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Inflation and Company Value Sparkling Water, Inc., expects to sell 2.1 million bottles of drinking water each year in perpetuity. This year each bottle will sell for \(\$ 1.25\) in real terms and will cost \(\$ .75\) in real terms. Sales income and costs occur at year-end. Revenues will rise at a real rate of 6 percent annually, while real costs will rise at a real rate of 5 percent annually. The real discount rate is 10 percent. The corporate tax rate is 34 percent. What is Sparkling worth today?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The value of Sparkling Water, Inc. today is approximately $7,671,979.57. This is calculated by finding the after-tax cash flow, considering the growth rates of revenue and costs, and then discounting the perpetuity using the real discount rate.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the initial revenue and costs

First, we will calculate the initial revenue and costs in real terms. Revenue per bottle: \( \$ 1.25 \) Cost per bottle: \( \$ 0.75 \)
02

Calculate the total initial revenue and costs

To calculate the total initial revenue and costs, we will multiply the per bottle revenue and costs by the number of bottles sold in a year. Total initial revenue = \(2,100,000 \times \$ 1.25 = \$ 2,625,000\) Total initial costs = \(2,100,000 \times \$ 0.75 = \$ 1,575,000\)
03

Calculate initial profit and after-tax cash flow

Next, we will calculate the initial profit and after-tax cash flow. Initial profit = Total initial revenue - Total initial costs = \(\$2,625,000 - \$1,575,000 = \$1,050,000\) Tax = Initial profit × Corporate tax rate = \(\$1,050,000 × 0.34 = \$357,000\) After-tax cash flow = Initial profit - Tax = \(\$1,050,000 - \$357,000 = \$693,000\)
04

Calculate the growth rate of after-tax cash flow

To get the growth rate of the after-tax cash flow, we will find the combined growth rate of revenue and costs considering the tax rate. Combined growth rate of revenue and costs = \(Revenue\: growth\: rate - Cost\: growth\: rate = 6\% - 5\% = 1\%\) After-tax cash flow growth rate = \(1\% × (1 - 0.34) = 0.66\%\)
05

Calculate the present value of Sparkling Water, Inc. using perpetuity

For perpetuity, we will use the formula: Present value = After-tax cash flow × (1 + growth rate) / (discount rate - growth rate) Present value = \( \$693,000 × (1 + 0.0066) / (0.10 - 0.0066) = \$693,000 × 1.0066 / 0.0934 = \$7,671,979.57\) Hence, the value of Sparkling Water, Inc. today is approximately $7,671,979.57.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Inflation Impact
Inflation is a crucial economic concept that affects the purchasing power of money over time. It also impacts how businesses evaluate their future cash flows and ultimately their valuation. For Sparkling Water, Inc., inflation influences both revenue and costs since these are set in real terms. A real rate means the impact of inflation is already factored into the expectations. Since revenues are expected to rise by 6% annually and costs by 5%, these figures are growth rates already adjusted for inflation.

Understanding inflation's impact is key because it dictates how much real cash flow the company will generate in the future. Revenues and costs growing at different paces can further affect profit margins. In a high inflation environment, failing to account for these different growth rates can lead to an overestimation or underestimation of the firm's true value. This exercise shows how necessary it is to account for the unique inflation rates associated with revenues and costs when assessing corporate value.
Perpetuity Valuation
Valuation through perpetuity is a method used to estimate a company's worth with the assumption that the company will operate indefinitely. It's a popular choice for companies with stable or predictable cash flows, like Sparkling Water, Inc., which expects constant annual bottle sales.

The perpetuity formula is used to find the present value of these ongoing cash flows, which for this exercise is:
\[ \text{Present Value} = \frac{\text{After-tax Cash Flow} \times (1 + \text{Growth Rate})}{\text{Discount Rate} - \text{Growth Rate}} \] This formula calculates the value of a series of cash flows that grow at a constant rate, adjusted for the time value of money. The after-tax cash flow is adjusted slightly upward by a growth factor, reflecting the anticipated continuous increase in cash flows over time.

The discount rate, which reflects the investor's rate of return compensation expectations, subtracts the growth rate to accommodate for growth over perpetuity. It's a delicate balance, as small changes in assumptions about growth or discount rates could lead to significant variations in valuation results.
After-Tax Cash Flow
After-tax cash flow represents the net cash that a company generates after accounting for taxes. It is an essential measurement for understanding a firm's true profitability and is crucial for valuation. Sparkling Water, Inc. calculates after-tax cash flow by subtracting taxes from its profit.

The calculation is as follows:
\[ \text{After-tax Cash Flow} = \text{Initial Profit} - (\text{Initial Profit} \times \text{Corporate Tax Rate}) \] For Sparkling Water, the initial profit of \(1,050,000 undergoes a tax of 34%, resulting in an after-tax cash flow of \)693,000. This showcases the effectiveness of using after-tax figures for more accurate corporate valuation since it depicts the actual amount available for reinvestment, distribution, or debt repayment.

This measure is particularly favored in financial analysis due to its straightforward reflection of what remains after mandatory expenses. It's a more reliable figure for assessing how much cash would truly benefit shareholders or further strategic business goals.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Calculating a Bid Price Another utilization of cash flow analysis is setting the bid price on a project. To calculate the bid price, we set the project NPV equal to zero and find the required price. Thus the bid price represents a financial break-even level for the project. Guthrie Enterprises needs someone to supply it with 130,000 cartons of machine screws per year to support its manufacturing needs over the next five years, and you've decided to bid on the contract. It will cost you \(\$ 830,000\) to install the equipment necessary to start production; you'll depreciate this cost straight-line to zero over the project's life. You estimate that in five years this equipment can be salvaged for \(\$ 60,000\). Your fixed production costs will be \(\$ 210,000\) per year, and your variable production costs should be \(\$ 8.50\) per carton. You also need an initial investment in net working capital of \(\$ 75,000\). If your tax rate is 35 percent and you require a 14 percent return on your investment, what bid price should you submit?

Cost-Cutting Proposals Massey Machine Shop is considering a four-year project to improve its production efficiency. Buying a new machine press for \(\$ 530,000\) is estimated to result in \(\mathbf{\$ 2 3 0 , 0 0 0}\) in annual pretax cost savings. The press falls in the MACRS five-year class, and it will have a salvage value at the end of the project of \(\$ 70,000\). The press also requires an initial investment in spare parts inventory of \(\$ 20,000\), along with an additional \(\$ 3,000\) in inventory for each succeeding year of the project. If the shop's tax rate is 35 percent and its discount rate is 14 percent, should Massey buy and install the machine press?

Calculating EAC You are evaluating two different silicon wafer milling machines. The Techron I costs \(\$ 270,000\), has a three-year life, and has pretax operating costs of \(\$ 45,000\) per year. The Techron II costs \(\$ 370,000\), has a five-year life, and has pretax operating costs of \(\$ 48,000\) per year. For both milling machines, use straight-line depreciation to zero over the project's life and assume a salvage value of \(\$ 20,000\). If your tax rate is 35 percent and your discount rate is 12 percent, compute the EAC for both machines. Which do you prefer? Why?

Calculating Project NPV Pilot Plus Pens is deciding when to replace its old machine. The machine's current salvage value is \(\$ 1.8\) million. Its current book value is \(\$ 1.2\) million. If not sold, the old machine will require maintenance costs of \(\$ 520,000\) at the end of the year for the next five years. Depreciation on the old machine is \(\$ 240,000\) per year. At the end of five years, it will have a salvage value of \(\$ \mathbf{2 0 0 , 0 0 0}\) and a book value of \(\$ \mathbf{0}\). A replacement machine costs \(\$ 3\) million now and requires maintenance costs of \(\$ 350,000\) at the end of each year during its economic life of five years. At the end of the five years, the new machine will have a salvage value of \(\$ 500,000\). It will be fully depreciated by the straight-line method. In five years a replacement machine will cost \(\$ 3,500,000\). Pilot will need to purchase this machine regardless of what choice it makes today. The corporate tax rate is 34 percent and the appropriate discount rate is 12 percent. The company is assumed to earn sufficient revenues to generate tax shields from depreciation. Should Pilot Plus Pens replace the old machine now or at the end of five years?

Equivalent Annual Cost Bridgton Golf Academy is evaluating different golf practice equipment. The "Dimple-Max" equipment costs \(\$ 63,000\), has a three- year life, and costs \(\$ 7,500\) per year to operate. The relevant discount rate is 12 percent. Assume that the straight-line depreciation method is used and that the equipment is fully depreciated to zero. Furthermore, assume the equipment has a salvage value of \(\$ 15,000\) at the end of the project's life. The relevant tax rate is 34 percent. All cash flows occur at the end of the year. What is the equivalent annual cost (EAC) of this equipment?

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