(df = n1 + n2 - 2 = 75 + 75 - 2 = 148\) degrees of freedom is approximately 1.655 (this value can be found in t-distribution tables or using statistical software). Compare the calculated t-value to this critical value.
04

Make a Decision and Interpret the Results

If the calculated t-value from Step 2 is larger than the critical value, reject the null hypothesis. Otherwise, there is not enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis. If the null hypothesis is rejected, it can be concluded at the 5% significance level that the college graduates scored significantly higher on the test than high school graduates.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, denoted as H0, is essentially a statement of no effect or no difference. It serves as a starting point for statistical tests and is presumed true until evidence suggests otherwise.

In our exercise, the null hypothesis posits there is no significant difference in the average test scores of college graduates compared to high school graduates. Mathematically, we express this as H0: \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 0\), where \(\mu_1\) and \(\mu_2\) represent the average scores for college and high school graduates, respectively. The formulation of the null hypothesis is critical as it establishes the baseline for comparison and is crucial for the next step in statistical testing.
Alternate Hypothesis
In contrast to the null hypothesis, the alternate hypothesis, symbolized by H1 or Ha, represents a statement that indicates a presence of an effect or a difference. This hypothesis is considered when there is sufficient evidence to refute the null hypothesis.

For our scenario, the alternate hypothesis suggests that college graduates score higher on the test than high school graduates, expressed as H1: \(\mu_1 - \mu_2 > 0\). An important aspect of the alternate hypothesis is that it directly challenges the baseline set by the null hypothesis and attempts to prove a statistically significant difference or effect.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a determination of whether the observed difference between groups is due to a specific intervention or by random chance. The alpha level (\(\alpha\)), typically set at 0.05, defines the threshold of significance. If the probability of the observed result, under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true, is less than \(\alpha\), the result is deemed statistically significant.

In the given problem, we use \(\alpha = 0.05\), which means we'd be accepting a 5% chance of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is, in fact, true (a type I error). The smaller the alpha level, the less risk we take of making this error. A statistically significant result supports the alternate hypothesis and suggests a real difference between the groups being tested.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a number calculated from the data that is used to determine whether to reject the null hypothesis. It measures the degree of difference between the group means in units of standard error. The higher the test statistic, the greater the evidence against the null hypothesis.

For our exercise involving independent samples t-test, the test statistic is computed using the formula: \(t = \frac{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}{\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}}\). After calculation, the test statistic can be compared to a critical value to decide if the null hypothesis should be rejected in favor of the alternate hypothesis.
Critical Value
The critical value is a point on the distribution of the test statistic that marks the boundary for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis. It is determined by the alpha level (significance level) and the degrees of freedom. Degrees of freedom typically relate to the number of values in the final calculation of a statistic that are free to vary.

The critical value for our exercise is based on a t-distribution with 148 degrees of freedom at an alpha level of 0.05. It is the cutoff point: if our computed test statistic exceeds this value, we are led to conclude there is a significant difference between the average test scores of college and high school graduates. Using tables or software, we find this critical value for a one-sided test to be approximately 1.655. Comparison of the test statistic to this critical value is a decisive step in the hypothesis testing process.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Approximately \(95 \%\) of the sunflowers raised in the United States are grown in the states of North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota. To compare yield rates between North and South Dakota, 11 sunflower-producing counties were randomly selected from North Dakota and 14 sunflower-producing counties were randomly selected from South Dakota. Their 2008 yields, in pounds per acre, are recorded below.$$\begin{array}{lllllll}\text { N. Dakota } & & & & & \\\\\hline 1296 & 1475 & 1573 & 1517 & 1242 & 1385 \\ 1128 & 1524 & 1644 & 1377 & 1270 & & \\\\\hline \text { S. Dakota } & & & & & \\\\\hline 1551 & 890 & 1710 & 1960 & 1988 & 1861 & 1870 \\ 1110 & 1674 & 1100 & 1381 & 2167 & 1130 & 1280 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ Find the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the mean sunflower yield for all North Dakota sunflower-producing counties and the mean sunflower yield for all South Dakota sunflower-producing counties. Assume normality of yield rates.

In determining the "goodness" of a test question, a teacher will often compare the percentage of better students who answer it correctly with the percentage of poorer students who answer it correctly. One expects that the proportion of better students who will answer the question correctly is greater than the proportion of poorer students who will answer it correctly. On the last test, 35 of the students with the top 60 grades and 27 of the students with the bottom 60 grades answered a certain question correctly. Did the students with the top grades do significantly better on this question? Use \(\alpha=0.05.\) a. Solve using the \(p\) -value approach. b. Solve using the classical approach.

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